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/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
10
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
27
GA
15
HI
4
ID
4
IL
21
IN
11
IA
7
KS
6
KY
8
LA
9
ME
4
MD
10
MA
12
MI
17
MN
10
MS
6
MO
11
MT
3
NE
5
NV
5
NH
4
NJ
15
NM
5
NY
31
NC
15
ND
3
OH
20
OK
7
OR
7
PA
21
RI
4
SC
8
SD
3
TN
11
TX
34
UT
5
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 84
Unclear Too close to call 84
Barack Obama (Democrat)
Total 291
Democratic Safe 238
Leaning_democratic Leaning 53
John McCain (Republican)
Total 163
Republican Safe 127
Leaning_republican Leaning 36
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Minnesota: Voters Would Choose Obama Over Gov. Pawlenty in 2012 Relection Race

Posted Jul 23, 2009 at 9:46 AM by Maurice Berger

Despite President Obama's somewhat diminished, but still decent, approval rating in the key swing state of Minnesota, voters seem prepared to enthusiastically reelect him over incumbent Republican Governor and likely 2012 presidential candidate, Tim Pawlenty. According new a Public Policy Polling survey, "Obama's approval rating in Minnesota has dropped six points since April, but that doesn't mean voters are responding too positively to some of his Republican alternatives. 54% of voters in the state now give Obama good marks, with 39% saying they disapprove of his job performance. That's down from a 60/30 spread when PPP last polled it in April. Obama has maintained all of his popularity with Democrats but has seen a small drop in his support among independents and a significant one with Republicans. Where before 23% of voters in the opposing party thought he was doing a good job, now just 12% do. Obama nevertheless fares very well when pitted in hypothetical contest against Tim Pawlenty . . . Against Pawlenty Obama leads 51-40, a margin that would actually exceed what he won against John McCain in the state last fall."Significantly, the same poll reveals that he would beat Alaska Governor by a whopping 21-point margin if the 2012 were held today--56% to 35%--"which would be the most lopsided Presidential result in the state since Lyndon Johnson's landslide against Barry Goldwater in 1964"