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/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
11
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
29
GA
16
HI
4
ID
4
IL
20
IN
11
IA
6
KS
6
KY
8
LA
8
ME
3
MD
10
MA
11
MI
16
MN
10
MS
6
MO
10
MT
3
NE
5
NV
6
NH
4
NJ
14
NM
5
NY
29
NC
15
ND
3
OH
18
OK
7
OR
7
PA
20
RI
4
SC
9
SD
3
TN
11
TX
38
UT
6
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3
ME2
1

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 128
Unclear Too close to call 128
Barack Obama (Democrat)
Total 204
Democratic Safe 136
Leaning_democratic Leaning 68
Republican (Republican)
Total 206
Republican Safe 135
Leaning_republican Leaning 71
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Obama And The Race Factor: Is This Why It's So Close?

Posted Sep 21, 2008 at 7:56 PM by Maurice Berger

Extrapolating from a series of questions it asked voters to gauge their racial attitudes, a new poll released yesterday reports that support for Obama "would be as much as 6 percentage points higher if there were no white racial prejudice." In other words, Obama would be 6% to 8% ahead of McCain right now if racism were not a factor in this election. According to the the survey--conducted by AP-Yahoo in association with Stanford University--"the percentage of voters who may turn away from Obama because of his race could easily be larger than the final difference between the candidates in 2004 — about two and one-half percentage points." The survey is based, in part, on the following finding: "40 percent of all white Americans hold at least a partly negative view toward blacks, and that includes many Democrats and independents." The poll's finding may help explain the closeness of the presidential contest at a time when the Republican brand is weak.