MA US Senate: Martha Coakley Ahead, But By How Much?
Posted Dec 08, 2009 at 9:38 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
According to the Boston Phoenix, polls on today's Democratic primary
for the US Senate in Massachusetts are contradictory: The "internal polls of
different candidates in the US Senate race seemed to be saying very different
things. . . . Tom Kiley, pollster for Michael Capuano, and Celinda Lake,
pollster for Martha Coakley, both confirmed for me today what I reported
yesterday. Kiley says his poll, taken Sunday and Monday of this week, has
Coakley around 35%, and Capuano 7 points behind, in the high 20s. Lake says her
poll, taken Sunday through Tuesday, has Coakley at 41%, and Capuano at 20%.
(Both have Pagliuca roughly around 10%-12% and falling slightly; Khazei around
7-10% and rising slightly; and some 15%-20% undecided.) So one poll has a 7
point lead, and the other has a 21 point lead. That's an enormous discrepancy . . . Lake also insists that she is seeing
absolutely no trending decline in Coakley's support, whereas Kiley says
Coakley's support has dropped slowly but steadily"
