Gallup: GOP Now Back In Lead of Generic Ballot
Posted Aug 04, 2010 at 9:31 AM by Maurice Berger
The newest Gallup survey of national political sentiment adds fuel to the speculation that a an earlier survey by the organization indicating a Democratic lead in the generic congressional ballot--and outlier relative to most other polls--may indeed represent a statistical blip. According to Gallup, Republicans have taken back the lead and are now ahead by +5%, 48% to 43%.
Gallup writes: "While the five-percentage-point edge for Republicans is not
statistically significant, it represents a return to the prevailing 2010
pattern, seen since mid-March, whereby Republicans were tied or held a
slight advantage over Democrats in most Gallup Daily tracking weekly
averages. If sustained through Election Day, this competitive
positioning for the Republicans among registered voters would point to
major seat gains for that party in November given the usual Republican
advantage in turnout."
