Independents Determined House Outcome
Posted Nov 02, 2010 at 9:45 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
A problem for Democrats in the House--and potentially for the President's reelection--is not the enthusiasm of GOP voters (which was high). The bigger problem is the dramatic shift of Independent voters, who gave Obama a decisive edge in 2008. This year, according to Exit Polls, Independent voters broke for Republican House candidates by a widely margin: 55% to 40% for the Democrats, a figure in line with the 1994 midterms, in which Republicans made substantial gains. The Democrats will need to win these voters back in order to be competitive in 2012.
