Minnesota: New Poll Suggests Movement To McCain
Posted Oct 03, 2008 at 12:55 PM by Maurice Berger
A new Survey USA poll in Minnesota suggests movement towards McCain over the past few days. The survey reports a 1% lead for the Republican in the state, 47% t 46%. More importantly, it suggests that Obama has lost a bit of ground in the state over the past two weeks. Is this result suggestive of a trend--is the pendulum swinging once again in a volatile, traditionally Democratic state that's seen much improved numbers for Republicans in recent cycles--or is it just statistical noise, an outlier. Survey USA writes: "Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 20 days ago, Obama is down 3 points. How much of this is movement and how much of this is "noise" is unclear. Minnesota behaves unlike other states in some respects. Among women, there is movement to McCain, at a time when McCain is losing ground among women elsewhere. Among voters younger than Obama, there movement to McCain, at a time when Obama is consolidating support among young voters elsewhere. Among voters older than McCain, there is movement to Obama, at a time when older voters elsewhere are sticking by McCain." Could this be why the McCain campaign pulled out of Michigan yesterday? Are they redirecting their resources from a state they believe they can't win to a battleground that is looking better for them in recent days? Let's see where the polling goes in Minnesota over the next week.
