Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 11:24 PM by Maurice Berger
Electoral math: Trump has not picked off a single state from Clinton's firewall. And Clinton has not picked off a single Trump firewall state. If Trump picks off Michigan or Wisconsin, he probably wins. Unless Clinton wins Arizona, but that's unlikely. If Clinton keeps Michigan and Wisconsin and hangs on to PA, NH, and NV she wins. But Trump seems to be in a stronger place in Wisconsin, less so in Michigan.