US Senate Race Chart: DEM-54, REP-39, TCTC-7
Posted Oct 22, 2008 at 5:38 PM
Maurice Berger, PollTrack Poltical Director
With a number of incumbent Republican seats in jeopardy, the Democrats are coming on strong in the battle for control of the US Senate. PollTrack now believes it is highly likely the party will win enough seats to secure a solid majority. The Democrat's expressed goal of achieving a 60 seat majority-- the number needed to end a filibuster and close to the 2/3 required to override a presidential veto--may be difficult. But with McCain's numbers faltering in a number of states where Senate races are too close to call--Minnesota, New Hampshire, Oregon, and even North Carolina--Obama's coattails may be enough to pull in the requisite six seats now need to reach the magic number. See chart below:
US Senate Race Chart: 22 October 2008
Solid Democrat: Arkanas: Pryor; Delaware: Biden; Illinois: Durbin; Iowa: Harkin; Massachusetts: Kerry; Michigan: Levin; Montana: Baucus; New Jersey: Lautenberg; Rhode Island: Reed, West Virginia: Rockefeller; Virginia: Warner (d) vs Gilmore (r) (VA)
Likely Democrat: South Dakota: Johnson (SD)
Lean Democrat: Louisiana: Landrieu (LA); Colorado: Udall (d) vs Schaffer (r) (CO); New Mexico: Udall (d) vs Pierce (r) (NM)
Too Close To Call (with PollTrack poll averages)
Alaska: Stevens (r) 46.7% vs Begich (d) 47.3%
Georgia: Chambliss (r) 47.0% vs Martin (d) 42.2%
Minnesota: Coleman (r) 37.8% vs Franken (d) 40.0% vs Barkley (i) 17.8%
Mississippi (special): Wicker (r) 48.0% vs Musgrove (d) 45.3%
New Hampshire: Sununu (r) 42.0% vs Shaheen 47.9% (d)
North Carolina: Dole (r) 44.3% vs Hagan (d) 47.0%
Oregon: Smith (r) 43.0% vs Merkley (d) 46.7%
Lean Republican: Kentucky: McConnell
Likely Republican: Maine: Collins (ME), Nebraska: Yohanns vs Kleeb (d); Oklahoma: Inhofe (OK)
Solid Republican: Alabama: Sessions ; Idaho: Lish (r) vs LaRocco (d) (ID), Kansas: Roberts (KS), Mississippi: Cochran (regular); South Carolina: Graham Tennessee: Alexander ; Texas: Cornyn; Wyoming (regular): Enzi; Wyoming (special): Barrasso (r) vs Carter (d)
Balance Of Power Tally: DEM-54, REP-39, TCTC-7
Current Balance: DEM-51 (49-D, 2-I) to REP-49
BOLD: Leading In Race
Italics: Incumbent
