US Senate Race Chart: DEM-55, REP-39, TCTC-6
Posted Oct 27, 2008 at 9:34 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
With Democrat Jeanne Shaheen coming on strong in New Hampshire, PollTrack moves the state into the "Lean Democrat" column. PollTrack now believes it is highly likely the party will win enough seats to secure a solid majority. It may be difficult for the Democrat's to meet their expressed goal of achieving a 60 seat majority-- the number needed to end a filibuster and close to the 2/3 required to override a presidential veto--may be difficult. To do so, the Democrats would have to pick Senate seats in some of the reddest states on the map, including Georgia, Kentucky, and Mississippi. See chart below:
US Senate Race Chart: 27 October 2008
Solid Democrat: Arkanas: Pryor; Delaware: Biden; Illinois: Durbin; Iowa: Harkin; Massachusetts: Kerry; Michigan: Levin; Montana: Baucus; New Jersey: Lautenberg; Rhode Island: Reed, West Virginia: Rockefeller; Virginia: Warner (d) vs Gilmore (r) (VA)
Likely Democrat: South Dakota: Johnson (SD)
Lean Democrat: Louisiana: Landrieu (LA); Colorado: Udall (d) vs Schaffer (r) (CO); New Mexico: Udall (d) vs Pierce (r) (NM); New Hampshire: Sununu (r) vs Shaheen (d)
Too Close To Call (with PollTrack poll averages)
Alaska: Stevens (r) 46.7% vs Begich (d) 47.3%
Georgia: Chambliss (r) 46.0% vs Martin (d) 43.8%
Minnesota: Coleman (r) 37.0% vs Franken (d) 37.7% vs Barkley (i) 17.3%
Mississippi (special): Wicker (r) 48.0% vs Musgrove (d) 45.3%
North Carolina: Dole (r) 44.3% vs Hagan (d) 46.3%
Oregon: Smith (r) 41.0% vs Merkley (d) 44.0%
Lean Republican: Kentucky: McConnell
Likely Republican: Maine: Collins (ME), Nebraska: Yohanns vs Kleeb (d); Oklahoma: Inhofe (OK)
Solid Republican: Alabama: Sessions ; Idaho: Lish (r) vs LaRocco (d) (ID), Kansas: Roberts (KS), Mississippi: Cochran (regular); South Carolina: Graham Tennessee: Alexander ; Texas: Cornyn; Wyoming (regular): Enzi; Wyoming (special): Barrasso (r) vs Carter (d)
Balance Of Power Tally: DEM-55, REP-39, TCTC-6
Current Balance: DEM-51 (49-D, 2-I) to REP-49
BOLD: Leading In Race
Italics: Incumbent
