Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall Voices on the Ground The Obama Project
Today
Tomorrow
Election Day
/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
11
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
29
GA
16
HI
4
ID
4
IL
20
IN
11
IA
6
KS
6
KY
8
LA
8
ME
3
MD
10
MA
11
MI
16
MN
10
MS
6
MO
10
MT
3
NE
5
NV
6
NH
4
NJ
14
NM
5
NY
29
NC
15
ND
3
OH
18
OK
7
OR
7
PA
20
RI
4
SC
9
SD
3
TN
11
TX
38
UT
6
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3
ME2
1

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 48
Unclear Too close to call 48
Barack Obama (Democrat)
Total 299
Democratic Safe 136
Leaning_democratic Leaning 163
Republican (Republican)
Total 191
Republican Safe 135
Leaning_republican Leaning 56
Hide the Map

McCain's "Bounce"?

Posted Sep 05, 2008 at 9:45 AM by Maurice Berger

Rasmussen's latest daily tracker would seem to confirm the conclusion of the CBS News poll released late last night: the race is tightening back to at least a statistical tie. Rasmussen Reports indicates a 3% point drop for Obama over the past two days (with most of this sample taken before McCain's speech). Obama now leads in this survey, 48% to 46%.

Early results from the week also suggest that Sarah Palin and her speech were well received by voters. PollTrack will have more detailed results later today and tomorrow.

The jury is still out on the question of McCain's "bounce" as well as the potential of back to back conventions to cancel out gains made by either party (or by the first convention). PollTrack will have a better sense of this next week (but clues will roll out over the next few days, as they have in the Rasmussen and CBS surveys, as voters begin to digest the messages of both conventions)