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/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
11
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
29
GA
16
HI
4
ID
4
IL
20
IN
11
IA
6
KS
6
KY
8
LA
8
ME
3
MD
10
MA
11
MI
16
MN
10
MS
6
MO
10
MT
3
NE
5
NV
6
NH
4
NJ
14
NM
5
NY
29
NC
15
ND
3
OH
18
OK
7
OR
7
PA
20
RI
4
SC
9
SD
3
TN
11
TX
38
UT
6
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3
ME2
1

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 48
Unclear Too close to call 48
Barack Obama (Democrat)
Total 299
Democratic Safe 136
Leaning_democratic Leaning 163
Republican (Republican)
Total 191
Republican Safe 135
Leaning_republican Leaning 56
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Today's Map: PA Moves from "Leaning Democrat" to "Too Close to Call"

Posted Sep 11, 2008 at 9:46 AM by Maurice Berger

With three new polls all showing the race in Pennsylvania drawing down to a statistical tie--Obama now leads by an average of just over 2%--PollTrack moves the state on Today's Map from "Leaning Democrat" to "Too Close to Call." It is quite possible that the RNC and Palin are helping McCain in the more conservative middle section of the state--an area rich in small towns, Evangelical and Christian conservative voters, and gun owners. In many ways, the state's population is closely divided, with more liberal cities such as Philadelphia and Pittsburgh anchoring its Democratic base and small cities and towns in the middle trending Republican. Often, it comes down to turnout in these areas as well as how the vote breaks down in the suburbs of the larger cities, a demographic that has been somewhat fluid in previous elections.