Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall
Our innovative presidential election maps offer a snapshot of where things stand and where they are headed in the state-by-state hunt for electoral votes. Armed with public opinion polls, the history and demographics of each state, knowledge of the nation’s geographic and cultural diversity, and common sense and intuition, political director Maurice Berger offers continuous updates and a blog (below map) on the state of the presidential race. Today’s Map Today monitors its current status. Tomorrow’s Map Today charts its momentum in the coming days or weeks. And Election Day Today records the actual outcome of the 2012 presidential race.
Today
Tomorrow
Election Day
/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
11
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
29
GA
16
HI
4
ID
4
IL
20
IN
11
IA
6
KS
6
KY
8
LA
8
ME
3
MD
10
MA
11
MI
16
MN
10
MS
6
MO
10
MT
3
NE
5
NV
6
NH
4
NJ
14
NM
5
NY
29
NC
15
ND
3
OH
18
OK
7
OR
7
PA
20
RI
4
SC
9
SD
3
TN
11
TX
38
UT
6
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3
ME2
1

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 0
Unclear Too close to call 0
Barack Obama (Democrat)
Total 303
Democratic Safe 217
Leaning_democratic Leaning 86
Republican (Republican)
Total 235
Republican Safe 191
Leaning_republican Leaning 44
Hide the Map
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GA Gov: Carter Now Ahead

Posted Sep 11, 2014 at 8:45 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by SurveyUSA poll in Georgia reports that in the race for governor, Democrat Jason Carter now leads incumbent GOP Gov. Nathan Deal, 45% to 44%.

GA US Senate: Is Perdue In Trouble?

Posted Sep 10, 2014 at 9:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by SurveyUSA in Georgia reports that Republican David Perdue's lead over Michelle Nunn in the race for US Senate has declined -6% over the past three weeks, and is now 47% to 44%.

Firm Majority Support For Same Sex Marriage

Posted Sep 09, 2014 at 9:57 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a suyrvey by Marist college, "When it comes to support for legalizing same-sex marriage, 54% of Americans either strongly favor or favor doing so.  According to trend data from the Pew Research Center, support for gay marriage has been on an upswing, reaching a plurality of support among Americans in 2011 and majority support just last year in 2013. Attitudes about legalizing gay marriage fall along party lines with more than six in ten Democrats, 62%, favoring the action.  A similar proportion of Republicans, 63%, are against it.  Age also matters.  65% of Americans under 45 years of age support legalization of same-sex marriage compared with 44% of their older counterparts who share this view. More than one in ten Americans, 12%, has changed their opinion on legalizing same-sex marriage, favoring it now while opposing it previously."

  • When it comes to support for legalizing same-sex marriage, 54% of Americans either strongly favor or favor doing so.  According to trend data from the Pew Research Center, support for gay marriage has been on an upswing, reaching a plurality of support among Americans in 2011 and majority support just last year in 2013.
  • Attitudes about legalizing gay marriage fall along party lines with more than six in ten Democrats, 62%, favoring the action.  A similar proportion of Republicans, 63%, are against it.  Age also matters.  65% of Americans under 45 years of age support legalization of same-sex marriage compared with 44% of their older counterparts who share this view.
  • More than one in ten Americans, 12%, has changed their opinion on legalizing same-sex marriage, favoring it now while opposing it previously.  Only 1% now opposes allowing same-sex couples to marry when they once favored legalization.
  • - See more at: http://maristpoll.marist.edu/815-views-on-same-sex-marriage-supporters-look-to-feds-opponents-more-to-states/#sthash.URdlcf9n.dpuf
  • When it comes to support for legalizing same-sex marriage, 54% of Americans either strongly favor or favor doing so.  According to trend data from the Pew Research Center, support for gay marriage has been on an upswing, reaching a plurality of support among Americans in 2011 and majority support just last year in 2013.
  • Attitudes about legalizing gay marriage fall along party lines with more than six in ten Democrats, 62%, favoring the action.  A similar proportion of Republicans, 63%, are against it.  Age also matters.  65% of Americans under 45 years of age support legalization of same-sex marriage compared with 44% of their older counterparts who share this view.
  • More than one in ten Americans, 12%, has changed their opinion on legalizing same-sex marriage, favoring it now while opposing it previously.  Only 1% now opposes allowing same-sex couples to marry when they once favored legalization.
  • - See more at: http://maristpoll.marist.edu/815-views-on-same-sex-marriage-supporters-look-to-feds-opponents-more-to-states/#sthash.URdlcf9n.dpuf

    LGBT Voters Skew Liberal

    Posted Sep 08, 2014 at 8:47 AM by Maurice Berger

    According to a survey by Gallup, "Americans who identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender remain significantly more likely than non-LGBT Americans to identify as Democrats. More than six in 10 LGBT Americans identify as Democrats or are Democratic-leaning independents, while 21% identify with or lean toward the Republican Party. Non-LGBT Americans are more evenly divided in their politics, tilting just slightly more Democratic than Republican." Here is Gallup's Chart:

    Party Identification, by LGBT Status, January-June 2014

    Government, Immigration, And The Economy Cited As Top US Problems

    Posted Sep 05, 2014 at 8:11 AM by Maurice Berger

    According to a survey by Gallup, " Americans say the government, immigration, and the economy in general are the most important problems currently facing the country. Mentions of government and the economy have been at the top of the list since the beginning of the year, while mentions of immigration rose sharply in July, in response to the crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border, and remain high this month." Here is Gallup's chart:

    Recent Trend in Top Three "Most Important" U.S. Problems

    Minnesotta Gov: Democrat Dayton In The Lead

    Posted Sep 04, 2014 at 7:56 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new poll by SurveyUSA poll in Minnesota reports that incumbent Democratic Gov. Mark Dayton holds a +9% lead over GOP challenger Jeff Johnson, 49% to 40%.

    Minnesotta US Senate: Franken Well Ahead

    Posted Sep 04, 2014 at 7:55 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new poll by SurveyUSA poll in Minnesota reports that incumbent Democratic Sen. Al Franken holds a comfortable lead over GOP challenger Mike McFadden, 51% to 42%.

    Ohio: Incumbent GOP Governor Ahead

    Posted Sep 02, 2014 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new survey by Public Policy Polling in Ohio reports that incumbent GOP Gov. John Kasich leads Democratic challenger Ed FitzGerald for governor by a six-point margin, 50% to 44%.

    KS US Senate: Is Incumbent In Trouble?

    Posted Aug 28, 2014 at 8:43 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new poll by SurveyUSA in Kansas reports that incumbent GOP Sen. Pat Roberts holds only a 5% lead over Democratic challenger Chad Taylor in the U.S. Senate race, 37% to 32%, with independent Greg Orman at 20%.

    Kansas Gov: Republican Incumbent In Trouble

    Posted Aug 27, 2014 at 8:39 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new poll by Rasmussen in Kansas reports that Democratic challenger Paul Davis leads incumbent GOP Gov. Sam Brownback in the race for governor by 10 points, 51% to 41%.

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