Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall
Our innovative presidential election maps offer a snapshot of where things stand and where they are headed in the state-by-state hunt for electoral votes. Armed with public opinion polls, the history and demographics of each state, knowledge of the nation’s geographic and cultural diversity, and common sense and intuition, political director Maurice Berger offers continuous updates and a blog (below map) on the state of the presidential race. Today’s Map Today monitors its current status. Tomorrow’s Map Today charts its momentum in the coming days or weeks. And Election Day Today records the actual outcome of the 2012 presidential race.
Today
Tomorrow
Election Day
/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
11
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
29
GA
16
HI
4
ID
4
IL
20
IN
11
IA
6
KS
6
KY
8
LA
8
ME
3
MD
10
MA
11
MI
16
MN
10
MS
6
MO
10
MT
3
NE
5
NV
6
NH
4
NJ
14
NM
5
NY
29
NC
15
ND
3
OH
18
OK
7
OR
7
PA
20
RI
4
SC
9
SD
3
TN
11
TX
38
UT
6
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3
ME2
1

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 0
Unclear Too close to call 0
Hilary Clinton (Democrat)
Total 322
Democratic Safe 203
Leaning_democratic Leaning 119
Donald Trump (Republican)
Total 216
Republican Safe 143
Leaning_republican Leaning 73
Hide the Map
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Trump Likely To Win

Posted Nov 09, 2016 at 12:57 AM by Maurice Berger

Last minute vote tallies from Wisconsin suggest a Trump win, and thus a probable closing off of a plausible path to victory for Clinton.

Electoral Math

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 11:24 PM by Maurice Berger

Electoral math: Trump has not picked off a single state from Clinton's firewall. And Clinton has not picked off a single Trump firewall state. If Trump picks off Michigan or Wisconsin, he probably wins. Unless Clinton wins Arizona, but that's unlikely. If Clinton keeps Michigan and Wisconsin and hangs on to PA, NH, and NV she wins. But Trump seems to be in a stronger place in Wisconsin, less so in Michigan.

Clinton's Working Class White Voter Problem

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 10:54 PM by Maurice Berger

State by state, Clinton is under-performing Obama's 2012 numbers with white working class voters. And this is the main reason why she has lost Ohio and why her margins are much closer in many of the swing states.

Trump Wins Ohio, Clinton Virginia

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 10:40 PM by Maurice Berger

As expected.

Michigan: Mixed Results

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 10:13 PM by Maurice Berger

Clinton is under-performing in a number of counties in Michigan, over-performing in a few. But most of the big Democratic strongholds have been slow to report.

Florida: Closing In On Clinton

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 9:32 PM by Maurice Berger

Although hundreds of thousands of votes in Democratic counties have yet to be counted in Florida, the math is getting a bit more difficult for Clinton.

Slow Reporting Of Larger Counties

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 9:30 PM by Maurice Berger

Waiting on large Democratic counties in Virginia, NC, Florida, PA, Michigan, etc. Trump is holding his own--and often out-performing Romney in 2012 in rural and some suburban counties. And Democratic counties are extremely slow to report.

Slow Data

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 9:27 PM by Maurice Berger

Data continues to come in slowly from key battleground states, so this will be a long night.

Virginia: Democratic Counties Are Slow To Report

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 8:41 PM by Maurice Berger

Trump is now ahead in Virginia. But the vast majority of uncounted votes are in vastly Democratic counties. Once again, the large urban and suburban counties tend to process votes more slowly, given the vast number of ballots that need to be counted.

Florida: Most Uncounted Ballots Are In Democratic Counties

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 8:20 PM by Maurice Berger

Re: Florida, most of the uncounted ballots are now in the large Democratic counties in South Florida. So things still bode well for Clinton in the state.

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