Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
270 Needed to Win.
| Toss Up | ||
| Total | 0 | |
 |
Too close to call | 0 |
| Barack Obama (Democrat) | ||
| Total | 303 | |
 |
Safe | 217 |
 |
Leaning | 86 |
| Republican (Republican) | ||
| Total | 235 | |
 |
Safe | 191 |
 |
Leaning | 44 |
Posted May 21, 2013 at 5:04 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new survey by Gallup, "65% of Americans say the U.S. Senate should have passed the measure that would have expanded background checks for gun purchases, while 29% agree with the Senate's failure to pass the measure." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted May 20, 2013 at 4:04 PM by Maurice Berger
Stuart Rothenberg notes that democratic complacency in the 2013 special election in Massachusetts to fill the US Senate seat vacated by John Kerry could backfire: "The special election . . . took an interesting turn this week, when former Navy SEAL Gabriel Gomez drew more than 50 percent of the vote to win the GOP nomination. . . . The total GOP primary vote was less than what Lynch received in the Democratic race, and the Bay State’s Democratic bent is undeniable. But Gomez has an interesting story, and at least the GOP didn’t nominate an old white guy who had served in the Massachusetts Legislature. . . Democrats won’t allow themselves to be surprised the way they were when Scott P. Brown beat Martha Coakley in the last Senate special election, in early 2010, and the national party’s image can’t do anything but hurt Gomez’s already uphill chances. But there is no reason to rush to judgment on this race, at least for a couple of weeks, and it’s worth watching to see how it unfolds. Obviously, Markey begins as the clear favorite.
Posted May 15, 2013 at 2:29 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll by Quinnipiac reports former US Senator and First Lady Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead over other potential 2016 candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, with 65%, followed by Joe Biden at 13% and Andrew Cuomo at 4%.
Posted May 14, 2013 at 4:25 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Pew Research poll reports mixed results on voter's attitudes about President Obama's performance in office: just 49% believes that President Obama is "able to get things done," a steep decline from 57% in January and closer to his levels of confidence in 2012. Conversely, and a net positive for the president, the vast majority of Americans, 67%, believe Obama is fighting hard for his policies, a significant improvement.
Posted May 13, 2013 at 2:39 AM by Maurice Berger
A poll by the Pat Brown Institute of Public Affairs reports that Wendy Greuel and Eric Garcetti are in a virtual dead heat in the Los Angeles mayoral race, where Greuel leads Garcetti by a scant +2%--46% to 45%--among likely voters; 9% remain undecided. The elections is on 21 May 21.
Posted May 10, 2013 at 8:22 AM by Maurice Berger
Two conflicting polls on the state of the special election to fill Secretary of State's John Kerry's US Senate seat: a new WBUR poll in Massachusetts reports that Democrat Rep. Edward Markey leads Republican Gabriel Gomez, 41% to 35%. This would suggest a very competitive race. But a contemporaneous Suffolk University poll finds Markey ahead by 17% points, 52% to 35%.
Posted May 09, 2013 at 8:16 AM by Maurice Berger
For decades, the Virginia gubernatorial election has been a bellwether of sorts: the candidate from the opposing party of the president of the United States wins. Will 2013 be an exception. Possibly not. According to a new poll from the Washington Post, Republican Ken Cuccinelli holds an early lead over Democrat Terry McAuliffe in their race for governor, 46% to 41% among all voters and 51% to 41% among those voters most likely to cast a ballot.
Posted May 08, 2013 at 7:54 AM by Maurice Berger
Is the special election to fill the US Senate seat vacated by John Kerry in Massachusetts head for an upset, much like the race to fill the seat of the late-Edward Kennedy? Possibly. A new survey by Public Policy Polling reports that the race is a surprisingly close , with Democrat Rep. Ed Markey leading Republican Gabriel Gomez by just +4%--44% to 40%.
Posted May 07, 2013 at 8:10 AM by Maurice Berger
According to Gallup, "a majority of Americans still don't know enough to say whether the federal budget sequestration cuts are a good thing or a bad thing for the country -- as has generally been the case since they went into effect. But of those who do who have an opinion, more continue to say sequestration is a bad thing, rather than a good thing." Here is Gallup's chart.
Posted May 06, 2013 at 10:01 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by Public Policy Polling in South Carolina's 1st congressional district reports that the special election is too close to call. But it also shows a marked reversal of Republican Mark Sanford's standing in the district. Two weeks ago, PPP showed his Democratic challenger, Elizabeth Colbert Busch, leading by
nine points, 50% to 41%.
Today, the poll reports that the race
is
too
close to call, with Sanford edging Colbert Busch by +1%--47% to 46%.
11/06/2012
Obama-303 Romney-235 Too-Close-To-Call-0
11/03/2012
Obama-303 Romney-206 Too-Close-To-Call-29
10/31/2012
Obama-290 Romney-206 Too-Close-To-Call-42
10/27/2012
Obama-290 Romney-235 Too-Close-To-Call-13
10/26/2012
Obama-281 Romney-235 Too-Close-To-Call-22
2004 Election 2008 Election 2009 2010 2011 2016 50% mark 50-state strategy abortion advertising Afghanistan African-American voters Al Franken Andrew Cuomo bailout Barack Obama battleground states bellwether Benghazi Bill Ayers Bill Clinton Birthers Blue Dog Democrats Bob Barr bounce Bradley Effect budget camapign spending Cap and Trade Catholic voters cell phone users census Chicago children China Chris Christie climate change Colin Powell collective bargaining congressional genrtic ballot conservative voters constitutional rights consumer confidence Daily Tracking Poll Dan Quayle death penalty debate defense deficit Democratic National Convention Democratic Party Dick Cheney Direction of Country Don't Ask Don't Tell Donald Trump early voting ecology economic confidence index economic crisis economy education Election 2012 Election 2013 Election 2014 Election Day Map Today Election Night Live Blog electoral votes Elitism empathy energy policy enthusiasm gap environment exit polls experience favorability rating Federal Government female voters filters First Lady First Time Voters flash poll Foreign Policy futures markets Gary Johnson gasoline prices gay marriage gay rights generation gap generic congressional ballot George H. W. Bush George W. Bush global warming gun control guns health insurance healthcare Herman Cain Hillary Clinton Hispanic voters homosexuality immigration inauguration Independent Voters Iowa Caucus Iran Iraq War Jeb Bush Jeremiah A. Wright Jewish Vote Jimmy Carter Joe Biden John Boehner John Kerry John McCain Jon Huntsman liberal Libya likely voters Los Angeles Lybia Marco Rubio marijuana media coverage Medicare Michael Dukakis Michele Bachmann Michelle Obama Mike Huckabee military military action Mitt Romney moderate voters moral issues muslim Nancy Pelosi national security newspaper endorsements Newt Gingrich Norm Coleman North Korea numerical ceiling OBAMA PROJECT Obamicans offshore drilling oil spill older voters online poll Osama Bin Laden partisan identification Paul Ryan persuadable voters Poll average poll closing Polling polling methodologies polling samples PollTrack E-Mail List PollTrack in 2009 PollTrack in 2011 predictions market president President Barack Obama PRESIDENT-ELECT Barack Obama presidential approval ratings presidential debates presidential race maps Proposition 8 protest Protestant Voters public opinion polls race Racism Ralph Nader Reagan Democrats reapportionment recession redistricting religion Republican National Convention Republican nomination Republican Party Rick Perry Rick Santorum Ron Paul Ronald Reagan Ross Perot Rudy Giuliani same sex marriage Sarah Palin snap polls South Korea spending habits State of the Union Address stem cell research swing state Syria tax cuts taxes Tea Party terrorism third party Tim Pawlenty Today's Map Tomorrow's Map Tracking The Nation transition trend turnout TV viewership U.S. Postal Service undecided unemployment rate unions US Congress US Governor RACE CHART US House RACE CHART US Mayors RACE CHART US Senate RACE CHART US Supreme Court US Workers veterans vice presidential debate Vice=Presidential Approval Rating Voices on the Ground Voter Enthusiasm voter expectations voter outreach Wall Street white voters women voters Writing on the Wall Younger Voters
AL AK AS AZ CA CO CT DE DC FL GA ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VA WA WV WI
