Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall Voices on the Ground The Obama Project
Our innovative presidential election maps offer a snapshot of where things stand and where they are headed in the state-by-state hunt for electoral votes. Armed with public opinion polls, the history and demographics of each state, knowledge of the nation’s geographic and cultural diversity, and common sense and intuition, political director Maurice Berger offers continuous updates and a blog (below map) on the state of the presidential race. Today’s Map Today monitors its current status. Tomorrow’s Map Today charts its momentum in the coming days or weeks. And Election Day Today records the actual outcome of the 2008 presidential race.
Today
Tomorrow
Election Day
/images/jivy/map_titles/1.gif Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
Roll over a state for poll averages, click for commentary.
Basemap
AL
9
AK
3
AZ
10
AR
6
CA
55
CO
9
CT
7
DE
3
DC
3
FL
27
GA
15
HI
4
ID
4
IL
21
IN
11
IA
7
KS
6
KY
8
LA
9
ME
4
MD
10
MA
12
MI
17
MN
10
MS
6
MO
11
MT
3
NE
5
NV
5
NH
4
NJ
15
NM
5
NY
31
NC
15
ND
3
OH
20
OK
7
OR
7
PA
21
RI
4
SC
8
SD
3
TN
11
TX
34
UT
5
VT
3
VA
13
WV
5
WI
10
WY
3

270 Needed to Win.

Toss Up
Total 84
Unclear Too close to call 84
Barack Obama (Democrat)
Total 291
Democratic Safe 238
Leaning_democratic Leaning 53
John McCain (Republican)
Total 163
Republican Safe 127
Leaning_republican Leaning 36
Hide the Map
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Obama Job Approval Varies Among Religious Groups

Posted Sep 02, 2010 at 9:38 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Gallup analysis, "Muslim Americans continue to give President Barack Obama the highest job approval rating of any major religious group in the U.S., while Mormons give the president the lowest ratings." Here is Gallup's chart:

Obama Job Approval by Religious Group, First Half and Second Half of 2009, and First Seven Months of 2010

Most See Palin As Ineffective President

Posted Sep 01, 2010 at 10:08 AM by Maurice Berger

Would Sarah Palin make a good president? Most Americans say no, according to a 60 Minutes/Vanity Fair poll. 59% of Americans said they don't think Sarah Palin would be an effective president of the United States. GOP voters have a different opinion, however: by a 47% to 40% margin, Republicans believe Palin would be an effective president.

Gallup: GOP With Unprecedented Lead In Generic Ballot

Posted Aug 31, 2010 at 10:15 AM by Maurice Berger

A just published Gallup tracking poll has alarming news for Democrats running in the mid-term election: the GOP now holds an unprecedented lead in the generic congressional ballot. The survey reports that Republicans lead by 10 points in the generic congressional ballot among registered voters, 51% to 41%. This is the biggest GOP lead so far this year and its largest in Gallup's history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress.

Presidential Approval Numbers Improve Slightly, Though Disapproval Still High

Posted Aug 30, 2010 at 10:22 AM by Maurice Berger

Continued slight improvement for the President this week, though, for the fifth straight week, his aggregate approval number remains considerably lower than his disapproval number. As of Sunday evening, the president average approval rating is up to the mid-40s range, at 46.0% (a slight decline from last week). His disapproval number is 48.2% (a slight decline from last week).

Most Americans Believe Iraq War Will Be Judged A Failure

Posted Aug 26, 2010 at 10:02 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Gallup survey, "although Americans believe Iraq is better off now than it was before the war began, more believe the mission will ultimately be judged a failure (53%) than a success (42%). Most are doubtful that Iraqi forces will be able to maintain security in Iraq, but a slim majority still favor complete U.S. withdrawal by the end of 2011."

U.S. Economic Confidence Down

Posted Aug 25, 2010 at 9:01 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Gallup, "after improving slightly earlier this month, Gallup's Economic Confidence Index declined over the past two weeks to its current -33, matching the average for all of July. The July confidence numbers are the lowest of the year so far; thus, even with the slight uptick in early August, confidence remains below the levels seen during much of 2010 and below its depressed levels of a year ago. 48% of Americans rated current economic conditions as 'poor' during the week ending Aug. 22 -- approaching the highest levels of the year. This is marginally worse than the early August reading, is in line with the full July average of 47%, and is marginally worse than at this time in 2009."

PollTrack Average: Republicans Hold Significant Lead In Generic Congressional Ballot

Posted Aug 24, 2010 at 10:18 AM by Maurice Berger

According to PollTrack's latest calculation, the GOP holds a significant lead over Democrats in the Generic Congressional Ballot. As of Sunday evening, that lead is a considerable +7.2%, 47.5 to 40.3%. These numbers represent one of the largest leads held by either party in recent years.

Presidential Approval Numbers Improve Slightly, Though Disapproval Still High

Posted Aug 23, 2010 at 9:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A slight improvement for the President this week. Still, for the fifth straight week, his aggregate approval number remains considerably lower than his disapproval number. As of Sunday evening, the president average approval rating is up to the mid-40s range, at 46.5% (a two-point improvement from last week). His disapproval number is 49.8% (a full point decline from last week).

2010 GOP Nomination: Does Romney Lead The Pack?

Posted Aug 20, 2010 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

A new CNN poll reports that Mitt Romney leads the field of potential 2012 Republican presidential candidates with 21%, followed by Sarah Palin at 18%, Newt Gingrich at 15%, Mike Huckabee at 14% and Ron Paul at 10%. Another poll, however, from Public Policy Polling survey shows the candidates essentially tied: Huckabee at 23%, Romney at 22%, Palin at 21% and Gingrich at 21%.

Support For Palin Among GOP Declines

Posted Aug 19, 2010 at 9:32 AM by Maurice Berger

A newly released survey from the Clarus Research Group of GOP voters reports that support for Sarah Palin for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination has fallen considerably since March, declining from 18% to 12%. Clarus reports: "Palin gets more attention from the national media than presidential support from Republicans. The major change since March is that Gingrich has now edged out Palin for third place, even though the two are running well within the statistical margin of error."

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