Posted Jan 30, 2009 at 1:29 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by the Gallup organization reports a national electoral map that has grown markedly Democratic over the past few years: "An analysis of Gallup Poll Daily tracking data from 2008 finds Rhode
Island, Massachusetts, and Hawaii to be the most Democratic states in
the nation, along with the District of Columbia. Utah and Wyoming are
the most Republican states . . . What is immediately clear from the map is that residents of the
United States were very Democratic in their political orientation last
year. . . All told, 29 states and the District of Columbia had Democratic
party affiliation advantages of 10 points or greater last year. This
includes all of the states in the Northeast, and all but Indiana in the
Great Lakes region. There are even several Southern states in this
grouping, including Arkansas, North Carolina, and Kentucky. An additional six states had Democratic advantages ranging between 5 and 9 points. In contrast, only five states had solid or leaning Republican
orientations in 2008, with Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, and Alaska in the
former group, and Nebraska in the latter."
Posted Jan 29, 2009 at 5:02 AM by Maurice Berger
Diageo/Hotline Poll of 800 registered voters conducted in late-January finds that President Obama's popularity is helping to boost voter perceptions of Democrats in congress: "Now that Democrats control both the White House and
both Houses of Congress, Democrats in Congress currently find themselves as
beneficiaries of President Obama's high favorability and job approval
ratings . . . 49% of voters say they approve of the
job Democrats in Congress are doing, while only 26% of voters who approve of the
job Republicans in Congress are doing. And, while the 111th Congress has been in session barely three weeks, the
Poll finds that the Democratic candidate leads the Republican candidate 46%-22%
in a generic 2010 congressional election match-up, with 27% of voters saying
they are undecided."
Posted Jan 29, 2009 at 1:46 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new poll, a scant majority of Americans support President Obama's proposed economic stimulous package pass by the House last night: "As President Barack Obama tries to win over reluctant Republicans on his
economic stimulus plan, a slim majority of the American public wants to see
Congress pass the roughly $800 billion package of new government spending and
tax breaks . . . 52% of the
nation's adults are in favor of Congress passing the plan and 37% are opposed,
while 11% have no opinion." A new Rasmussen survey, however, shows support for the package dipping well below maojority numbers: in the poll, likely voters support the measure 42% to 39% with 19% undecided.
Posted Jan 28, 2009 at 1:30 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Diageo/Hotline survey, "75% of voters are “confident” that President Obama will bring “real change to the way things are done in Washington, D.C.” This represents a nine-point increase from the 66% of voters who said they were “confident” in his ability to bring real change in the Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted immediately after the Presidential Election. The Poll also finds that 76% of voters hold a favorable impression of President Obama, while only 15% of voters hold an unfavorable impression."
Posted Jan 27, 2009 at 1:12 AM by Maurice Berger
The ideological divide evident in Election 2008 between the so-called blue and red states may be dissipating. According to a set of polls released by Rasmussen Reports, Tennessee and Texas--two states that were safely in John McCain’s column on
Election Day--now report surprisingly high approval ratings for President Obama: "In a snapshot look at attitudes in McCain country, Rasmussen
Reports finds that concerns about the current economic situation appear to
override traditional political considerations. In Texas, for example, 62% of voters approve of Barack
Obama’s performance to date, including 41% who Strongly Approve. 35% disapprove, with 19% who Strongly Disapprove.Only 47% of Texas voters had a favorable opinion of Obama in
the last poll before Election Day . . . 60% of Tennessee voters approve of Obama’s
job performance, including 39% who Strongly Approve. Thirty-five percent (35%)
disapprove, 21% of whom Strongly Disapprove." Obama's approval rating in the state in a pre-Election Day poll was 45%.
Posted Jan 26, 2009 at 4:17 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Rasmussen poll, most Americans perecive President Obama as more liberal than they are: "Nearly half of U.S. voters (49%) say Barack Obama is politically more liberal than they are, as the new
president begins to tackle the country’s economic problems with a massive
spending-and-tax-cut bill. 9% believe he is more conservative, and 38%
rate his political views about the same as their own . . . 5% are not sure."
Posted Jan 26, 2009 at 2:06 AM by Maurice Berger
According to Gallup, President Barack Obama receives a 68% approval rating from Americans In the first job approval rating of his administration: Only 12% of Americans disapprove of how he has performed thus far, while 21% have no opinion. "Obama's 68% approval score is on the high end of the range of initial job approval ratings Gallup has recorded for the previous eight presidents who were elected to their first term.
The low percentage of Americans disapproving of his performance is
fairly typical for new presidents -- although Bill Clinton and George
W. Bush both started with much higher public disapproval."
Posted Jan 23, 2009 at 1:38 AM by Maurice Berger
The Wall Street Journal has an oitstanding interactive chart of presidential approval ratings from 1945 to 2006. The Chart allows you to match approval ratings with key events, both national and international, that impacted the presidency. For the WSJ chart click here.
Posted Jan 22, 2009 at 4:11 AM by Maurice Berger
Nearly half of Americans in a new poll believe that the election of Barack Obama as the nation's first black president will inevitably improve race relations: "48% believe his inauguration signals the start of a
new era of race relations in the United States. 32% disagree, while another 21% are
undecided . . . African-Americans are much more convinced than white
Americans that Obama’s inauguration will change race relations. Three out of
four blacks (75%) say this will be the case, compared to just 43% of whites.
Over a third of whites (35%) do not believe this to be true, compared to just
19% of blacks. Over a quarter of adults (26%) say they are very hopeful that
the start of Obama’s administration will lead to a quick turnaround for America,
and another third (34%) are somewhat hopeful. Only 15% say they are not at all
hopeful for a rapid improvement and 22% say they are not very hopeful"
Posted Jan 22, 2009 at 1:51 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Gallup poll, six in 10 Americans tuned in live to the presidential inauguration
ceremonies on Tuesday. Another 20% heard or read news reports of the
event while 20% caught none of it. Gallup observes: "The live audience included 70% of nonworking Americans, but also 53%
of those currently employed -- suggesting that many workers either took
the day off or had the opportunity to watch or hear the ceremonies at
work. Americans were clearly more interested in the inauguration of Barack
Obama than they were in George W. Bush's second inauguration four years
ago. In 2005, only 40% of Americans said they watched or heard the
inaugural ceremonies live."
Posted Jan 21, 2009 at 2:05 AM by Maurice Berger
Americans have confidence in Obama's ability to make good on his promises, according a to new Gallup Poll: "Ensuring that all children have health insurance, doubling
production of alternative energy and reducing health care costs are the
promises Barack Obama have made that most Americans want him to keep . . . There is agreement on the top three across partisan lines although
by different margins. Democrats agree on this top three by even higher
percentages than the overall public. Independents rate them in the top
60s, and Republicans in the low to mid 50s. As to what Americans believe Obama will be able to accomplish,
enacting a big public works program tops the list (80%),
followed by increasing U.S. military strength in Afghanistan (68%), ensuring children have health insurance (62%) and
lifting restrictions on government funding of stem cell research (61%)."
Posted Jan 20, 2009 at 3:46 PM by Maurice Berger
Tina Brown's much visited website The Daily Beast just published a
profile of PollTrack on its Buzz Board--the page on which famous
people (and also just plain smart ones) recommend their favorite things,
from websites and books to movies and shops. Patricia J.
Williams, the renowned legal scholar and columnist for The Nation picked PollTrack (following on her profile of the site on her madlawprofessor blog). For the full text click here. They've also included an invitation to participate in The
Obama Project and a few lines on our political director--"one of these
polymathic statistical whiz kids who happen to have a passion for
Posted Jan 20, 2009 at 5:18 AM by Maurice Berger
Those PollTrack readers interesting in keeping track of the first days of the Obama president may want to click on this link and go to the official White House website. The Obama iteration of the site launched at noon today, just minutes after Barack Obama became the nation's 44th president. The site will include updates on presidential activities and initiatives as well as an ongoing White House blog.
Posted Jan 20, 2009 at 2:07 AM by Maurice Berger
It looks like President-Elect Obama's inauguration may be the most watched in US history. According to a just released poll by Rasmussen Reports, "75% of U.S. voters say they plan to watch at least some
of Barack Obama's inauguration live next week, including 28% who plan to watch
it all, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone
survey. 21% say they will not watch any of the
presidential swearing-in ceremony and the activities surrounding it on January
20, and 3% aren't sure."
Posted Jan 19, 2009 at 1:47 AM by Maurice Berger
A Gallup/USA Today survey conducted January 9-11 2009 suggests that most Americans expect an extraordinary inauguration speech tomorrow from Barack Obama: "Americans
have set a high bar for Obama on his inauguration speech. 56% expect it to be excellent and another 30% expect it to
be good. 55% percent had expected George Bush's inaugural to be
excellent or good when he took the oath for a second term in 2005." Even more extraodinary are Americans expectations for the Obama presidency: 62% believe Obama will be an outstanding or above-average
President, 25% say he will be average and 11% say he will
be below average or poor. Obama himself fares better than his
cabinet-level appointees. 45% say they are outstanding
or above average and 38% say they are average."
Posted Jan 16, 2009 at 2:20 AM by Maurice Berger
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll reports that with less than a week before taking office, President-Elect Obama enjoys exceptionally marks on his handling of the transition, with 71% of respondents approving: "On a series of measures -- from being seen as easygoing and likable to being
perceived as a good commander-in-chief -- Mr. Obama rated higher than President
George W. Bush or former President Bill Clinton did shortly before they took
Posted Jan 15, 2009 at 3:21 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll reports that while U.S. voters like Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice better than her designated successor,
Hillary Clinton, most are confident that Clinton is up to the task of being
America’s chief diplomat: "62% are at least somewhat confident in
Clinton’s ability to address the international challenges facing our nation in
Iraq, Afghanistan and the Gaza Strip. 34% are Very
Confident . . . 15%, however, are not at all confident of
Clinton’s abilities to deal with these issues."
Posted Jan 15, 2009 at 2:07 AM by Maurice Berger
President George W. Bush is leaving office with one of the lowest approval ratings in history. How do Americans see him relative to other chief executives: as one of the worst. According to a new poll, 57% of Americans say Bush is one of the
"five worst presidents in U.S. history . . . Just 6% say he was one of the five
best, and 34% place him somewhere in between. Republicans aren’t much help to the retiring 62-year-old GOP
president. While predictably 81% of Democrats rate Bush as one of the five worst
presidents, so do 20% of Republicans. 65% of Republicans put
Bush in the somewhere-in-between category, while only 11% say he was one of the
five best chief executives."
Posted Jan 14, 2009 at 6:54 AM by Maurice Berger
The renowned legal scholar and cultural critic Patricia J. Williams--a regular columnist for The Nation and The Daily Beast and recipient of the prestigious MacArthur "Genius" Grant--has just rated PollTrack one of her favorite websites. Here is the text of her citation:
Tracking Elections From The Ground Up
Although relatively new on the scene, PollTrack offers some of the savviest
electoral analysis around. Its political director is Maurice Berger, an art
curator for institutions ranging from the Whitney Museum of Modern Art and the
New School’s Vera List Center to the University of Maryland and the
Smithsonian. He is also one of those polymathic statistical whiz kids who
happens to have a passion for politics. Trust me, this is a great combination.
The latest feature of this site is something called “The Obama Project.” It
is "an online forum for commentary, analysis, poetry, photographs, and
YouTube content that explores the following questions: What Does The Election of
Barack Obama Mean To You? And What Does it Mean for The Nation? We ask you to
submit texts (from a single line to 2,000 words), photographs, or content you’ve
posted on YouTube. We will be uploading content daily–on an ongoing
basis–through the inauguration and beyond. You are also welcome to submit
materials that relate to Election 2008 but do not fall within the purview of The
Obama Project. To submit texts or images, go to http://www.polltrack.com/voices.
Posted Jan 14, 2009 at 6:27 AM by Maurice Berger
In what may well be a problem for the incoming Obama administration and the new Democratic Congress, voters by a statistically significant margin trust Republicans more on matters of national security. According to a just released poll, Republicans hold the biggest lead over Democrats on the
issue of national security since early September: 48% of voters trust the GOP more to handle
national security and the War on Terror, while only 40% trust Democrats more. In December, the GOP held just a four-point lead on the issue.
Trust in the Republicans hasn’t been this high since September 6, when they led the Democrats 50% to 40% on the
issue." Unaffiliated voters give Republicans a staggering edge on handle national security--51% to 31%.
Posted Jan 14, 2009 at 12:08 AM by Maurice Berger
Michael McDonald of the Department of Public and International Affairs
George Mason University has recently undertaken an extensive (and
excellent) analysis of state-by-state early voting paterns in Election
2008. His conclusion: traditional Election Day voting patterns are changing
rapidly: "In the presidential election of 2008, approximately 39.7
million or 30% of all votes were cast prior to Election Day, November
4, 2008. This is a significant increase from 20% in 2004 and part of
the upward trend experienced since 1992, when 7% of all votes were cast
early. These numbers are likely to increase in subsequent presidential
elections as more states adopt early voting and more voters become
comfortable with the practice." In another analysis, McDonald determines that the actual number of people who voted for president in 2008 was 131.3 million
people. Expressed as a rate, this was 61.6% among those eligible to vote, an
increase of 1.5 percentage points over 2004. "Since reaching a modern low in 1996, turnout rates have been increasing for
three consecutive presidential elections--an increase that disputes the conclusions of many political scientists that the temperament of the American voter and voting itself have invited declining turnout rates: the
decline in civic society, lowered trust in government and the tuning out of the
electorate by television, among others: "Indeed, turnout rates are now in the low
sixty percent range, the same level as the "high" turnout rates in the 1950s and
1960s. This despite the inclusion of lower participatory 18-20 year olds in the
electorate and what I preliminarily estimate to be a half to three quarters of a
million rejected mail-in ballots."
Posted Jan 12, 2009 at 6:27 PM by Maurice Berger
Overall, Americans appear to be happier with the state of US foreign policy--and the state of the world itself--than with the present-day economic situation. American perceptions about the Iraq, for example, improved dramatically in 2008. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken this summer reported that "nearly half of Americans say the U.S. troop surge in Iraq made the situation there better, up from 40% in February and just 22% a year ago. Accordingly, the percentage believing the surge 'is not making much difference' has declined from 51% a year ago, and 38% in February, to just 32%." In late summer, Americans were split down the middle on the issue of whether the United States should set an explicit timetable or target date for the removal of U.S. troops from Iraq -- "when it is made clear that withdrawal is a given in either circumstance." Americans view the Arab-Israeli conflict with surprising optimism (despite the recent confligration in Gaza): "52% now believe it is possible for Israel and the Palestinians to live in peace, but just 35% think Obama is likely to help end the conflict during his presidency. Only 12% say Obama is Very Likely to help bring the two sides together, while 23% say it is not at likely." As for Americans view of terrorism: despite warnings of a possible attack during the early months of the new administration, a poll this fall found that "while a new bipartisan report concludes that the United States remains 'dangerously vulnerable' to terrorist attacks, most Americans do not fear being directly affected. Only 38% are very or somewhat worried that they or a family member will become a victim of terrorism. This is down from 47% last July, and from a high of 59% in October 2001, but is still short of a post-9/11 low of 28% in January 2004."
Posted Jan 11, 2009 at 7:34 PM by Maurice Berger
One important factor in an incoming president's foreign policy and defense profile is his relationship to the military. Some presidents have assumed office with strong backing from military personal and leaders (Ronald Regan, George H. W. Bush, George W. Bush). Others have had a more difficult time, most notably Bill Clinton, especially after his attempt (in the first days of his new administration) to allow gays to serve the the military, through the still controversial "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" policy. It looks like service members view president-elect Obama as a negative rather than positive force according to a Military Times poll of active-duty
service members. Six out of 10 respondents say they are uncertain or pessimistic about
Obama as commander in chief, , according to a Military
Times survey: "In follow-up interviews, respondents expressed concerns about
Obama’s lack of military service and experience leading men and women in
uniform. . . . Underlying much of the uncertainty is Obama’s stated 16-month
timetable for pulling combat troops out of Iraq, as well as his calls to end the 'don’t ask, don’t tell' policy to allow gays to serve openly in the military,
according to survey responses and interviews. Most active service members still
trust George W. Bush more than the incoming president: When asked who has their
best interests at heart — Obama or Bush — a higher percentage of respondents
picked Bush, though Bush has lost ground over time. About half of the
respondents said Bush has their best interests at heart this year, the same
percentage as last year but a decline from 69 percent in 2004." Obama's support
increases significantly among African-American service members--eight out of 10
said they are optimistic about their incoming boss. One important caveat: The
responses are unrepresentative of the the military as a whole, undercounting
minorities, women and junior enlisted service members. Still, these numbers suggest that Obama may have a bumpy road ahead in his role as commander in chief.
Posted Jan 09, 2009 at 5:11 AM by Maurice Berger
In yet another dauting problem facing the incoming Obama administration, the jobless rate has risen to 7.2% in December:The economy shed 524,000 nonfarm jobs last month according to the Labor Department. More than 11 million Americans are now unemployed, the most in nearly 25 years.
Posted Jan 08, 2009 at 5:52 PM by Maurice Berger
In what may be a plus (but also potentially a hindrance), Barack Obama begins his presidency with an exceptionally high approval rating--now hovering around 70%. Even more remarkable, according to a recent national poll of adults, 32% of Americans choose Barack Obama as the "man they most
admire living anywhere in the world today, putting him in the No. 1
position on Gallup's annual Most Admired Man list." To put Obama's standing in perspective: Obama is the first president-elect since Dwight Eisenhower in 1952 to
top the list. And he has done it with a runaway high figure. For
comparison, as president-elect in December 2000, George W. Bush was
mentioned by just 5% of Americans, ranking him fourth. In December
1992, president-elect Bill Clinton ranked second behind outgoing
president George H.W. Bush, with 15%. And in 1988, then president-elect
Bush achieved third place, with 9%." Almost as important for the incoming administration: Hillary Clinton
earns the top spot for Most Admired Woman, named by 20%." Clinton's numbers are significant given the highly public and important role she will play in the White House. Obama's numbers suggests that the president-elect is coming into office with a good deal of political capital--an electorate that both admires and respects him. Indeed, a recent CNN/Opinion Research survey reported that 76% of Americans believe Obama is a strong and
decisive leader. (By contrast, just 60% of voters felt the same way about George W. Bush when he took office in 2001.) "That's the best number an incoming president
has gotten on that dimension since Ronald Reagan took office in 1981,"
CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "The public's rating of his
leadership skills is already as high as George W. Bush's was after 9/11
and easily beats the numbers that both Bush and Bill Clinton got at the
start of their first terms in office." And what do Americans expect Obama to actually achieve. According to a Washington Post/ABC News survey, it's quite a bit: 70% of Americans expect Obama to improve the U.S. image
abroad; 68% expect him to bring about health care reform; 67% say he will implement policies to deal with global warming; 64% believe he will end U.S. involvement in Iraq; and 46% percent
believe he will improve the economy." The the issue of the economy
is significant in this poll, out because it is the only one of these goals in which a
majority (52%) don't believe Obama will succeed. In the end, high hopes sometimes lead to dashed expectations if the public perceives a new president's initiatives as failed, problematic, or counterproductive. PollTrack will closely watch these numbers over the next few months to see if this extraidinary public goodwill continues and flourishes.
Posted Jan 07, 2009 at 5:59 PM by Maurice Berger
Will president-elect Obama make good on his promise to end partisan bickering in Washington? The answer may well determine the relative success or failure of his new iniatives, especially his effort to pass a comprehensive economic stimulous package. With little less than two weeks to go until the new president takes office, recent opinion polls suggest that Obama has made remarkable inroads with self-described "conservative" Americans: "The extent to which Barack Obama is experiencing a post-election wave
of good will from Americans is born out by his base of supprt among these espondents: "close to half of political
conservatives -- 45% -- say they are confident in Obama's ability to be a
good president. About the same percentage (46%) disagree." The 45% who say they are
confident in Obama contrasts with the
mere 23% of this group who supported him over John McCain in the
election. In the end, "this relatively strong endorsement from conservatives boosts overall
confidence in Obama well beyond the 53% of the national vote he
received on Election Day." Overall, upawards of 65% to 70% of Americans now say they are
confident Obama will be a good president, while only 27% are not
confident and 8% are unsure. PollTrack suggests that the higher Obama's approval numbers with conservatives (and Republican voters of all stripes), the easier it may be for him to garner cross-over support in congress for a range of initiatives. This support may well tunr out to be the political cover right-of-center politicians will need to support Obama's programs.
Posted Jan 06, 2009 at 5:44 PM by Maurice Berger
With just a few weeks until Obama's inauguration, Americans remain worried and cautious about the state of energy and the nation's dependence on gasoline and other fossil fules. Nearly two in three Americans (64%)--according to a recent Gallup survey--report adjusting their driving
habits in significant ways in response to surging gas prices earlier
this year, but only 12% have reverted to their old habits as prices at
the pump have plunged. Even as the price of a gallon of gas has fallen
below $2 in most areas, 52% of Americans say they have not gone back to
their old driving habits." These numbers suggest that Americans are reacting not only to the gravity of the energy crisis, but also are anxious about the economy and the effect of high energy and oil prices on their pocketbooks. As Gallup concludes: "the plunge in gas prices is similar to distributing a huge tax rebate
by how much individuals drive. Like the tax rebate from earlier this
year, lower-income Americans tend to be most likely to spend the
rebate, but all Americans are likely to save a large portion
of any tax rebate. In part, it may be that most Americans have not gone
back to their old driving habits for fear that pump prices will surge
once more in the future. Just as likely, however, particularly for
upper-income Americans, returning to old driving habits may be a lot
like spending money -- something left for better times." It will be interesting to see the public response to energy use if oil prices begin to climb, the response of the White House and Congress, and the effect of both on the public's accessment of the Obama administration in the coming year.
Posted Jan 05, 2009 at 10:42 PM by Maurice Berger
Over the next week, PollTrack will publish a daily, six-part series--Obama's
America: The State Of The Nation--that will examine public opinion and the attitudes of American voters about a
range of issues facing the new president, from the economy and energy to voter
expectations about the new administration. Collectively the series will offer a comprehensive look at the state of
the nation through public opinion on the ground as Obama takes office. Today's
topic: The Economy. Public reaction and response to the economic crisis has been
mixed in recent weeks. For one, voters remain pessimistic about the economy:
Nationally, only 9% of adults rate the economy as either good or excellent. 61%
disagree and say the economy is in poor condition. Voters tend to support
president-elect Obama's proposal for a comprehensive and massive stilumlous
package: 56% of respondents say they favor the stimulus package that
President-elect Barack Obama is proposing; 42% were opposed.The poll concludes:
"Two-thirds of the public thinks the stimulus package will do just that, with
17% saying it will help the economy a lot and another 50% feeling that it will
help the economy somewhat. 21% percent say the stimulus package won't help the
economy very much and 10% say it won't help at all." Yet, the recent economic
crisis had led led "mixed feelings" about government intervention: 70% of
respondents say a free market is better than one managed by the government. Just
15% prefer a government-managed economy. 15% remain undecided. Still, a majority
of voters--a healthy 52%--also believe there is a need for more government
regulation of big business, although 35% disagree. 13% are unsure. These numbers suggest a highly vulnerable electorate, uncertain of the best way to handle the present economic crisis, unsure of how much government can do, but generally confident in the new president's ability to handle the situation.
Posted Jan 05, 2009 at 3:44 AM by Maurice Berger
Perhaps as a testament to voters' high regard for President-Elect Obama, Rasmussen reports that the number of Americans who consider themselves to be
Democrats rose again in December to 41.6%: "That’s up two-tenths of a point
since November and the third straight monthly increase in the number of
Democrats. Only once since Rasmussen Reports began tracking this data on
a monthly basis in 2002 has the number of Democrats been higher. In May, as the
Obama-Clinton primary battle neared its conclusion, 41.7% of Americans said they
were Democrats. At the same time, the number of Republicans declined a full
percentage point from 33.8% in November to 32.8% in December."
Posted Jan 05, 2009 at 12:53 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Gallup poll, liberal Democrats remain confident in president-elect Obama: support for Obama among liberal
Democrats is holding steady at 93% "despite news reports that his core
supporters are disappointed with some of his cabinet appointments and
other decisions. Meanwhile, in recent weeks, Obama's ratings have
improved among conservative Republicans, up from 23% to 29% . . . Now, a slim majority of moderate and liberal Republicans, 51%, say they
are confident Obama will be a good president, up from 44% in November.
Conservative Republicans remain largely skeptical of Obama's abilities,
but in recent weeks his stock has risen slightly among this group, from
23% to 29%."
Posted Jan 02, 2009 at 4:06 PM by Maurice Berger
Starting next Tuesday, PollTrack will publish a daily, six-part series--Obama's
America: The State Of The Nation--that will examine public opinion and the attitudes of American voters about a
range of issues facing the new president, from the economy and energy to voter
expectations about the new administration. Collectively the series will offer a comprehensive look at the state of
the nation through public opinion on the ground as Obama takes office.
Posted Jan 02, 2009 at 3:23 AM by Maurice Berger
Americans remain optimistic about 2009, but still fear the effects of a recession most believe will be long-term. According to a new poll, Americans have a bit more confidence in 2009 than in the year
that just passed, but 50% of adults believe the country will still be in a
recession this time next year. 24% say 2008 was a good or excellent
year, and 3% say it was the best year ever . . . 38% rate
2008 as poor. 32% expect 2009 to be good or excellent,
with 5% more predicting it will be the best ever. 23% say it’s going to be a poor year." By contrast, a year ago 54% rated 2007 as either good, excellent or one of the best years
ever for them personally. Only 20% gave it poor marks. 68% expected 2008 to be excellent, good
or the best, with just 7% predicting poor.