Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Majority Disapprove of President's Handling Of Economy

Posted Apr 29, 2011 at 12:43 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released McClatchy-Marist Poll reports that 40% of Americans approve of how President Obama is dealing with the economy; 57% disapprove. These numbers represent the lowest marks of his presidency.

Americans Not Supportive Of Libyan Intervention

Posted Apr 28, 2011 at 12:54 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released Public Policy Polling survey reports that a mere 27% of Americans favor military intervention in Libya; 40%  oppose it.

Election 2012: Huckabee Out Front In SC

Posted Apr 27, 2011 at 12:50 AM by Maurice Berger

A new American Research Group poll in South Carolina reports that Mike Huckabee now leads in another key early primary state for the 2012 GOP nomination. Huckabe comes in at with 20%, followed closely by Mitt Romney at 18%. Donald Trump at 13% and Sarah Palin at 10%.


CNN: Majority of Americans Support Gay Marriage

Posted Apr 26, 2011 at 1:55 AM by Maurice Berger

In yet another milestone for gay and lesbian rights in the United States, a new CNN/Opinion Research poll reports that 51% of Americans think marriages between lesbian and gay couples should be legal; 47% believe the marriages should not be recognized.

Republican Budget Plan Unpopular

Posted Apr 25, 2011 at 1:52 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Democracy Corps poll, the Republican plan to reduce the deficit is supported by 48% of respondents, "but when voters learn almost anything about it, they turn sharply and intensely against it . . . When the budget is described -- using as much of Paul Ryan's description as possible -- support collapses to 36% with just 19% strongly supporting the plan. The facts in the budget lose people almost immediately -- dropping 12 points. Putting the spotlight on this budget is damning. A large majority of 56% oppose it, 42% strongly. The impact is much stronger with seniors where support erodes from 48% to just 32%, with 57% opposed. Support with independents drops from 55% to 43%."

ABC News/Washington Post Poll: Obama Leads All GOP Challengers

Posted Apr 22, 2011 at 1:53 AM by Maurice Berger

A new ABC News/Washington Post Poll reports that even though President Obama's job approval rating has dropped to 47 percent, "he leads all potential GOP candidates. In a head-to-head matchups, Obama leads Romney by 4 points, 49-45 percent; Huckabee by 6 points, 50-44 percent; Trump by 12 points, 52-40 percent; Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., by 12 points; former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Gingrich by 15 points each; and Palin by 17 points"

Election 2012: How Vulnerable Is The President?

Posted Apr 21, 2011 at 1:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A new McClatchy-Marist Poll suggests that President Obama remains vulnerable in his reelection effort. The survey reports that 44% of American voters say they definitely plan to vote against Obama next year; 37% definitely plan to vote for him; and 18% are unsure. Still, the President bests all Republican challengers in the poll's hypothetical match ups: Mitt Romney does best against Obama, but still trails, 46% to 45%, while Mike Huckabee trails by 48% to 43%.

Election 2012: Huckabee Out Front In Iowa

Posted Apr 20, 2011 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa reports that Mike Huckabee is way ahead in the 2012 GOP nomination race for president. Huckabee leads with 27%, followed by Mitt Romney at 16%, Donald Trump at 14%, Newt Gingrich at 9%, Sarah Palin at 8%, Michele Bachmann at 6%, Ron Paul at 6% and Tim Pawlenty at 5%.

Election 2012: Trump Leads GOP Nomination Race

Posted Apr 19, 2011 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Public Policy Polling, Donald Trump now leads the GOP pack for the 2012 GOP nomination for president, with 26%; Mike Huckabee follows with 17%, Mitt Romney at 15%, Newt Gingrich at 11%, Sarah Palin at 8% and Ron Paul at 5%.

Gallup: Obama Approval Drops To Historic Low

Posted Apr 18, 2011 at 1:52 AM by Maurice Berger

According last Friday's Gallup Daily tracking poll, President Obama's approval rating now ties his historic low, at 41%. The president has hot this number twice before: in August and October 2010.

NJ Gov. Christie Remains Unknown Quantity

Posted Apr 14, 2011 at 4:40 PM by Maurice Berger

Despite the enthusiasm of many Republicans for his policy's of Governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie, who has been mentioned as a possible Republican presidential candidate in 2012, remains mostly unknown to most Americans. A new Gallup survey notes that "overall, 27% of Americans view him favorably and 22% unfavorably. Among Republicans, his ratings are 41% favorable and 12% unfavorable."

Election 2012: Obama In Poor Position In Florida

Posted Apr 13, 2011 at 12:38 AM by Maurice Berger

In a troubling sign for the administration, a new Sachs/Mason-Dixon poll suggests that President Obama is in a poor position for retaking Florida in his 2012 reellction bid. Right now, only 34% of independent voters in Florida approve of Obama's job performance. Both Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee would now defeat the president in Florida if the election were held today.

Election 2012: GOP Field Evenly Matched

Posted Apr 12, 2011 at 12:40 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Fox News poll show a closely matched GOP field for the 2012 nomination, with no potential Republican presidential candidate breaking out of a crowded field. Mike Huckabee is ahead with 15%; Mitt Romney is at 14%; Sarah Palin at 12% and Donald Trump at 11%. Other candidates remain the the single digits.


Gallup: Huckabee In Strongest Position For GOP Nomination

Posted Apr 11, 2011 at 12:56 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Gallup, "With President Obama officially announcing his candidacy for re-election on Monday, the question of whom he will run against becomes even more relevant. Three possible Republican candidates -- Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and Newt Gingrich -- are currently best situated among Republicans nationwide in terms of name recognition and Gallup Positive Intensity Scores. Sarah Palin and Ron Paul are also well known, but generate lower net enthusiasm from those who know them. Of the less well-known potential GOP candidates, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, and Tim Pawlenty have the highest Positive Intensity Scores." Here is Gallup's chart Potential GOP Candidate Images Among Republicans and Republican-Leaning Independents, March 21-April 3, 2011

Huckabee Leads In Iowa

Posted Apr 08, 2011 at 12:09 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released Neighborhood Research poll of likely Iowa Republican presidential caucus-goers reports that Mike Huckabee leads the GOP pack with 21%, followed by Mitt Romney at 14%, Donald Trump at 9%, Newt Gingrich at 8%, Sarah Palin at 7%, Michele Bachmann at 5% and Tim Pawlenty at 4%.

Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll: Romney, Trump and Huckabee Run Strong

Posted Apr 07, 2011 at 1:01 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Mitt Romney leads the GOP presidential nomination race with 21%, followed by Donald Trump and Mike Huckabee both at 17%. Newt Gingrich was in fourth place with 11%, followed by Sarah Palin at 10% and Tim Pawlenty at 6%.

MA US Senate 2012: Republican Brown Looks Safe

Posted Apr 06, 2011 at 1:02 AM by Maurice Berger

Despite the state's overwhelming Democratic tilt, Massachusetts continues to support incumbent GOP U.S. Senator Scott Brown. An internal Democratic poll suggests his popularity is on the rise: "The survey, which has been seen by at least one D.C. insider and was detailed for Salon, measured Brown's approval rating at 73% -- easily surpassing the scores for Barack Obama and the state's two top Democrats, Gov. Deval Patrick and Sen. John Kerry. It also found him running over the magic 50% mark against every potential Democratic challenger, and crushing the strongest perceived Democrats (Reps. Michael Capuano and Ed Markey and former Rep. Marty Meehan) by double-digit margins. The results only grew closer when respondents were primed with negative information about Brown."

GOP Continues To Lead in Congressional Generic Ballot

Posted Apr 05, 2011 at 1:00 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a just released Quinnipiac survvey, Republicans continue to lead Democrats in the generic congressional ballot, now by three points: 40% to 37%.

Americans Support Unions Over GOP Governors

Posted Apr 04, 2011 at 12:39 AM by Maurice Berger

By and large, Americans support unions in their present-day squabbles with Republican governors. A new Gallup poll reports that 48% of Americans "agree more with the unions in state disputes over collective bargaining for public employees, while 39% agree more with the governors."

Tea Party Support Lags

Posted Apr 01, 2011 at 1:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A CNN/Opinion Research survey reports a considerable drop in support for the Tea Party, now at 32%, the lowest level of approval to date. Just as troubling for the party, 47% have  an unfavorable view of the movement, the higher disapproval recorded to date.