Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Vast Majority Of Americans See Nation Off Track

Posted Aug 31, 2011 at 1:21 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Democracy Corps reports that 75% of American voters believe the country is on the wrong track. This number represents 14 points jump since June; it is also and the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. Democracy Corps writes: "Both parties in Congress lose ground, but Republicans have born the brunt of the backlash. Two thirds disapprove of House Republicans and 44% strongly disapprove - a 7 point surge since June. By a margin of 54% to 36%, voters say that the more they hear from House Republicans, the less they like."

American Satisfaction With Direction Of Country Now At 11%

Posted Aug 30, 2011 at 2:00 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Gallup reports that Americans' satisfaction with the direction of the country has dropped to just 11%, the lowest level since December 2008 and just four points above the all-time low recorded in October 2008.

Democratic Base Strongly Behind Obama

Posted Aug 29, 2011 at 2:42 AM by Maurice Berger

In what is clearly good news for the President's reelection chances, a survey by CNN/Opinion Research poll reports that Obama's Democratic base remains overwhelmingly behind him. 70% of Democrats now say that they would like to see Obama as their party's presidential nominee next year.

Election 2012: President Obama In Tight Reelection Race

Posted Aug 26, 2011 at 1:16 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Gallup (of registered voters) reports that President Obama may be headed for a very tight reelection effort. Mitt Romney leads Obama, 48% to 46%, Rick Perry and Obama are tied at 47%, and Obama edges out Ron Paul, 47% to 45%, and tops Michele Bachmann, 48% to 44%.

Election 2012: Perry Now National GOP Frontrunner

Posted Aug 25, 2011 at 1:42 AM by Maurice Berger

In a stunning realignment of the GOP presidential field, two new polls now show Texas Governor Rick Perry overtaking Mitt Romney as frontrunner. A survey by Gallup reports that Perry now leads the pack with 29%, followed by Mitt Romney at 17%, Ron Paul at 13% and Michele Bachmann at 10%. All other contenders are below 5% in support. And a new Public Policy Polling survey has Perry at 33%, Romney at 20%, Bachmann at 16%, Newt Gingrich at 8% and Herman Cain and Ron Paul at 6%.

Election 2012: Perry Takes Lead In Iowa

Posted Aug 24, 2011 at 3:19 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Public Policy Polling in Iowa reports that Rick Perry now leads the GOP presidential nomination field with 22%, followed by Mitt Romney at 19%, Michele Bachmann at 18%, Ron Paul at 16%. Herman Cain polls 7%; Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum are at 5%; and Jon Huntsman at 3%.

GOP Nomination Race: Romney Ahead In Florida

Posted Aug 23, 2011 at 1:25 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by McLaughlin & Associates in Florida reports that Mitt Romney maintains a double-digit lead over the rest of the GOP presidential field: the former Massachusetts Governor comes in at 27%, followed by Rick Perry at 16%, and Michele Bachmann at 10%. Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain trial at 5% each.

Obama Perceived As Weak On Economy, Deficit

Posted Aug 22, 2011 at 1:40 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Gallup reports that President Obama has dropped to a new low approval rate of 26% for his handling of the economy, down 11 points since it was last measured it in mid-May and well below his previous low of 35% in November 2010. He fares equally poorly on his his handling of the federal budget deficit (24%) and creating jobs (29%).

Election 2012: Rick Perry Leads In Iowa?

Posted Aug 19, 2011 at 1:30 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by We Ask America asked Iowa Republicans who they to see win the GOP nomination for president in 2012. The poll suggests that in the Hawkeye State, at least, there may be a new frontrunner: Rick Perry comes out on top with 29%, followed by Michele Bachmann at 17% and Mitt Romney at 15%.

Election 2012: Romney Leads In New Hampshire

Posted Aug 18, 2011 at 12:08 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Magellan poll in New Hampshire reports that Mitt Romney continues to lead the GOP presidential primary pack with 36%, followed by Rick Perry at 18%, Rep. Ron Paul at 14% and Rep. Michele Bachmann at 10%. All other candidates are at 3% or less.

Democrats Now Lead In Generic Congressional Ballot

Posted Aug 17, 2011 at 1:03 AM by Maurice Berger

Has the recent debt ceiling negotations taken its toll on the Republicans in congress? A new Gallup poll suggests that the answer may be yes. The survey reports that Democrats lead Republicans in the 2012 congressional elections among registered voters, 51% to 44%, when asked which party's candidate they would support in their district "if the elections for Congress were being held today."  Gallup observes: "The seven-percentage-point edge for Democratic congressional candidates, nationally, contrasts with ties or Republican leads in most Gallup polls leading up to the 2010 midterm elections. However, the Democratic advantage is not as large as those they enjoyed in the 2006 and 2008 congressional election cycles -- each of which produced a Democratic majority in Congress. The Democrats averaged a 10-point lead over Republicans among registered voters in the year prior to the 2008 elections and an 11-point advantage leading up to the 2006 elections"

Voters Evenly Divided On Obama Reelection

Posted Aug 16, 2011 at 1:26 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by McClatchy-Marist reports that Americans are evenly divided over the question of whether President Obama deserves re-election: 40% say they will definitely vote for the president next year; 40% say they will not. The remaining 20% are unsure. Still, the poll detects an inherent edge for the president: when matched against specific Republican challengers Obama edges out every one, a possible indication of the weakness of the GOP field as well as the general likeability of the president.

 

Gallup: Obama Approval Dips Below 40%

Posted Aug 15, 2011 at 1:02 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Sunday's presidential approval tracking poll, President Obama's approval rating has dropped to the lowest point of his presidency, and the first time it has dipped below 40%. Obama now stands at 39% approval, while a significant 54% of voters disapprove of his job performance.

Election 2012: Obama In Trouble In Florida?

Posted Aug 12, 2011 at 1:37 AM by Maurice Berger

In yet another sign that the road to reelection may be moe difficult than expected for President Obama, a new Quinnipiac poll in the key swing state of Florida reports that the president's job approval rating is a negative 44% to 51%. Florida voters also say by a 50% to 42% margin that the president does not deserve to be reelected. Nevertheless, with weak Republican opposition, the president manages to best two of all potential candidates and ties another:Mitt Romney is dead even with Obama at 44%; the president has double-digit leads over other top Republicans, except for Texas Gov. Rick Perry who trails Obama 44% to 39%.

Americans Angry With GOP

Posted Aug 11, 2011 at 1:19 AM by Maurice Berger

A CNN/Opinion Research poll reports that many Americans are growing angry with the Republican party. GOP favorability numbers have dropped considerably over the past month: Now a scant 33% take a positive view of the party, while 59% say they have an unfavorable view (the latter represents an record high). Views of the Democratic party have remained relatively stable, with 47% saying they have a favorable view of the Democrats and an equal amount saying they hold an unfavorable view.

Gallup: Romney Continues To Lead GOP Pack

Posted Aug 10, 2011 at 2:42 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released Gallup Poll reports that Mitt Romney remains the frontrunner for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination with 24. He is followed by Rick Perry at 17%, Rep. Ron Paul at 14% and Rep. Michele Bachmann at 13%. All other GOP contenders are at single digits in the survey.

Americans Disapprove of Tea Party

Posted Aug 09, 2011 at 1:00 AM by Maurice Berger

In the wake of last week's debt crisis, a New York Times/CBS News poll reports that the Tea Party is now viewed unfavorably by 40% of the public; just 20% hold a favorable opinion.

Record Low Approval for Congress

Posted Aug 08, 2011 at 12:49 AM by Maurice Berger

A New York Times/CBS News survey suggest that the road ahead for congress will be bumpy: a record 82% of Americans now disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job -- the most since the question was first asked in 1977.  Overall, 72% disapproved of the way Republicans in Congress handled the negotiations; 66% disapproved of the way Democrats in Congress handled negotiations. As for President Obama handling of the debt ceiling negotiations: 47% disapprove and 46% approve.

USA TODAY/Gallup: Debt Ceiling Law Not Popular

Posted Aug 05, 2011 at 12:42 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new USA Today/Gallup poll, the debt ceiling agreement that President Obama worked out with congress remains unpopular with Americans. The poll reports that 39% of Americans approve of the law, while 46% oppose it. Things gets even more negative when independents are polled: a scant 33% of independent voters approved of the deal; 50% disapprove.

Election 2012: Obama Tied With Generic Republican

Posted Aug 04, 2011 at 12:47 AM by Maurice Berger

A new national poll reports that President Obama's advantage "over a generic Republican challenger in 2012 shrank by 10 points in the past three months. Now, just 41 percent of registered voters say they would send the president back to the White House while 40 percent prefer to elect a Republican candidate, according to a Pew Research Center survey. In May, the president led a generic Republican, 48 percent to 37 percent." The survey, by Pew,  suggests "independent voters are driving this drop. In May, 42 percent of independents supported Obama's re-election, while 35 percent preferred his challenger. Now, that figure is upside down: 31 percent of independents are inclined to vote for him in 2012 while 39 percent want to replace him with a Republican."

Majority of Americans Oppose Debt Ceiling Deal

Posted Aug 03, 2011 at 1:52 AM by Maurice Berger

A new CNN poll reports that 52% of Americans are opposed to the debt reduction deal negotiated between the President and congress; 44% are in favor.

Americans Rate Obama Higher Than Congress On Budget Negotiations

Posted Aug 02, 2011 at 1:28 AM by Maurice Berger

While there may be no real winners in the just concluded Deficit/Debt Ceiling negotiations, a new Gallup poll reports that "Americans are more likely to approve of the way President Obama is handling the negotiations to raise the federal debt ceiling than they are to approve of the handling of the situation by Speaker of the House John Boehner or Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, although opinions about all three are more negative than positive." Here is Gallup's chart: 

Handling federal debt ceiling.gif

Gallop: Record Low Approval Rating For The President

Posted Aug 01, 2011 at 1:24 AM by Maurice Berger

Going into this past weekend, Gallup reported on a very much unwanted milestone for the Obama administration: its newest tracking poll recorded a record low job approval rating for the president: 40%. While he hit his prior low--41%--several times over the past year, as recently as early June, the president approval number stood at 50%.