Posted Sep 30, 2011 at 12:15 AM by Maurice Berger
In a sign that Iowa GOP voters, who tend to be more socially conservative the other early primary and caucus states, are more interested in winning against President Obama than ideological purity, a new American Research Group poll in the state reports that Mitt Romney now leads the GOP presidential field with 21%,
followed by Michele Bachmann at 15%, Rick Perry at 14%, and Ron Paul at
12%. All other candidates are in the single digits.
Posted Sep 29, 2011 at 12:57 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by Fox News poll reports a significant drop in support for Rick Perry nationally among GOP voters. Mitt Romney now leads the Republican presidential field with 23%, followed by Rick Perry at 19% and Herman Cain at 17%. Within the past 30-days, Romney is up by +1%, Perry is down -10% and Cain is up +6%. In the Fox poll, Newt Gingrich comes in at 11%, Ron Paul is at 6% and Michele Bachmann is at 3%.
Posted Sep 28, 2011 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by Gallup reports that Americans remain largely pessimistic about the economy: "Three in four Americans assess the U.S. economy as no better than a
year ago, with 35% saying it is about the same and 42% saying it is
worse. Looking ahead to a year from now, Americans remain largely
pessimistic, with 61% expecting economic conditions to be similar to
now, or worse." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted Sep 27, 2011 at 1:19 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by CNN/Opinion Research survey reports that Rick Perry continues to lead in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Perry is ahead, with 30%, followed by Mitt Romney at 22%, Newt Gingrich at
11%, Herman Cain at 9%, Ron Paul at 7%, Michele Bachmann at 6%, Rick
Santorum at 3% and Jon Huntsman at 1%. In general election match ups, however, Romney fares best against President
Obama, trailing by just one point, 49% to 48%; Obama holds a five point
lead over Perry, 51% to 46%.
Posted Sep 26, 2011 at 12:51 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by CBS News/New York Times reports that just 12% of Americans "approve of the job Congress is doing
-- the same as the lowest percentage recorded in this poll, reached in
October 2008, right before the November elections."
Posted Sep 23, 2011 at 12:10 AM by Maurice Berger
What do Democratic and GOP insiders in Florida think of the GOP field and its chances against a sitting Democratic president? A new survey by St. Petersburg Times Florida Insider--which polled campaign consultants, lobbyists, activists --reports that
two thirds of Democrats and two thirds of Republicans think Mitt Romney
is a stronger general election candidate than Rick Perry. In the end, 50% of the Republican believe Romney will win the GOP primary in Florida next year, while 41% predicted Perry.
Posted Sep 22, 2011 at 12:38 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by Florida Times-Union/Insider Advantage in Florida reports that Rick Perry now leads Mitt Romney in the GOP presidential
primary race by nine points, 29% to 20%. All other candidates are in the
Posted Sep 21, 2011 at 12:11 AM by Maurice Berger
With his approval rating fairly low in Pennsylvania, it can only be seen as good news for President Obama that in a just released Magellan Strategies survey in Pennsylvania finds President Obama he now holds a comfortable lead pover potential Republican
challengers Mitt Romney by 50% to 40%, and Rick Perry by 52% to 37%. PollTrack now rates the state "Leaning Democratic."
Posted Sep 20, 2011 at 2:03 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new survey by CBS News/New York Times poll, Rick Perry continues to lead Mitt Romney nationally in the GOP presidential race, 23% to 16%. well behind, Newt Gingrich comes in at 7%, Michele Bachmann at 7%,
Herman Cain at 5%, Ron Paul at 5%, Jon Huntsman at 1%, Rick Santorum at
Posted Sep 19, 2011 at 1:24 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a survey by Bloomberg poll, 64% of Americans maintain a favorable view of Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton. The poll also reports that 34% of respondents are "suffering a form of buyer's remorse," saying
the U.S. would be better off now if she had become president in 2008
instead of Barack Obama.
Posted Sep 16, 2011 at 1:14 AM by Maurice Berger
While a number of Republican candidates for president reject the idea of global warming, most Americans believe in it. A survey Yale University survey reports that 53% of Republicans, 71% of independents and 78% of Democrats said they believe global warming is real. Interestingly, on 34% of who self-identify as members of the Tea Party believe in global warming; 53% do not.
Posted Sep 15, 2011 at 1:32 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by Public Policy Polling reports that Rick Perry continues to hold a significant lead over Mitt Romney
nationally in the Republican presidential race, 31% to 18%. As for the other candidates, Ron Paul comes in at 11%, Newt Gingrich at 10%, Michele
Bachmann at 9%, Herman Cain at 8%, and Jon Huntsman and Rick Santorum
both at 2%.
Posted Sep 14, 2011 at 1:41 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Gallup survey, Americans' views on who is winning the war on terrorism are almost
identical now to where they were in October 2001. "Americans are roughly
evenly split, 46% to 42%, between the view that the U.S. and its allies
are winning the war on terrorism and the view that neither the U.S. nor
the terrorists are winning. Despite the similarity between views now and
10 years ago, there has been a great deal of change in the intervening
time, including points in 2002 and 2003 when two-thirds of the public
felt that the U.S. was winning."
Posted Sep 13, 2011 at 1:56 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a survey by Economist/YouGov, Rick Perry continues to maintain a solid lead for the GOP presidential nomination
at 29%, followed by Mitt Romney at 13%, Rudy Giuliani at 9%, and Sarah
Palin at 8%, Ron Paul at 8%, Michele Bachmann at 5%, Jon Huntsman at 5%
and Herman Cain at 5%.
Posted Sep 12, 2011 at 1:30 AM by Maurice Berger
Tomorrow's special election in New York's 9th congressional district,
for the seat vacated by Rep. Anthony Weiner who resigned earlier this
year, a new Siena poll reports that the Republican candidate, Robert Turner, now holds a six
point lead over David Weprin, 50% to 44%. If Turner should win in this
vastly Democratic district, Weprin's loss may hold real implications for next year's election cycle. Anecdotal reporting suggests that some Democrats, upset with the Obama administration, may intend to send a message to the president by voting for Turner. The problem for the Democrats: if the heavily Democratic, New York district tips into the Republican column, then far closer swing states, such as Florida, Ohio, and even Pennsylvania--Obama's approval in the three states is somewhere in the mid to high 30s--are undoubtedly in play. The president's approval numbers at this point remain problematic. Two previous incumbents with relatively low numbers in their third year, but who went on to win reelection--Reagan and Clinton--were at this point in their presidency recovering politically, each nearing the 50% mark. Obama's present approval number averages 44%, far below the 48% thought to be a good marker of potential reelection. Stay tuned.
Posted Sep 09, 2011 at 1:32 AM by Maurice Berger
An assessment of the President's August poll numbers by Gallup reports that Obama's approval rating has hit a new low. Just 41% approved of the president's overall job performance in August (a three point drop from July). He also received
term-low monthly approval ratings from both Hispanics (48%) and
whites (33%) and tied his lowest rating from blacks (84%).
Posted Sep 08, 2011 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger
A poll by Magellan Strategies in Nevada reports that Rick Perry leads Mitt Romney by five points, 29% to 24%, in on e of the first states to vote in the 2012 contest for the GOP nomination. The rest of the field trails, with Herman Cain at 7%,
Michele Bachmann at 6%, Ron Paul at 6%, Newt Gingrich at 5%, Rick
Santorum and Jon Huntsman at 1% each. 19% are undecided.
Posted Sep 07, 2011 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger
In numbers that may well bode poorly for the President, a new Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania reports that his approval rating in the state is just 34%. Since PA is key presidential battleground state, it will be imperative for the Democrat to improve his standing in a state that has gone with the Democrat in every election since 1992.
Posted Sep 06, 2011 at 1:32 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by Fox News reports that Rick Perry continues to lead the Republican presidential field nationally
with 29%, followed by Mitt Romney at 22%. No other candidate garners
Posted Sep 04, 2011 at 2:55 AM by Maurice Berger
We're off to celebrate the Labor Day holiday. We will be back on Tuesday, 6 September will full polling analysis of the 2012 Election Cycle.
Posted Sep 02, 2011 at 1:53 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by Muhlenberg College poll suggests that President Obama's reelection effort may be in trouble in Pennsylvania. His approval rate has dropped to 35% in the key swing state. The poll's analysis concludes that there may be room for movement in the poll: "31% of
Pennsylvanians say their vote in November 2012 will depend on who the
Republican candidate is. And Obama still slightly edges out an anonymous
GOP contender 36 percent to 31%." Nevertheless, with the incumbent polling well below that 48% to 50% threshold, the numbers suggest a difficult race for Obama in 2012.
Posted Sep 01, 2011 at 12:36 AM by Maurice Berger
In what has very serious implications for President Obama's reelection chances, a new survey by Public Policy Polling survey reports a considerable ebb of Democratic enthusiasm about voting in next year's election. Just 48% of Democrats--a new low--say they were "very
excited" about voting in 2012. In 13 previous polls, the average level
was 57%. It had risen as high as 65% (during the 2008 presidential election) and only twice had the number dropped below 55%.