Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Majority Support Gun Background Checks

Posted Apr 30, 2013 at 8:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Gallup reports that 65% of Americans believe the U.S. Senate should have passed the measure that would have expanded background checks for gun purchases: 29% agree with the Senate's refusal to pass the measure

Toomey's Approval Up In PA

Posted Apr 29, 2013 at 6:54 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Quinnipiac reports that US Senator Pat Toomey's co-sponsorship of the gun background-check amendment has helped push the Republican's approval rate to 48%, the highest point of his three-plus-year term. 30% disapprove of his performance.

Kasich Improves Standing In Ohio

Posted Apr 26, 2013 at 10:01 AM by Maurice Berger

In s dramatic political turnaround, a new Quinnipiac poll in Ohio reports that 52% of voters now approve of Republican Gov. John Kasich. In hypothetical match ups, he leads two potential Democratic challengers, besting Ed Fitzgerald, 46% to 37%, and Richard Cordray, 45% to 38%.

Who Is Ahead In MA Senate Race?

Posted Apr 25, 2013 at 8:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Western New England University in Massachusetts reports that Rep. Edward Markey leads Rep. Stephen Lynch in the Democratic primary to fill US Secretary of State, John Kerry's US Senate seat, 44% to 34%. On the GOP side, Gabriel Gomez holds a slim lead over Michael Sullivan, 33% to 27%.

NY Race For Mayor: Quinn Leads, Weiner Second

Posted Apr 23, 2013 at 9:17 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic primary pack at 28%; Anthony Weiner comes in at 15%, Bill de Blasio at 11% and Bill Thompson at 10%. It is clear that Wiener's entry into the race hurts Quinn far more than the other candidates, diminishing her once commanding lead.

A Leader In The LA Mayor's Race

Posted Apr 22, 2013 at 10:29 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by USC Price/Los Angeles Times reports that Eric Garcetti now leads by +10% in the Los Angeles mayor's race over rival Wendy Greuel--50% to 40%. According to an analysis of the survey, Greuel's "dogged fight to win the backing of public employee unions appears to be undercutting her on her home turf in the San Fernando Valley... The survey also found no sign of success for Greuel's effort to gain an edge among women by highlighting her potential to make history as the city's first female mayor. Women preferred Garcetti, 50% to 41%."

Gallup: Congressional Approval In A Slump

Posted Apr 19, 2013 at 9:01 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Gallup concludes: "As Congress debates legislation on gun control, immigration reform, and the federal budget, it continues to get a vote of no confidence from the American people. Fifteen percent of Americans now approve of the way Congress is handling its job, essentially unchanged from 13% in March and 15% in February. Congress' disapproval rating is 79%." Here is Gallup's chart: 

Trend: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

Clear Majority Now Back Gay Marriage

Posted Apr 18, 2013 at 9:11 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the Wall Street Journal/NBC News confirms the rapidly growing trend towards acceptance of same sex marriage. The survey finds support for gay marriage "now stands at 53%, up from 49% last March and 30% in 2004. For the first time . . . the survey found a majority of independent voters saying gays should be allowed to enter into same-sex marriages, with Democrats continuing to support gay marriage in large numbers and Republicans opposing it."

Election 2012: The Race Factor?

Posted Apr 17, 2013 at 9:04 AM by Maurice Berger

A new study by Harvard University factors race into the final popular vote tally of the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections and and concludes that "racial animus in the United States appears to have cost Obama roughly four percentage points of the national popular vote" in both races. 

Do Americans View Their Taxes As Fair?

Posted Apr 16, 2013 at 9:07 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a survey by Gallup, 55% of Americans regard the income taxes they have to pay as fair, the lowest percentage since 2001. Here is Gallup's chart:

Trend: Do you regard the income tax which you will have to pay this year as fair?

Latinos Overwhelmingly Support Stricter Gun Laws

Posted Apr 15, 2013 at 9:12 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey byNBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo poll reports that 70% of Latinos believe that "that the laws covering the sale of firearms should be made more strict." Just 5% support strict laws and 22% believe they should remain the same.

Dememocrats and Republicans Have Divergent Views About Taxes

Posted Apr 12, 2013 at 8:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A new  poll by the Washington Post-ABC News reports that 53% of Democrats see the income tax system favorably; 43% view it unfavorably. For Republicans and independents, the answer is reversed (and then some):66% of the former and 62% of the latter have an unfavorable opinion of the tax system.

Who Feels Safest In America?

Posted Apr 11, 2013 at 8:58 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a survey by Gallup, "80% of those living in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area say they feel safe walking alone at night in the area where they live, the highest percentage among the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan areas. Minneapolis is followed closely by Denver, Raleigh, Boston, Salt Lake City, and Austin." Here is Gallup's chart:

Safest Metro Areas Among 50 Largest

Democrats In Command Of Electoral College?

Posted Apr 10, 2013 at 9:38 AM by Maurice Berger

Mike Murphy argues that the Democrats now hold a structural advantage in the Electoral College: "The GOP's greatest challenge is the fact that Democrats begin each presidential election with a near lock on the Electoral College. Twenty-one states and the District of Columbia have given their electoral votes to the Democratic presidential nominee in at least five out of the last six elections. These states represent 257 electoral votes out of the 270 needed to win the presidency. Under current trends, the GOP nominee has to pull the equivalent of drawing an inside straight in poker to get to the White House."

Election 2016: Is Jindal's Star Dimming?

Posted Apr 09, 2013 at 8:54 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Southern Media & Opinion Research in Louisiana reports that Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal's approval rating plummeted from from 51% in October to just under 38% in March.
With the poll also reporting that President Obama is now more popular than Jindal in the state, are the governor's prospects for the 206 GOP presidential nomination dimming?

Majority Favor US Military Defense Of South Korea

Posted Apr 08, 2013 at 8:52 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Gallup reports that a majority of Americans--55%-- say the United States should use its military forces to help defend South Korea if it were to be attacked by North Korea, while 34% say the U.S. should not do so.

Marijuana Milestone: Majority Support Legalization

Posted Apr 05, 2013 at 8:08 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released survey by Pew Research poll finds for the first time that a majority of Americans favor the legalization of recreational marijuana use, 52% to 45%.

Democrats More Liked Than Republicans

Posted Apr 03, 2013 at 8:40 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac reports tjat the Democratic Party has a higher positive and lower negative rating than the GOP: the Democrats come in at 38% negative and 44% positive favorability, compared to a negative 28% to positive 52% for the Republicans

Democrat Incumbent Ahead In VA US Senate Race

Posted Apr 02, 2013 at 9:49 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the University of Mary Washington in Virginia reports that Democratoc US Sen. Mark Warner lead GOP Gov. Bob McDonnell In a hypothetical 2014 match up for U.S. Senate, 51% to 35%.

Christie Crushes Democratic Challenger

Posted Apr 01, 2013 at 8:06 AM by Maurice Berger

The idea of the inevitability of NJ GOP governor Chris Christie's reelection is underscored by a new Harper Polling survey. In the poll, Christie crushes his Democratic challenger Barbara Buono, 58% to 28%.