Posted May 31, 2013 at 10:12 AM by Maurice Berger
Despite his state's continuing economic woes, Democratic California Governor Jerry Brown maintains a relatively stable approval rating. A new poll by Public Policy Institute reports that 48% of voters approve of Brown's job performance while just 36% disapprove
Posted May 30, 2013 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger
In a fascinating analysis, Gallup accesses movement in approval ratings for presidents as the memory of their time in office recedes: "[Our] review of
presidential job approval ratings finds that presidents' retrospective
approval ratings are almost always more positive than their job approval
ratings while in office. In particular, Americans rate John F. Kennedy,
Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and Ronald Reagan much more positively in
retrospect than they did while the men were president." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted May 29, 2013 at 9:10 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll by Marist in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic mayoral race with 24%, followed by Anthony Weiner at 19%, Bill de Blasio at 12%, Bill Thomson at 11% and John Liu at 8%.
Posted May 28, 2013 at 8:21 AM by Maurice Berger
A new by CNN/ORC reports that 54% of Americans oppose President Obama's new health care law, but with one important caveat: more than a quarter of those who oppose
Obamacare, reject the measure because it doesn't go far
Posted May 27, 2013 at 8:20 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by Time/CNN reports that Americans say they are more
concerned about the restriction to civil liberties from the US government enacting new anti-terrorism policies (61%) than they are concerned about the government failing to enact strong new
anti-terrorism policies (31%). CNN/Time also notes that "concerns about government encroachment on civil liberties, however, have
grown in recent years, despite the Boston attacks. When asked if they
would be willing to give up some civil liberties if that were necessary
to curb terrorism, 49% of Americans said they were not willing, compared
to 40% who were willing. A poll by the Los Angeles Times in 1996 after
the Atlanta Olympics bombing asked the same question, and found
resistance from only 23% of the country."
Posted May 24, 2013 at 7:12 AM by Maurice Berger
While a year-and-a-half away, the 2014 election is not far from the mind of pollsters (and political parties). A new poll by Quinnipiac reports that American voters say they are more likely to
vote Democratic than Republican for Congress in 2014 -- 41% to 37%. If this holds true, and Democrats gain seats in congress, it would, according to Quinnipiac, "violate the historical model of the president's party
losing ground in the sixth year of a presidency."
Posted May 23, 2013 at 6:23 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a survey by Gallup, "the top Republican and Democratic leaders in the U.S. House and Senate
are a generally unpopular foursome, with Democratic House Minority
Leader Nancy Pelosi being the most well-known, but also the least
well-liked. 31% of Americans view Pelosi favorably and
48% unfavorably. Her resulting net -17 image score compares with -11 for
Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, -10 for Republican
Speaker of the House John Boehner, and -8 for Republican Senate Minority
Leader Mitch McConnell."
Posted May 22, 2013 at 6:21 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by Washington Post-ABC News reports that President Obama's approval rating continues to remain steady at 51% to 44%, despite "fresh disclosures about the IRS, the Benghazi attack and the Justice Department's secret collection of telephone records of Associated Press journalists as part of a leak investigation."
Posted May 21, 2013 at 5:04 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new survey by Gallup, "65% of Americans say the U.S. Senate should have
passed the measure that would have expanded background checks for gun
purchases, while 29% agree with the Senate's failure to pass the
measure." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted May 20, 2013 at 4:04 PM by Maurice Berger
Stuart Rothenberg notes that democratic complacency in the 2013 special election in Massachusetts to fill the US Senate seat vacated by John Kerry could backfire: "The special election . . . took an interesting turn this week, when former Navy SEAL Gabriel Gomez
drew more than 50 percent of the vote to win the GOP nomination. . . . The total GOP primary vote was less than what Lynch received in the
Democratic race, and the Bay State’s Democratic bent is undeniable. But
Gomez has an interesting story, and at least the GOP didn’t nominate an
old white guy who had served in the Massachusetts Legislature. . . Democrats won’t allow themselves to be surprised the way they were
when Scott P. Brown beat Martha Coakley in the last Senate special
election, in early 2010, and the national party’s image can’t do
anything but hurt Gomez’s already uphill chances. But there is no reason
to rush to judgment on this race, at least for a couple of weeks, and
it’s worth watching to see how it unfolds. Obviously, Markey begins as
the clear favorite.
Posted May 15, 2013 at 2:29 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll by Quinnipiac reports former US Senator and First Lady Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead over other potential 2016
candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, with 65%, followed
by Joe Biden at 13% and Andrew Cuomo at 4%.
Posted May 14, 2013 at 4:25 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Pew Research poll reports mixed results on voter's attitudes about President Obama's performance in office: just 49% believes that President Obama is "able to get
things done," a steep decline from 57% in January and closer to his levels of
confidence in 2012. Conversely, and a net positive for the president, the vast majority of Americans, 67%, believe
Obama is fighting hard for his policies, a significant improvement.
Posted May 13, 2013 at 2:39 AM by Maurice Berger
A poll by the Pat Brown Institute of Public Affairs reports that Wendy Greuel and Eric Garcetti are in a virtual dead heat in the Los Angeles mayoral race, where Greuel leads Garcetti by a scant +2%--46% to 45%--among likely voters; 9% remain undecided. The elections is on 21 May 21.
Posted May 10, 2013 at 8:22 AM by Maurice Berger
Two conflicting polls on the state of the special election to fill Secretary of State's John Kerry's US Senate seat: a new WBUR poll in Massachusetts reports that Democrat Rep. Edward Markey leads Republican Gabriel Gomez, 41% to 35%. This would suggest a very competitive race. But a contemporaneous Suffolk University poll finds Markey ahead by 17% points, 52% to 35%.
Posted May 09, 2013 at 8:16 AM by Maurice Berger
For decades, the Virginia gubernatorial election has been a bellwether of sorts: the candidate from the opposing party of the president of the United States wins. Will 2013 be an exception. Possibly not. According to a new poll from the Washington Post, Republican Ken Cuccinelli holds an early lead over Democrat Terry
McAuliffe in their race for governor, 46% to 41% among all voters
and 51% to 41% among those voters most likely to cast a ballot.
Posted May 08, 2013 at 7:54 AM by Maurice Berger
Is the special election to fill the US Senate seat vacated by John Kerry in Massachusetts head for an upset, much like the race to fill the seat of the late-Edward Kennedy? Possibly. A new survey by Public Policy Polling reports that the race is a
surprisingly close , with Democrat Rep. Ed Markey leading Republican Gabriel Gomez by just +4%--44% to 40%.
Posted May 07, 2013 at 8:10 AM by Maurice Berger
According to Gallup, "a majority of Americans still don't know enough to say whether the
federal budget sequestration cuts are a good thing or a bad thing for
the country -- as has generally been the case since they went into
effect. But of those who do who have an opinion, more continue to say
sequestration is a bad thing, rather than a good thing." Here is Gallup's chart.
Posted May 06, 2013 at 10:01 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by Public Policy Polling in South Carolina's 1st congressional district reports that the special election is too close to call. But it also shows a marked reversal of Republican Mark Sanford's standing in the district. Two weeks ago, PPP showed his Democratic challenger, Elizabeth Colbert Busch, leading by
nine points, 50% to 41%.
Today, the poll reports that the race
close to call, with Sanford edging Colbert Busch by +1%--47% to 46%.
Posted May 03, 2013 at 9:01 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll for Fairleigh Dickinson University reports that there is no clear frontrunner for the 2016 GOP presidential primary. If the election were held today, Marco Rubio 18% would hold a slight lead, followed by Jeb Bush 16%, Chris Christie 14%, and Rick Santorum at 9%.
Posted May 02, 2013 at 9:33 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new survey by the New York Times, most Americans oppose US military action in Syria and North Korea: "62% of the public say the United States has no responsibility to do something about the fighting in Syria between government forces and antigovernment groups, while just one-quarter disagree. Likewise, 56% say North Korea is a threat that can be contained for now without military action, just 15% say the situation requires immediate American action and 21% say the North is not a threat at all."
Posted May 01, 2013 at 7:48 AM by Maurice Berger
If there was any doubt that Hillary Clinton is the prohibitive favorite for the 2016 Democratic nomination for President, anew Fairleigh Dickinson University poll puts those doubts to rest: Clinton leads with 63%, followed by Joe Biden 12%, Andrew Cuomo 3%.