Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Quinn Retakes Lead In New York Mayor's Race

Posted Jul 31, 2013 at 12:48 PM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Quinnipiac reports that Anthony Weiner has dropped to to fourth place among likely Democratic primary voters in the race for New York City mayor. Christine Quinn has retaken the lead with 27%, followed by Bill de Blasio at 21%, Bill Thompson at 20%, Weiner 16% and John Liu at 6%. It appears that de Blasio has gained the most from Weiner's sharp decline.

Majority Support Gay Marriage Rights To Extend Nationally

Posted Jul 29, 2013 at 9:10 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Gallup reports that if Americans were given the opportunity to vote on a national law legalizing gay marriage in all 50 states, a majority, 52%, would now cast their vote in favor; 43% would vote against it.

WY US Senate: Cheney Has Uphill Battle

Posted Jul 25, 2013 at 9:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Harper Polling in Wyoming reports that incumbent US Sen. Mike Enzi dominates challenger Liz Cheney in a Republican U.S. Senate primary, 55% to 21%.

Obama Approval Erodes

Posted Jul 24, 2013 at 9:02 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by McClatchy-Marist reports that just 41% of Americans approve of the job President Obama is doing in office; 48% disapprove; and 11% are unsure. These numbers represent Obama's lowest approval rating since September 2011 when only 39% of voters approved of his performance.

Huge Racial Divide In Treyvon Martin Case

Posted Jul 23, 2013 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Washington Post-ABC News reports a significant racial divide in public attitudes on the Trayvon Martin case. By 86% to 9%, African-Americans disapprove of the verdict acquitting George Zimmerman; whites approve by 51% to 31%. Blacks, by 81% to 13%, favor federal civil rights charges against Zimmerman; whites are opposed, 59% to 27%.

NY Mayoralty: Quinn Ahead In Democratic Primary

Posted Jul 22, 2013 at 9:21 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the New York Times/Siena in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic mayoral field with 27% , followed by Anthony Weiner at 18%, Bill de Blasio at 11%, William Thompson at 11% and John Liu at 7%. 

How Satisfied Are We With Government?

Posted Jul 19, 2013 at 8:09 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, "Democrats are more likely than Republicans to be satisfied with the work the government is doing in each of 19 different areas. The parties' satisfaction levels diverge most on healthcare and foreign affairs, and diverge least on poverty, national parks, and transportation." Here is Gallup's chart:

Satisfaction With Work Federal Government Is Doing in Different Areas, by Political Party, June 2013

Gay Marriage Has Majority Support In Virginia

Posted Jul 18, 2013 at 8:14 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the Human Rights Campaign in Virginia reports that 55% of voters in the state now favor same-sex marriage; 41% are opposed to it. The HRC writes that the survey shows how sentiment about same-sex marriage has "shifted in its favor seven years after voters easily passed an amendment to the state constitution that defines marriage as between one man and one woman."

GOP Gets Most Of The Blame For Gridlock

Posted Jul 16, 2013 at 8:42 PM by Maurice Berger

According to a new poll by Quinnipiac, 51% of Americans say that the GOP is responsible for gridlock in Washington, D.C. Only 35% percent believe that it is President Obama who "lacks the skills to convince leaders of Congress to work together."

Obama Approval Declines

Posted Jul 15, 2013 at 9:28 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Quinnipiac reports that President Obama now has a net negative approval rating, with 44% approving of his job performance and 48% disapproving.

What Worries Americans Most About The Future?

Posted Jul 12, 2013 at 8:49 AM by Maurice Berger

What worries Americans the most about the future? A New survey by Gallup reports that "economic issues dominate Americans' concerns about the nation's future. Americans say the economy (17%) is their greatest worry or concern for the future of the United States, followed by the federal debt (11%). 5% or more also mention jobs and international wars and conflicts." Here is Gallup's chart:

Americans' Top Worry for the Future

A Career In Politics Disfavored By Most Americans

Posted Jul 11, 2013 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

As Gallup reports, by a 2-to-1 margin, 64% to 31%, Americans would not like their child to go into politics as a career. The results are the same whether the question is asked about a 'child,' a 'son, or a 'daughter.' There has been little change in the percentage of Americans who would favor a political career for their son or daughter over the past two decades."

Gallup Analyzes President's Approval Numbers

Posted Jul 10, 2013 at 7:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Gallup reports that "although Americans rate President Barack Obama highest on being likable (76%) among a set of personal characteristics, those views are not strongly related to their overall approval of the job he is doing as president. Instead, two other characteristics he scores well on -- displaying good judgment in a crisis (58%) and being honest and trustworthy (55%) -- do relate highly to his overall job approval rating. Perceptions that Obama "shares your values" are the strongest predictor of approval, but his score on that dimension, 48%, is only average on a relative basis." Here is Gallup's chart:


Is Rightward Shift Hurting GOP in North Carolina?

Posted Jul 09, 2013 at 10:17 AM by Maurice Berger

A rightward shift in the statehouse may be hurting the Republicans in North Carolina. A new poll by Civitas reports that support for GOP Gov. Pat McCrory has erodes over the past four months. While is viewed favorably by 49% of voters--and unfavorably by 32%--his support has slipped considerably March, when he was viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 25%.

Americans Dislike SCOTUS Voting Rights Decision

Posted Jul 08, 2013 at 9:36 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by ABC News-Washington Post, just 33% of Americans approve of the Supreme Court's ruling dismantling a key element of the Voting Rights Act. A majority, 51%, disapprove. Among African Americans, disapproval stands at 71%.

A Pending Latino Majority In CA

Posted Jul 05, 2013 at 8:42 AM by Maurice Berger

"Perhaps today or certainly sometime very soon, another baby will be born or a new immigrant will arrive and the number of Latinos in California will equal the state's non-Hispanic white population," writes the Sacramento Bee. "The change... has long been predicted by state demographers. It won't instantly make Latinos an equally powerful political force in California, or bring their incomes into parity with non-Hispanic whites, or close the school achievement gap. But it is an important milestone - and a reminder that these other goals will become easier to achieve as the number of Latinos continues to grow."

HI: New Poll, Different Result

Posted Jul 03, 2013 at 8:42 AM by Maurice Berger

Another poll in the Democratic primary for Hawaii US Senate shows a different result from a poll released earlier in the week. The survey, by Clarity Campaigns-- and paid for by EMILY's List -- reports that Rep. Colleen Hanabusa holds an 11% lead over Sen. Brian Schatz in next year's Democratic primary, 46% to 35%.

HI US Senate: Close Democratic Primary

Posted Jul 02, 2013 at 8:30 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Civil Beat in Hawaii finds US Sen. Brian Schatz with a narrow lead over Rep. Colleen Hanabusa in the Democratic US Senate primary, 36% to 33%

NY Mayoralty: All Tied Up In Democratic Primary

Posted Jul 01, 2013 at 9:47 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac University in New York City reports that Christine Quinn barely leads the Democratic mayoral primary race with 19%, followed by Anthony Weiner at 17% and William Thompson at 16%.