Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

GOP Takes Lead In Generic Ballot

Posted Nov 27, 2013 at 2:49 PM by Maurice Berger

In a stunning reversal from just a month ago, Republicans now lead the generic congressional ballot according to a just released CNN/ORC International survey.  Last month, the Democrats led by +8%; now, the GOP leads, 49% to 47%.

Can Obama Govern Federal Government Effectively?

Posted Nov 26, 2013 at 9:15 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by CNN/ORC reports that only 40% of Americans believe President Obama can manage the federal government effectively, a -12% decline since June.

CNN: President Obama's Approval At All-Time Low

Posted Nov 25, 2013 at 8:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by CNN/ORC reports that 41% of Americans approve of President Obama's job performance, his lowest number in CNN polling to date. 56% disapprove, an all-time high in CNN surveys.

NY Governor Cuomo's Popularity Lags

Posted Nov 21, 2013 at 8:23 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Siena in New York reports that Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo's job performance rating has dropped to its lowest point, 44% to 52%.

2012 Hypothetical Rematch

Posted Nov 20, 2013 at 9:27 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by ABC News-Washington Post reports that in a hypothetical rematch of the 2012 presidential election, Mitt Romney would come out ahead of President Obama, 49% to 45%.

GOP Now Leads Generic Congressional Ballot

Posted Nov 19, 2013 at 8:21 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Fox News poll reports that Republicans now lead the generic congressional ballot, 43 to 40%, a startling tun-around from last month's survey in which Democrats led, 45% to 37%.

Hispanic, Asian Voter Registration Lags

Posted Nov 18, 2013 at 10:21 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Gallup, "U.S. Hispanics and Asians are much less likely to be registered to vote than whites or blacks. Whereas more than eight in 10 blacks and whites are registered, and therefore able to vote in elections, 60% of Asians and barely half of Hispanics are currently able to participate in the electoral process."

Most Americans Support Minimum Wage Increase

Posted Nov 14, 2013 at 10:35 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Gallup, "about three-quarters of Americans (76%) support a hypothetical law to increase the minimum wage to $9 per hour. Allowing the wage to increase automatically with inflation is somewhat less popular (69%)."

Obama's Approval Drops To All Time Low

Posted Nov 13, 2013 at 12:04 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac reports that American voters disapprove of the job President Obama is doing by 54% to 39%. This represents his lowest approval rating since he took office in 2009. Particularly worrying for the president: women disapprove of his performance by a margin of 51% to 40%.

CA Governor: Is The Popular Incumbent A Reelection Underdog

Posted Nov 12, 2013 at 12:36 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a survey by USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times, more than half "say they approve of the job Brown is doing as governor -- the highest rating since he retook the governor's office in 2011. Yet only 32% say they are inclined to vote for Brown if he seeks an unprecedented fourth term as California's chief executive next year." 

Large Majority Do Not Trust Government

Posted Nov 07, 2013 at 8:45 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Pew Research reports that only 19% of Americans trust the government in Washington to "do what is right just about always or most of the time," a drop of +7% since January. 


NJ Governor: Christie Headedover For Big Win

Posted Nov 05, 2013 at 10:32 AM by Maurice Berger

Any poll you lack at on election morning suggests a big victory for incumbent GOP NJ Governor Chris Christie. Here's PollTrack's roundup of the latest polls:

Monmouth: Republican Chris Christie over Democrat Barbara Buono, 57% to 37%.

Fairleigh Dickinson: 59% to 40%.

Rutgers/Eagleton: 66% to 30%.

Quinnipiac: 61% to 33%

NY Mayoralty: de Blasio With Massive Lead

Posted Nov 04, 2013 at 9:53 PM by Maurice Berger

Democratic Candidate Bill de Blasio holds a massive lead over Republican Joe Lhota heading into tomorrow's New York City mayoral election, 66% to 24%.

PollTrack Average: Democrat Ahead By +6% in VA Governor's Race

Posted Nov 04, 2013 at 11:06 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's final polling average in the Virginia Governor's race, as of this morning, reports that Democrat Terry McAuliffe holds a +6% lead over his GOP challenger, Ken Ciccinelli, 46% to 40%. 

VA Governor: Race Tightens Slightly

Posted Nov 01, 2013 at 8:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A recent spate of polls in the Virginia gubernatorial race, suggest that the space between the candidates has grown a bit tighter. A new Hampton University poll, for example, reports that Democrat Terry McAuliffe now leads Republican Ken Cuccinelli by six points, 42% to 36%, with independent Robert Sarvis at 12%. Nonetheless no poll issued in the past few months has shown the Republican in the lead.