Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Americans Fear Big Government More Than Big Business

Posted Dec 31, 2013 at 8:31 AM by Maurice Berger

According to new poll by Gallup, 72% of Americans say "big government is a greater threat to the U.S. in the future than is big business or big labor, a record high in the nearly 50-year history of this question."

A 2014 Wave?

Posted Dec 30, 2013 at 12:05 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Washington Post-ABC News reports that 72% of those who disapprove of President Obama's job performance, say that they would vote for the GOP candidate for U.S. House in their district if the election were held today, while just 14% say they'd vote for the Democrat.    

Trajectory Of Support For Affordable Care Act

Posted Dec 26, 2013 at 12:31 AM by Maurice Berger

Gallup has produced a helpful chart that tracks the trajectory of support in the United States for the Affordable Care Act. Here is Gallup's chart: 

 

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act?

Eroding Support For Obamacare

Posted Dec 24, 2013 at 8:58 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by CNN/ORC reports that support for the Affordable Care Act has dropped to a record low: "Only 35% of those questioned in the poll say they support the health care law, a 5% drop in less than a month. 62% say they oppose the law, up four points from November."

Is Chris Christie The 2016 Front-runner?

Posted Dec 23, 2013 at 9:03 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Public Policy Polling reports that New Jersey GOP Governor Chris Christie now leads Hillary Clinton, and all other possible Democratic candidates, in hypothetical match-ups. According to the poll, Christie leads Clinton, 45% to 42%, "because he's viewed favorably across party lines. He's at 48/26 with Republicans, 46/28 with independents, and 38/36 with Democrats."     

Obama Loosing Young Americans

Posted Dec 19, 2013 at 9:50 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the USA Today/Pew Research reports that just 45% of 18- to 29-year-old Americans approve of the way President Obama is handling his job; 46% disapprove. The survey notes that "the president's approval rating with young Americans -- which stood at 67% just ahead of his second inauguration less than a year ago -- now mirrors the general population."

GOP Leads Generic Congressional Ballot

Posted Dec 18, 2013 at 12:33 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new poll by Quinnipiac, Republicans lead in the generic congressional ballot--by 41% to 38%--the first time they have led all year.

2016 Prrsidential Race: Who Do Iowans Prefer?

Posted Dec 17, 2013 at 8:19 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll out from the Des Moines Register reports that Rep. Paul Ryan "is wildly popular here with a 73% favorable rating, a surprise finding that reveals he's at the forefront of potential 2016 GOP presidential candidates in the nation's kickoff voting state." The Democratic horse race shows an even clearer favorite in a state that registers its preferences in the party nominating process earlier than any other: Ryans' popularity "isn't as striking as the overwhelming affinity Iowa Democrats have for Hillary Clinton, with 89% saying they have a positive opinion of her. Just 7% of voting-age Democrats have a negative impression the former U.S. secretary of state and U.S. senator from New York."

CA Gov. Brown Riding High In Polls

Posted Dec 16, 2013 at 12:10 PM by Maurice Berger

A new Field Poll reports that California Gov. Jerry Brown's  approval rating "has surged to a new high, and he is the overwhelming early favorite to win re-election next year." 58% approve of the governor's job performance. He leads his closest Republican challengers--former Lt. Gov. Abel Maldonado (and Assemblyman Tim Donnelly--by more than 40 points.

President Not Rewarded For An Improving Economy

Posted Dec 12, 2013 at 12:23 AM by Maurice Berger

Despite signs that aspects of the economy may be improving, a New York Times poll reports that "37% of those surveyed approve of Obama's handling of the economy; 58% disapprove. These numbers are indistinguishable from the results of a CBS News poll taken last month, although better-than-expected unemployment numbers and other positive economic data were released last week."

Obama Approval Drops To New Low, Or Does It?

Posted Dec 11, 2013 at 8:24 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Quinnipiac poll, President Obama's job approval among American voters has dropped to a new low, a negative 38% to 57%. But a new poll by Pew Research reports a different outcome, with the President's approval rising slightly to 45% to 49%, reversing a six-month slide.

69% of Americans Unaffected By Health Care Law

Posted Dec 10, 2013 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, the vast majority of Americans, 69%, say the health care law, "so far, has not had an effect on them and their family, similar to what Gallup measured more than a year ago. More Americans say the law has hurt (19%) rather than helped (9%) their family, a slightly larger gap than was found last year."

Americans Split on Filibuster Rule But Not On Congress

Posted Dec 09, 2013 at 7:57 AM by Maurice Berger

According to the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, only 6% Americans approve of the job the US Congress is doing, but are evenly split in their opinion of the so-called “nuclear option,” which effectively ended the rule that allowed filibusters on Presidential nominations, after Republicans used the threat of a filibuster to block multiple nominations: 36% approve of changing the number of votes required to break filibusters to 51, so bills could pass by a simple majority; 37% disapprove. 

Young Voters Abandon The President

Posted Dec 05, 2013 at 8:11 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Harvard Institute of Politics of 18 to 29-years old voters reports that 52% would vote to recall President Obama.

Only 20% Of Americans Satisfied With Direction Of Country

Posted Dec 03, 2013 at 12:33 PM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, "20% of Americans are satisfied with the way things are going in the United States, a partial recovery from 16% in October during the government shutdown. The current reading is still one of the lowest Gallup has measured in the last two years."

Crist Leades Scott In FL Gubernatorial Race

Posted Dec 03, 2013 at 7:17 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Quinnipiac in reports that GOP Gov. Rick Scott rails former GOP Gov. Charlie Crist, now an independent, by seven points in his 2014 re-election bid, 47% to 40%.