Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Americans Want Obamacare Debate To End

Posted Mar 31, 2014 at 8:51 AM by Maurice Berger

While Obamacare remains unpopular with many voters, a health-care tracking poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation reports that "53% of all respondents -- including 51% of independents and even 47% of Republicans -- said they are tired about hearing the debate over the health-care law and think the country should focus on other issues."

Montana US Senate: Republican With Double-Digit Lead

Posted Mar 27, 2014 at 9:39 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Rasmussen in Montana repors that Republican Steve Daines has a double-digit lead over Democratic incumbent of John Walsh in the race for U.S. Senate, 51% to 37%.

WI Governor: Walker Ahead

Posted Mar 26, 2014 at 7:02 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Gravis Marketing in Wisconsin reports that incumbent Republican Gov. Scott Walker leads Democraticchallenger Mary Burke in the race for governor, 49% to 44%.

McCain Most Unpopular US Senator

Posted Mar 25, 2014 at 7:02 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Public Policy Polling reports that GOP Sen. John McCain is now the least popular U.S. Senator in the country: "Only 30% of Arizonans approve of the job McCain is doing to 54% who disapprove. There isn't much variability in his numbers by party- he's at 35/55 with Republicans, 29/53 with Democrats, and 25/55 with independents, suggesting he could be vulnerable to challenges in both the primary and general elections the next time he's up."

Texas Governor: Republican With Significant Lead

Posted Mar 24, 2014 at 11:26 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Rasmussen Reports in Texas reports that presumptive GOP nominee Greg Abbott leads Democrat Wendy Davis in the race for governor, 53% to 41%.

Majority of Americans Skeptical Of Christie

Posted Mar 20, 2014 at 11:12 PM by Maurice Berger

A national poll by Bloomberg reports that 63% of Americans say they don't believe Republican New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's "claims that he knew nothing of a plan by his top aides to create a politically motivated traffic jam."

Iowa: Presidential Approval At New Low

Posted Mar 20, 2014 at 6:52 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Des Moines Register in Iowa reports President Obama's job approval rating in the state "has ticked down yet again to 36%, setting a record low for his presidency."

SD US Senate: Republican Way Ahead

Posted Mar 19, 2014 at 8:17 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Rasmussen Reports in South Dakota reports that former GOP Gov. Mike Rounds holds a huge +20% lead over Democrat Rick Weiland in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 31%. 

CT Governor: Is The Democratic Incumbent In Trouble?

Posted Mar 17, 2014 at 8:23 AM by Maurice Berger

Could solidly blue Connecticut choose a GOP governor this fall? A recent survey by Quinnipiac suggests that incumbent Democratic governor Gov. Daniel Malloy may be in trouble. He is locked in a virtual tie with presumptive GOP challenger Tom Foley, 43% to 42%.

GOP Ahead In Generic Congressional Ballot

Posted Mar 13, 2014 at 6:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by New York Times/CBS News reports that Republicans "are in a stronger position than Democrats for this year's midterm elections, benefiting from the support of self-described independents, even though the party itself is deeply divided and most Americans agree more with Democratic policy positions." Republicans lead 42% to 39% in the poll's generic ballot.

Substantial Majority Of Young Republicans Support Gay Marriage

Posted Mar 12, 2014 at 9:00 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a poll released by Pew Research, "today, 61% of Republicans and Republican leaners under 30 favor same-sex marriage while just 35% oppose it. By contrast, just 27% of Republicans ages 50 and older favor allowing gays and lesbians to marry."

NJ US Senate: Booker Holding Steady

Posted Mar 11, 2014 at 7:40 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press in New Jersey reports that Democratic Sen. Cory Booker has solid approval ratings:
"Currently, 47% of New Jersey voters approve of the job Booker is doing as U.S. Senator compared to just 20% who disapprove. Another 32% have no opinion." Furthermore, in a hypothetical match up in his fall bid for a full six-year term, Booker leads Murray Sabrin (R), 58% to 25%.

NH US Senate: Has The State Moved Solidly Blue

Posted Mar 10, 2014 at 11:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the Boston Herald/Suffolk University in New Hampshire suggests that the state's 2014 US Senate race may be difficult for the GOP, or at least for former Massachusetts GOP Sen. Scott Brown, who has toyed with the idea of running in the state. Brown is now trailing Democrat Sen. Jeanne Shaheen  by a significant 52% to 39% margin in a general election match-up.

Record-High Majority Now Supports Same-Sex Marriage

Posted Mar 06, 2014 at 7:45 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Washington Post-ABC Newsa record-high 59% say they support same-sex marriage. 34% are opposed. Additionally, 50% of Americans say the U.S. Constitution's guarantee of equal protection gives gays the right to marry. 41% say it does not.

US Senate 2014: GOP In Stronger Position Than Democrats

Posted Mar 05, 2014 at 6:52 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Washington Post-ABC News reports that Republicans are "in a stronger position than Democrats in the states with Senate races this fall and more than holding their own in the battle for control of the House. In the 34 states with Senate races, 50% of voters say they favor Republicans and 42% favor Democrats. . .  [this] despite the Republican Party's poor image nationally and its deficit on some important issues. About two in three Americans say the GOP is out of touch 'with the concerns of most people in the United States today.'"

Majority Now Supports Keeping Obamacare

Posted Mar 04, 2014 at 8:22 AM by Maurice Berger

A Kaiser tracking poll reports that 48% of Americans want to keep and improve the Affordable Care Act while another 8% want to keep it as is -- for a total of 56% who want to keep the law. 19% are in favor of repealing the law and not replacing it and 12% want to repeal and replace with a GOP alternative, for a total of 31%.

Washington DC Mayoralty: Gray Ahead, But Race Volatile

Posted Mar 03, 2014 at 8:45 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by NBC-Marist reports that Democratic Washington, D.C. Mayor Vincent Gray leads the pack leading in the race for this spring's mayoral Democratic primary, with 28% of likely voters, followed by Muriel Bowser at 20%, Jack Evans at 13% and Tommy Wells at 12%. The poll notes that while "a majority of D.C. residents think the city is headed in the right direction . . . the race remains volatile and that Gray, the incumbent, does not have an easy path to victory."