Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

2014 U.S. SENATE RACE RATING: DEM 47 GOP 47

Posted Sep 30, 2014 at 10:39 AM by Maurice Berger

DEM: 47    TOSS UP 6     GOP: 47

SAFE DEMOCRATIC

DE, HI, IL, MA, NJ, NM, OR, RI, VA

 

LEANS DEMOCRATIC

MN: Franken

MI: Open

NC: Hagan (D)

NH: Shaheen (D)

 

TOSS UP

AK Begich (D)

CO: Udall (D)

GA: Open

IA: Open

KS Roberts (R)

LA: Landrieu (D)

 

LEANS GOP

AR: Pryor (D)

KY: McConnell (R)

LIKELY GOP

AL, ID, ME, MS, MT, NE, OK, OK, SC, SC, SD, TN, TX, WV, WY

 

POLLTRACK'S 2014 U.S. SENATE RACE RATING CHART

Posted Sep 30, 2014 at 10:37 AM by Maurice Berger

It's that time of election cycle, again! PollTrack's U.S. Senate Race Rating Chart will launch in a few minutes. Stay Tuned!

LA: Democratic Incumbent Senator With Slight Lead

Posted Sep 30, 2014 at 9:46 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new poll by CNN/ORC International in Louisiana, incumbent Democratic US Sen. Mary Landrieu  holds a modest lead over GOP challenger  Bill Cassidy in the U.S. Senate race, 43% to 40%. But, as CNN notes, "this is Louisiana, and the election system can be complicated. There are nine candidates -- Republicans, Democrats, and a Libertarian -- on the ballot this November, and if no candidate crosses the 50% threshold, the race moves into a December runoff between the top two contenders."

LA: Democratic Incumbent Senator In Trouble

Posted Sep 29, 2014 at 8:16 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Fox News reports that GOP challenger Bill Cassidy leads incumbent Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu, 51%to 38%

 

NC: Democratic Incumbent In The Lead

Posted Sep 25, 2014 at 10:22 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Fox News in North Carolina reports that incumbent Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan leads GOP challenger Thom Tillis in the race for U.S. Senate, 41% to 36%

Michigan US Senate: Democrat In The Lead

Posted Sep 24, 2014 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Denno Research in Michigan reports that Democrat Gary Peters holds a +7% lead over Republican Terri Lynn Land in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 38%.

Iowa US Senate: Deadlocked

Posted Sep 23, 2014 at 8:25 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Rasmussen in Iowa reports that Republican Joni Ernst and Democrat Bruce Braley are now tied in the U.S. Senate race, 43% to 43%.

KS US Senate: Incumbent Trials Independent Challenger

Posted Sep 22, 2014 at 8:42 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Rasmussen in Kansas reports that independent candidate Greg Orman leads incumbent Republican Pat Roberts for U.S. Senate, 45% to 40%.

NH US Senate: Democrat Widens Lead

Posted Sep 18, 2014 at 8:11 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by New England College in New Hampshire reports that Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen leads GOP challenger Scott Brown by double-digits, 51% to 40%.

MN US Senate: Race No Longer Close

Posted Sep 17, 2014 at 8:50 AM by Maurice Berger

The U.S. Senate race in Minnesota, once close, now looks like a walk for the Democratic incumbent, Al Franken. A new poll by the Minneapolis Star Tribune Minnesota reports that Franken holds a double digit lead over GOP challenger Mike McFadden, 49% to 36%.

Ohio Gov: Kasich Way Ahead

Posted Sep 16, 2014 at 8:26 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the Columbus Dispatch in Ohio reports that incumbent Gov. John Kasich is crushing DEmocratic challenger Ed FitzGerald in the race for governor by a whopping +30%, 59% to 29%.

Good News For Democrats in NC Senate Race

Posted Sep 15, 2014 at 7:58 AM by Maurice Berger

In what may be good news for Democrats hoping to hold onto the Senate, a new American Insights poll in North Carolina finds incumbent Democratic US Sen. Kay Hagan with a +9% point lead over Republican challenger Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate race, 43% to 34%. And a new survey by Elon University poll reports a lead of 4% for Hagan, 45% to 41%

GA Gov: Carter Now Ahead

Posted Sep 11, 2014 at 8:45 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by SurveyUSA poll in Georgia reports that in the race for governor, Democrat Jason Carter now leads incumbent GOP Gov. Nathan Deal, 45% to 44%.

GA US Senate: Is Perdue In Trouble?

Posted Sep 10, 2014 at 9:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by SurveyUSA in Georgia reports that Republican David Perdue's lead over Michelle Nunn in the race for US Senate has declined -6% over the past three weeks, and is now 47% to 44%.

Firm Majority Support For Same Sex Marriage

Posted Sep 09, 2014 at 9:57 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a suyrvey by Marist college, "When it comes to support for legalizing same-sex marriage, 54% of Americans either strongly favor or favor doing so.  According to trend data from the Pew Research Center, support for gay marriage has been on an upswing, reaching a plurality of support among Americans in 2011 and majority support just last year in 2013. Attitudes about legalizing gay marriage fall along party lines with more than six in ten Democrats, 62%, favoring the action.  A similar proportion of Republicans, 63%, are against it.  Age also matters.  65% of Americans under 45 years of age support legalization of same-sex marriage compared with 44% of their older counterparts who share this view. More than one in ten Americans, 12%, has changed their opinion on legalizing same-sex marriage, favoring it now while opposing it previously."

  • When it comes to support for legalizing same-sex marriage, 54% of Americans either strongly favor or favor doing so.  According to trend data from the Pew Research Center, support for gay marriage has been on an upswing, reaching a plurality of support among Americans in 2011 and majority support just last year in 2013.
  • Attitudes about legalizing gay marriage fall along party lines with more than six in ten Democrats, 62%, favoring the action.  A similar proportion of Republicans, 63%, are against it.  Age also matters.  65% of Americans under 45 years of age support legalization of same-sex marriage compared with 44% of their older counterparts who share this view.
  • More than one in ten Americans, 12%, has changed their opinion on legalizing same-sex marriage, favoring it now while opposing it previously.  Only 1% now opposes allowing same-sex couples to marry when they once favored legalization.
  • - See more at: http://maristpoll.marist.edu/815-views-on-same-sex-marriage-supporters-look-to-feds-opponents-more-to-states/#sthash.URdlcf9n.dpuf
  • When it comes to support for legalizing same-sex marriage, 54% of Americans either strongly favor or favor doing so.  According to trend data from the Pew Research Center, support for gay marriage has been on an upswing, reaching a plurality of support among Americans in 2011 and majority support just last year in 2013.
  • Attitudes about legalizing gay marriage fall along party lines with more than six in ten Democrats, 62%, favoring the action.  A similar proportion of Republicans, 63%, are against it.  Age also matters.  65% of Americans under 45 years of age support legalization of same-sex marriage compared with 44% of their older counterparts who share this view.
  • More than one in ten Americans, 12%, has changed their opinion on legalizing same-sex marriage, favoring it now while opposing it previously.  Only 1% now opposes allowing same-sex couples to marry when they once favored legalization.
  • - See more at: http://maristpoll.marist.edu/815-views-on-same-sex-marriage-supporters-look-to-feds-opponents-more-to-states/#sthash.URdlcf9n.dpuf

    LGBT Voters Skew Liberal

    Posted Sep 08, 2014 at 8:47 AM by Maurice Berger

    According to a survey by Gallup, "Americans who identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender remain significantly more likely than non-LGBT Americans to identify as Democrats. More than six in 10 LGBT Americans identify as Democrats or are Democratic-leaning independents, while 21% identify with or lean toward the Republican Party. Non-LGBT Americans are more evenly divided in their politics, tilting just slightly more Democratic than Republican." Here is Gallup's Chart:

    Party Identification, by LGBT Status, January-June 2014

    Government, Immigration, And The Economy Cited As Top US Problems

    Posted Sep 05, 2014 at 8:11 AM by Maurice Berger

    According to a survey by Gallup, " Americans say the government, immigration, and the economy in general are the most important problems currently facing the country. Mentions of government and the economy have been at the top of the list since the beginning of the year, while mentions of immigration rose sharply in July, in response to the crisis at the U.S.-Mexico border, and remain high this month." Here is Gallup's chart:

    Recent Trend in Top Three "Most Important" U.S. Problems

    Minnesotta Gov: Democrat Dayton In The Lead

    Posted Sep 04, 2014 at 7:56 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new poll by SurveyUSA poll in Minnesota reports that incumbent Democratic Gov. Mark Dayton holds a +9% lead over GOP challenger Jeff Johnson, 49% to 40%.

    Minnesotta US Senate: Franken Well Ahead

    Posted Sep 04, 2014 at 7:55 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new poll by SurveyUSA poll in Minnesota reports that incumbent Democratic Sen. Al Franken holds a comfortable lead over GOP challenger Mike McFadden, 51% to 42%.

    Ohio: Incumbent GOP Governor Ahead

    Posted Sep 02, 2014 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

    A new survey by Public Policy Polling in Ohio reports that incumbent GOP Gov. John Kasich leads Democratic challenger Ed FitzGerald for governor by a six-point margin, 50% to 44%.