Posted Mar 30, 2016 at 9:18 AM by Maurice Berger
With Donald Trump breaking his pledge not to run as a third party candidate, the question is: how much damage could he do to the GOP candidate. The answer appears to be considerable. A Rasmussen Reports poll in early March, 36% of of GOP voters said they were "likely" to vote for Trump; 24% "very likely. These numbers would assure victory for the Democratic candidate, one reason why it might be difficult for Trump the nomination if he comes into the convention with the lion's share of delegates.
Posted Mar 27, 2016 at 12:54 PM by Maurice Berger
Here is PollTrack's 27 March 2016 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:
1. Donald Trump
2. Ted Cruz
3. John Kasich
Posted Mar 26, 2016 at 4:46 PM by Maurice Berger
PollTrack now believes that it appears to be mathematically impossible for Bernie Sanders to secure the Democratic presidential nomination. By our current projections, based on available polling, state voting history and reports on the ground, PollTrack estimates Hillary Clinton's delegate count to be somewhere in the range of 2,700 to 2,900, including pledged super delegates. 2383 are needed to secure the Democratic nomination.
Posted Mar 01, 2016 at 2:00 PM by Maurice Berger
Colorado Caucus: Clinton
Minnesota Caucus: Clinton
Posted Mar 01, 2016 at 1:54 PM by Maurice Berger
Minn Caucus: Trump