Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Internal Sources: Trump Short of 270 EVs

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 6:07 PM by Maurice Berger

Internal campaign sources from both the Trump and Clinton campaign believe that the GOP candidate will fall short in the hunt for electoral votes. Stay tuned.

Corrected: Latest from Votecastr: Eight for Eight Clinton

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 6:05 PM by Maurice Berger

According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading in eight out of eight key battleground states:

Florida: Clinton 49% Trump 45%

Iowa: Clinton 47% Trump 46% 

Colorado: Clinton 47% Trump 42%

Nevada: Clinton 47% Trump 44%

New Hampshire: Clinton 47% Trump 45%

Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45%

Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 45%

Wisconsin: Clinton 49% Trump 42%

Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison, which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is, of course, yet to be proved.

Latest from Votecastr

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 4:43 PM by Maurice Berger

According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading infive  out of seven key battleground states. Over the past few houses, their tallies have shown the race tightening somewhat. It is also unclear whether they have fixed their calculation problem to include all three voter tiers--early, pre-election polling, and election day voting:

Florida: Clinton 48% Trump 45% D+3

Iowa: Trump 46% Clinton 45% R+1

Colorado: Clinton 46% Trump 43% D+3

Nevada: Clinton 46% Trump 45% D+1

Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45% R+1

Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 45% D+3

Wisconsin: Clinton 48% Trump 43% D+5

These numbers are based only on election day voting numbers. So we'll need to wait until they're reconciled with early vote analysis and pre-election polling. Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison, which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is, of course, yet to be proved. And complete tallys are not, as yet, available.

FINAL Today's Map: Clinton-322 Trump-216 TCTC-0

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 9:20 AM by Maurice Berger

Our final tally for the hunt for electoral votes! Checks out Today's and Tomorrow's map for the details.

FINAL Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +3.7%

Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 9:18 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.6%

Trump: 41.9%

----------------------------------

Clinton +3.7%

Today's Map: Clinton-322 Trump-216 TCTC-0

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 7:01 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out today's map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-322 Trump-216 TCTC-0

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 5:58 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map for where the race is headed in its final day!

Today's Map: Clinton-307 Trump-216 TCTC-15

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 5:56 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out today's map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +3.6%

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 10:48 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.2%

Trump: 41.6%

----------------------------------

Clinton +3.6%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +3.2%

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 9:58 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.9%

Trump: 41.7%

----------------------------------

Clinton +3.2%

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-323 Trump-215 TCTC-0

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 9:52 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map for where the race is headed in its final day!

Today's Map: Clinton-308 Trump-215 TCTC-15

Posted Nov 07, 2016 at 9:48 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out today's map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +2.8%

Posted Nov 06, 2016 at 9:50 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.9%

Trump: 42.1%

----------------------------------

Clinton +2.8%

What's Going On With The 538 Website?

Posted Nov 06, 2016 at 9:40 AM by Maurice Berger

Why are Nate Silver's numbers more bullish for Trump over at 538, in contrast to virtually all other polling analysis sites (including this one)? Here's an interesting take on why 538's election model differs from all other polling analysis websites.

Ultimately, there is something strange about Nate Silver's methodology in this cycle, as he goes into each poll and "adjusts" it's numbers, mostly in favor of Trump. Is he hedging his bets: remember, he loudly pontificated that Trump could not get the GOP nomination. (We, at PollTrack.com, began to predict a sharp trend towards Trump in August 2015.) Silver did so not based on numbers but his personal opinion, as a pundit reading the GOP electorate. (He also confidently claimed that the Cubs would not win the World Series.)

So now he appears to be bending over backwards not to underestimate Trump. (despite the fact that the general electorate is FAR more diverse and complex than the Republican base). He's adjusting the internals of each poll, thus possibly skewing the Electoral College to show a closer race than other analysis sites (including PollTrack). This doesn't mean that Silver is necessarily wrong, but these adjustments are not explained. How does a poll from an organization with an A+ accuracy rating (according to Silver himself) go from +1 Clinton in Florida to +3 Trump after 538's adjustment of it. No explanation. And frankly, illogical given the quality of the polling of the organization in question.

PollTrack never goes inside polls to adjust their results. If we detect a clearly faulty methodology, we drop the survey from our polling average. This is standard practice. To do otherwise is extremely unorthodox. Maybe Silver is on to something, but without explaining these "adjustments," his conclusions run counter to virtually all of the other polling analysis websites

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +2.7%

Posted Nov 05, 2016 at 5:12 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.0%

Trump: 42.3%

----------------------------------

Clinton +2.7%

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-307 Trump-216 TCTC-15

Posted Nov 04, 2016 at 7:03 PM by Maurice Berger

Check Tomorrow's Map to see where the hunt for electoral votes is headed.

Today's Map: Clinton-297 Trump-215 TCTC-26

Posted Nov 04, 2016 at 6:59 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out today's map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +3.1%

Posted Nov 04, 2016 at 5:12 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.9%

Trump: 41.8%

----------------------------------

Clinton +3.1%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +3.0%

Posted Nov 03, 2016 at 5:58 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.0%

Trump: 42.0%

----------------------------------

Clinton +3.0%

Today's Map: Clinton-312 Trump-215 TCTC-11

Posted Nov 03, 2016 at 3:29 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out today's map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +2.5%

Posted Nov 03, 2016 at 9:02 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.5%

Trump: 42.0%

----------------------------------

Clinton +2.5%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +2.9%

Posted Nov 02, 2016 at 7:14 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.1%

Trump: 41.4%

----------------------------------

Clinton +2.9%

Today's Map: Clinton-323 Trump-215 TCTC-0

Posted Nov 02, 2016 at 3:16 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest on the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +4.1%

Posted Nov 01, 2016 at 5:04 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.5%

Trump: 40.4%

----------------------------------

Clinton +4.1%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +6.0%

Posted Oct 31, 2016 at 6:17 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.8%

Trump: 39.8%

----------------------------------

Clinton +6.0%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +6.0%

Posted Oct 30, 2016 at 7:20 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.8%

Trump: 39.8%

----------------------------------

Clinton +6.0%

Today's Map: Clinton-293 Trump-215 TCTC 30

Posted Oct 30, 2016 at 10:25 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the current status for the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map: Clinton-322 Trump-215 TCTC-1

Posted Oct 29, 2016 at 7:51 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +5.5%

Posted Oct 29, 2016 at 7:48 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.5%

Trump: 40.0%

----------------------------------

Clinton +5.5%

Today's Map: Clinton-322 Trump-187 TCTC-29

Posted Oct 27, 2016 at 5:21 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +6.2%

Posted Oct 27, 2016 at 5:18 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.5%

Trump: 39.3%

----------------------------------

Clinton +6.2%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +6.5%

Posted Oct 26, 2016 at 5:23 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 46.4%

Trump: 39.9%

----------------------------------

Clinton +6.5%

Today's Map: Clinton-333 Trump-187 TCTC-18

Posted Oct 25, 2016 at 9:11 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +5.1%

Posted Oct 25, 2016 at 9:08 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.1%

Trump: 40.0%

----------------------------------

Clinton +5.1%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +5.5%

Posted Oct 24, 2016 at 9:12 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.9%

Trump: 39.4%

----------------------------------

Clinton +5.5%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +6.4%

Posted Oct 20, 2016 at 10:11 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.4%

Trump: 39.0%

----------------------------------

Clinton +6.4%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +7.7

Posted Oct 19, 2016 at 2:42 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 46.1%

Trump: 38.4%

----------------------------------

Clinton +7.7%

Today's Map: Clinton-351 Trump-187 TCTC-0

Posted Oct 19, 2016 at 11:19 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out today's map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +7.1%

Posted Oct 19, 2016 at 9:54 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 46.5%

Trump: 39.4%

----------------------------------

Clinton +7.1%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +7.2%

Posted Oct 18, 2016 at 10:04 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 46.5%

Trump: 39.3%

----------------------------------

Clinton +7.2%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +7.2%

Posted Oct 17, 2016 at 4:41 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 46.2%

Trump: 39.0%

----------------------------------

Clinton +7.2%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +6.4%

Posted Oct 17, 2016 at 10:01 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.6%

Trump: 39.2%

----------------------------------

Clinton +6.4%

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +5.4%

Posted Oct 16, 2016 at 10:32 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 45.0%

Trump: 39.6%

----------------------------------

Clinton +5.4%

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-302 Trump-198 TCTC-33

Posted Oct 14, 2016 at 10:45 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map to see where the hunt for electoral votes is headed.

Popular Vote Tally: Clinton +5.3

Posted Oct 14, 2016 at 10:42 PM by Maurice Berger

Today, PollTrack begins its popular vote tally in the election for president:

Clinton: 44.0

Trump: 38.7

----------------------------------

Clinton +5.3

Today's Map Clinton-340 Trump-198

Posted Oct 14, 2016 at 10:38 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map: Clinton-351 Trump-187 TCTC-0

Posted Oct 13, 2016 at 9:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Check Out Today's Map to see the present state of our electoral map!

 

 

Today's Map: Clinton-340 Trump-198 TCTC-0

Posted Oct 10, 2016 at 1:33 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map: Clinton-307 Trump-216 TCTC-15

Posted Oct 08, 2016 at 12:58 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in rhe hunt for electoral votes!

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-307 Trump-216 TCTC-15

Posted Oct 04, 2016 at 9:55 AM by Maurice Berger

Check Tomorrow's Map to see where the hunt for electoral votes is headed.

Today's Map: Clinton-301 Trump-216 TCTC-21

Posted Sep 30, 2016 at 5:44 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map: Clinton-243 Trump-222 TCTC-73

Posted Sep 26, 2016 at 9:31 AM by Maurice Berger

The electoral map is drawing closer as we head into the first debate. Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map: Clinton-272 Trump-222 TCTC-44

Posted Sep 24, 2016 at 10:36 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map to find out where the present state of the hunt for electoral votes stand!

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-272 Trump-198 TCTC-68

Posted Sep 24, 2016 at 10:32 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map to see where the hunt for electoral votes is headed!

Today's Map: Clinton-272 Trump-216 TCTC-50

Posted Sep 15, 2016 at 2:21 PM by Maurice Berger

Check at Today's Map for the latest on the hunt for electoral votes!

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-293 Trump-216 TCTC-29

Posted Sep 14, 2016 at 9:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map to see where the hunt for electoral votes is headed.

Today's Map: Clinton-301 Trump-181 TCTC-56

Posted Sep 13, 2016 at 11:39 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest on the hunt for electoral votes!

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-311 Trump 197 TCTC-30

Posted Sep 02, 2016 at 8:02 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map to see where the hunt for electoral votes is headed.

Today's Map: Clinton-301 Trump-180 TCTC-57

Posted Sep 01, 2016 at 9:56 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for the latest in the hunt for electoral votes!

Tomorrow's Map: Clinton-317 Trump 191 TCTC-30

Posted Aug 27, 2016 at 9:38 PM by Maurice Berger

Check Tomorrow's Map for the direction the hunt for electoral votes is headed!

Today's Map Clinton 316 Trump 164

Posted Aug 21, 2016 at 7:13 PM by Maurice Berger

Check update on Today's Map for the latest on the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map Clinton 322 Trump 164

Posted Aug 14, 2016 at 10:13 AM by Maurice Berger

Go to Today's Map to see the latest tally in the hunt for Electoral Votes!

Today's Map: Clinton 283 Trump 164

Posted Aug 12, 2016 at 6:20 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for an update in the hunt for Electoral Votes!

Today's Map: Clinton 268 Trump 164

Posted Aug 08, 2016 at 9:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Check Today's Map Today for the latest update on the hunt for electoral votes.

Tomorrow's Map Today: Clinton 302 Trump 180

Posted Aug 03, 2016 at 9:40 AM by Maurice Berger

Check out Tomorrow's Map Today to see where the hunt for Electoral Votes is headed.

Today's Map: Clinton 268 Trump 191

Posted Aug 01, 2016 at 12:32 AM by Maurice Berger

Check Today's Map for the latest update on the hunt for electoral votes!

Today's Map: Clinton 274 Trump 191

Posted Jul 28, 2016 at 3:35 PM by Maurice Berger

Check Today'so Map for the where the presidential race stands at the present time.

Today's Map: Clinton 259 Trump 180

Posted Jul 06, 2016 at 11:09 PM by Maurice Berger

Check out Today's Map for PollTrack's latest predictions.

Today's Map: Clinton 260 Trump 180

Posted Jul 02, 2016 at 5:39 PM by Maurice Berger

Check PollTrack's  map for latest updates.

Today's Map: Clinton 240 Trump 169

Posted Jun 21, 2016 at 10:14 AM by Maurice Berger

Check PollTrack maps for latest updates.

FINAL Predictions for NJ snd CA Democratic Primary

Posted Jun 07, 2016 at 10:45 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack predicts wins for Hillary Clinton in today's New Jersey and California Democratic primaries. 

Predictions For New Jersey and California Democratic Primaries

Posted May 20, 2016 at 11:23 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack predicts wins for Hillary Clinton in both the New Jersey and California Democratic primaries scheduled for 7 June. Predictions will be revised as we move closer to the primaries. 

FINAL Prediction: Indiana GOP Primary

Posted May 03, 2016 at 9:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Indiana

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. Ted Cruz

3. John Kasich

FINAL Prediction: Indiana Democratic Primary

Posted May 03, 2016 at 9:43 AM by Maurice Berger

Indiana

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

Prediction: Indiana Democratic Primary

Posted May 01, 2016 at 6:11 PM by Maurice Berger

Indiana

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

Prediction: Indiana GOP Primary

Posted May 01, 2016 at 6:09 PM by Maurice Berger

Indiana

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. Ted Cruz

3. John Kasich

FINAL Predictions: 26 April Democratic Primaries

Posted Apr 25, 2016 at 9:58 AM by Maurice Berger

Connecticut

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Delaware

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Maryland

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Pennsylvania

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Rhode Island

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

FINAL Predictions: 26 April GOP Primaries

Posted Apr 25, 2016 at 9:55 AM by Maurice Berger

Connecticut

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

 

Delaware

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

 

Maryland

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

 

Pennsylvania

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. Ted Cruz

3. John Kasich

 

Rhode Island

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

Predictions: 26 April GOP Primaries

Posted Apr 21, 2016 at 9:49 AM by Maurice Berger

Connecticut

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

 

Delaware

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

 

Maryland

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

 

Pennsylvania

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. Ted Cruz

3. John Kasich

 

Rhode Island

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

Predictions: 26 April Democratic Primaries

Posted Apr 21, 2016 at 9:39 AM by Maurice Berger

Connecticut

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Delaware

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Maryland

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Pennsylvania

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

Rhode Island

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

Final Predictions: NY Democratic and GOP Primaries

Posted Apr 18, 2016 at 9:57 AM by Maurice Berger

Here are PollTrack's standings for the Democratic and GOP presidential primaries in New York:

 

Democratic:

1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sanders

 

GOP

1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. John Kasich

3. Ted Cruz

Wisconsin Final Prediction: GOP Primary

Posted Apr 05, 2016 at 10:29 AM by Maurice Berger

Looking at last minute polling, PollTrack predicts that Ted Cruz will prevail in the Wisconsin GOP Primary.

Wisconsin Final Prediction: Democratic Primary

Posted Apr 05, 2016 at 10:27 AM by Maurice Berger

Looking at last minute polling, PollTrack now gives the edge in a close race in the Wisconsin Democratic primary to Bernie Sanders.

Wisconsin: Momentum With Hillary?

Posted Apr 04, 2016 at 11:36 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack now rates the Democratic primary in Wisconsin as very close, but with the momentum now perhaps with Hillary Clinton.

Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary

Posted Apr 04, 2016 at 12:36 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack now rates the Democratic primary in Wisconsin a toss-up, with perhaps a very slight edge to Bernie Sanders.

Cruz Holding Steady In Wisconsin Primary

Posted Apr 04, 2016 at 12:34 PM by Maurice Berger

With just a day to go, it it appears the Ted Cruz is holding onto his lead in Wisconsin. PollTrack confirms its prediction that Cruz will prevail in the state over Donald Trump (now in second place) and John Kasich.

Wisconsin GOP Primary: Prediction

Posted Apr 01, 2016 at 9:50 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's prediction for the up coming Wisconsin GOP Primary:

1. Ted Cruz WINNER

2. Donald Trump

3. John Kasich

Wisconsin Democratic Primary: Prediction

Posted Apr 01, 2016 at 9:49 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's prediction for the up coming Wisconsin Democratic Primary:

1. Bernie Sanders WINNER

2. Hillary Clinton

SC Democratic Primary Prediction

Posted Feb 24, 2016 at 2:55 PM by Maurice Berger

SC Democratic Primary


1. Hillary Clinton WINNER

2. Bernie Sander

 

 

NV GOP Caucus Prediction

Posted Feb 23, 2016 at 5:43 PM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack makes the following prediction in tonight's Nevada GOP Caucus.

SC GOP Primary


1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. Marco Rubio

3. Ted Cruz

 

4. John Kasich

5. Ben Carson

 

23 February Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Feb 23, 2016 at 1:10 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 23 February 2016 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Marco Rubio

3. Ted Cruz

 

4. John Kasich

5. Ben Carson

 

10 February Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Feb 10, 2016 at 4:08 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 February 2016 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 1 January Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the most viable candidates:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Jeb Bush

5. John Kasich

 

 

PollTrack New Hampshire GOP And Democratic Primary Predictions

Posted Feb 08, 2016 at 9:25 PM by Maurice Berger

Keep in mind the the large number of voters who remain undecided or fluid could dynamically change the final results of both races.

GOP Primary


1. Donald Trump WINNER

2. Marco Rubio

3. John Kasich

4. Jeb Bush

5. Ted Cruz

6. Chris Christie

 

Democratic Primary

1. Bernie Sanders WINNER

2. Hillary Clinton

 

PollTrack Prediction: Iowa GOP & Democratic Caucus

Posted Jan 31, 2016 at 1:00 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's Prediction for the outcome of the GOP and Democratic Iowa Caucuses:


GOP:

WINNER: Donald Trump

2nd Place; Ted Cruz

3rd Place: Marco Rubio

 

Democratic

WINNER: Hillary Clinton

2nd Place: Bernie Sanders

3rd Place: Martin O'Malley

 

25 January Ranking of 2016 GOP Iowa Caucus

Posted Jan 25, 2016 at 9:49 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's ranking of the Iowa GOP Caucus:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Jeb Bush

5. Ben Carson

 

19 January Ranking of 2016 New Hampshire GOP Primary

Posted Jan 19, 2016 at 4:14 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 January ranking of the 2016 New Hampshire GOP Primary:

1. Donal Trump

2. John Kasich

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Chris Christie

14 January Ranking of 2016 Democratic Iowa Caucus

Posted Jan 14, 2016 at 4:25 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's ranking of the Iowa Democratic Caucus:

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

3. Martin O'Malley

12 January Ranking of 2016 GOP Iowa Caucus

Posted Jan 12, 2016 at 3:04 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's ranking of the Iowa GOP Caucus:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ben Carson

5. Jeb Bush

 

12 January Ranking of 2016 New Hampshire GOP Primary

Posted Jan 12, 2016 at 3:03 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 January ranking of the 2016 New Hampshire GOP Primary:

1. Donal Trump

2. Marco Rubio

3. John Kasich

4. Ted Cruz

5. Chris Christie

6. Jeb Bush

12 January Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jan 12, 2016 at 3:02 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 January 2016 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 1 January Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the most viable candidates:

 

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Jeb Bush

5. Ben Carson

6. Chris Christie

6 January Ranking of 2016 New Hampshire GOP Primary

Posted Jan 06, 2016 at 11:03 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 6 January ranking of the 2016 New Hampshire GOP Primary:

1. Donal Trump

2. Marco Rubio

3. Ted Cruz

4. Chris Christie

5. John Kasich

6. Jeb Bush

6 January Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jan 06, 2016 at 9:00 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 6 January 2016 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 1 January Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the most viable candidates:

NO CHANGE

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Chris Christie

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ben Carson

12 December Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Dec 12, 2015 at 6:05 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 December 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 10 December Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to currently viable candidates:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ben Carson

5. Jeb Bush

6. Chris Christie

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Rand Paul

7 December Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Dec 07, 2015 at 2:39 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 7 December 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 9 November Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the top eight candidates:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ted Cruz

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ben Carson

5. Jeb Bush

6. Chris Christie

7. Carly Fiorina

8. John Kasich

9. Rand Paul

2 December Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Dec 02, 2015 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 2 December 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 9 November Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the top eight candidates:

1. Donald Trump

2. Marco Rubio

3. Ted Cruz

4. Ben Carson

5. Jeb Bush

6. Carly Fiorina

7. John Kasich

8. Rand Paul

24 November Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Nov 24, 2015 at 8:18 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 November 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 9 November Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the top eight candidates:

1. Donald Trump

2. Marco Rubio

3. Ted Cruz

4. Ben Carson

5. Jeb Bush

6. John Kasich

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Rand Paul

9 November Ranking of 2016 Democratic Presidential Candidates

Posted Nov 09, 2015 at 7:09 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 November 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive Democratic candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 9 November Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the candidates it considers viable:

 

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

 

9 November Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Nov 09, 2015 at 7:07 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 November 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail. Starting with the 9 November Ranking: PollTrack has narrowed the field to the top eight candidates:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Jeb Bush

6. John Kasich

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Rand Paul

 

6 November Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Nov 06, 2015 at 1:43 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 6 November 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Jeb Bush

7. John Kasich

8. Rand Paul

9. Chris Christie

10. Mike Huckabee

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

29 October Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 29, 2015 at 1:49 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Jeb Bush

7. John Kasich

8. Chris Christie

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

24 October Ranking 2016 GOP Presidential Nomination

Posted Oct 24, 2015 at 4:40 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Jeb Bush

6. Carly Fiorina

7. John Kasich

8. Chris Christie

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

20 October Ranking 2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

Posted Oct 20, 2015 at 7:52 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 14 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive Democratic candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

 

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

3. Joe Biden

4. Martin O'Malley

5. Lincoln Chafee

14 October Ranking of 2016 Democratic Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 14, 2015 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 14 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive Democratic candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

 

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

3. Joe Biden

4. Martin O'Malley

5. Jim Webb

6. Lincoln Chafee

13 October Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 13, 2015 at 11:41 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 13 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Carly Fiorina

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Chris Christie

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

10 October Ranking of 2016 Democratic Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 10, 2015 at 10:17 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive Democratic candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

 

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Bernie Sanders

3. Joe Biden

4. Jim Webb

5. Martin O'Malley

6. Lincoln Chafee

7 October Ranking of 2016 Democratic Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 07, 2015 at 1:26 PM by Maurice Berger

UNCHANGED

Here is PollTrack's 7 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive Democratic candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

 

1. Hillary Clinton

2. Joe Biden

3. Bernie Sanders

4. Jim Webb

5. Martin O'Malley

6. Lincoln Chafee

7 October Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 07, 2015 at 1:24 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 7 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Carly Fiorina

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

29 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 29, 2015 at 4:58 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 29 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Carly Fiorina

4. Marco Rubio

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

24 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 24, 2015 at 7:07 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Carly Fiorina

4. Jeb Bush

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

21 September Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Sep 21, 2015 at 10:17 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Carly Fiorina

3. Jeb Bush

4. Ben Carson

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

19 September Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Sep 19, 2015 at 11:19 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Carly Fiorina

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Scott Walker

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

14 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 14, 2015 at 12:17 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 14 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ted Cruz

6. Carly Fiorina

7. John Kasich

8. Scott Walker

 

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

12 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 11, 2015 at 5:54 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 11 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ted Cruz

6. Scott Walker

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry DROPS OUT OF PRESIDENTIAL RACE

11 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 11, 2015 at 3:00 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 11 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ted Cruz

6. Scott Walker

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

4 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 04, 2015 at 5:45 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 4 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Scott Walker

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

1 September Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Sep 01, 2015 at 10:50 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

29 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 29, 2015 at 10:45 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 29 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Jeb Bush

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

24 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 24, 2015 at 10:46 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Jeb Bush

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

21 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 21, 2015 at 11:28 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 21 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Donald Trump

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

18 August Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Aug 18, 2015 at 3:29 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 18 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Donald Trump

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Marco Rubio

7. Ted Cruz

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

11 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 11, 2015 at 9:30 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Donald Trump

3. Scott Walker

4. Ben Carson

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Marco Rubio

7. Ted Cruz

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

10 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 10, 2015 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Ben Carson

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Rick Perry

13. Bobby Jindal

14. Rick Santorum

15. Lindsey Graham

16. George Pataki

8 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 07, 2015 at 11:04 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 8 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ben Carson

6. Mike Huckabee

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. John Kasich

12. Rick Perry

13. Bobby Jindal

14. Rick Santorum

15. Lindsey Graham

16. George Pataki

6 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 06, 2015 at 11:55 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 6 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Marco Rubio

4. Donald Trump

5. Ben Carson

6. Mike Huckabee

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. John Kasich

12. Rick Perry

13. Bobby Jindal

14. Rick Santorum

15. Lindsey Graham

16. George Pataki

 

5 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 05, 2015 at 11:19 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 5 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Rand Paul

6. Ben Carson

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Ted Cruz

9. Chris Christie

10. Rick Perry

11. John Kasich

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Carly Fiorina

1 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 01, 2015 at 4:18 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Rand Paul

6. Ben Carson

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Ted Cruz

9. Chris Christie

10. Rick Perry

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. John Kasich

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Carly Fiorina

28 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 28, 2015 at 9:26 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 28 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Rand Paul

6. Ben Carson

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Perry

10. Chris Christie

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. John Kasich

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Carly Fiorina

 

24 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 24, 2015 at 9:52 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Donald Trump

4. Scott Walker

5. Ben Carson

6. John Kasich

7. Rand Paul

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ted Cruz

11. George Pataki

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

17 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 17, 2015 at 3:36 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 17 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Donald Trump

4. Scott Walker

5. Rand Paul

6. John Kasich

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. George Pataki

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

15 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 15, 2015 at 10:01 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Donald Trump

5. Rand Paul

6. John Kasich

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. George Pataki

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

9 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 09, 2015 at 9:35 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Donald Trump

5. Rand Paul

6. John Kasich

7. Mike Huckabee

8. George Pataki

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ted Cruz

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

5 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 04, 2015 at 10:35 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. Donald Trump

8. George Pataki

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ted Cruz

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

1 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 01, 2015 at 2:00 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Donald Trump

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

24 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 24, 2015 at 9:47 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Marco Rubio

3. Jeb Bush

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Donald Trump

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

23 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 23, 2015 at 4:29 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 23 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Marco Rubio

3. Jeb Bush

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Donald Trump

11. Ben Carson

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. Chris Christie

15. Rick Perry

22 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 21, 2015 at 1:51 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 22 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Marco Rubio

3. Jeb Bush

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Ben Carson

11. Rick Santorum

12. Lindsey Graham

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

19 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 19, 2015 at 4:07 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Lindsey Graham

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

15 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 14, 2015 at 10:26 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 15 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Lindsey Graham

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

10 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 10, 2015 at 5:24 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Lindsey Graham

11. Carly Fiorina

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

9 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 08, 2015 at 4:13 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Lindsey Graham

11. Carly Fiorina

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

4 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 04, 2015 at 4:20 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 4 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

3 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 03, 2015 at 3:10 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 3 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

2 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 02, 2015 at 4:35 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 2 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Rick Perry

New PollTrack Ranking Of Candidates for GOP Nomination For President

Posted May 19, 2015 at 11:40 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

12 May 2015: PollTrack's Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Nomination Fight

Posted May 12, 2015 at 4:03 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

11 May 2015: GOP Nomination Presidential Ranking 2016

Posted May 11, 2015 at 5:50 PM by Maurice Berger

Over the next few months, PollTrack will be ranking the GOP contenders for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.These rankings will consider several factors, including public opinion polls, internal polls (when available), the ups and downs of the news cycle, conditions on the ground, and electoral history.


Here is PollTrack's May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

 

Reading The Tea Leaves: 2016 GOP Nomination Rankings

Posted May 06, 2015 at 9:26 AM by Maurice Berger

Over the next few months, PollTrack will be ranking the GOP contenders for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.These rankings will consider several factors, including public opinion polls, internal polls (when available), the ups and downs of the news cycle, conditions on the ground, and electoral history.


Here is PollTrack's first ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. John Kasich

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

 

PollTrack Coverage of Election 2016!

Posted May 03, 2015 at 10:13 AM by Maurice Berger

As more reliable polling pours in this summer for the primary races for President and US Senate, PollTrack will begin it's coverage of Election 2016. Stay tuned for updates. 

Mitt Romney In 2016?

Posted Jul 31, 2014 at 8:39 AM by Maurice Berger

In polls conducted in the early primary states of South Carolina, New Hampshire and Iowa, Vox Populi Polling reports that more than 70% of GOP primary voters would be open to a Mitt Romney presidential run in 2016.

Clinton's Favorability Declines

Posted Jul 02, 2014 at 8:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Bloomberg National reports that 52% of Americans view Hillary Clinton favorably, down from 56% in March and 70% in December 2012.

2016 Democratic Nomination: Clinton Holds Commanding Lead

Posted Jun 13, 2014 at 12:50 PM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by ABC News-Washington Post reports that Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, with support from 69% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. "Clinton also fares well in public perceptions in the new poll: 67% of Americans view her as a strong leader, 60% say she's honest and trustworthy, and 59% say she has new ideas for the country's future

GOP Conservatives Cool on Bush in 2016

Posted May 01, 2014 at 11:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Economist/YouGov reports that only 18% of self-identified conservatives want Jeb Bush to run for president in 2016. Overall, "26% of Republicans want Bush to run. That puts him behind Paul, at 36%, and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 30%. Some 35% of Republicans do not want Bush to run."

FL Insiders Think Bush Will Run In 2016

Posted Apr 16, 2014 at 8:29 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Florida Insider of 120 of the state's "most plugged in politicos" finds that 74% think former GOP Gov. Jeb Bush will run for president in 2016 but just 32% think Sen. Marco Rubio will do so.

Majority of Americans Skeptical Of Christie

Posted Mar 20, 2014 at 11:12 PM by Maurice Berger

A national poll by Bloomberg reports that 63% of Americans say they don't believe Republican New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's "claims that he knew nothing of a plan by his top aides to create a politically motivated traffic jam."

A Clear Majority View Clinton Favorably

Posted Feb 26, 2014 at 7:43 AM by Maurice Berger

According to Gallup, "a clear majority of Americans, 59%, still view Hillary Clinton favorably a year after she left her post as secretary of state. Clinton's current rating is noticeably lower than the 64% she averaged while serving in President Barack Obama's cabinet."

Christie Support Continues To Slip

Posted Jan 22, 2014 at 9:18 AM by Maurice Berger

Are GOP NJ Governor Chris Christie's national aspirations slipping? A new poll by Quinnipiac reports that Christie now trails Democrat Hillary Clinton in a possible presidential match up, 46% to 38%.Last month, the two were tied at 40% each.

Christie Falling Behind Clinton In Potential 2016 Matchup

Posted Jan 20, 2014 at 9:02 AM by Maurice Berger

While a new poll by NBC News/Maristl reports that nearly seven in 10 Americans say the George Washington Bridge scandal engulfing New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's administration hasn't changed their opinion of him, he has lost considerable ground to Hillary Clinton in an early hypothetical presidential match up. He now trails Clinton by a -13%, 50% to 37% among nationwide voters.

Is Chris Christie The 2016 Front-runner?

Posted Dec 23, 2013 at 9:03 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Public Policy Polling reports that New Jersey GOP Governor Chris Christie now leads Hillary Clinton, and all other possible Democratic candidates, in hypothetical match-ups. According to the poll, Christie leads Clinton, 45% to 42%, "because he's viewed favorably across party lines. He's at 48/26 with Republicans, 46/28 with independents, and 38/36 with Democrats."     

2016 Prrsidential Race: Who Do Iowans Prefer?

Posted Dec 17, 2013 at 8:19 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll out from the Des Moines Register reports that Rep. Paul Ryan "is wildly popular here with a 73% favorable rating, a surprise finding that reveals he's at the forefront of potential 2016 GOP presidential candidates in the nation's kickoff voting state." The Democratic horse race shows an even clearer favorite in a state that registers its preferences in the party nominating process earlier than any other: Ryans' popularity "isn't as striking as the overwhelming affinity Iowa Democrats have for Hillary Clinton, with 89% saying they have a positive opinion of her. Just 7% of voting-age Democrats have a negative impression the former U.S. secretary of state and U.S. senator from New York."

Clinton's Numbers Are Formidable

Posted Jun 03, 2013 at 9:35 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac reports that Hillary Clinton remains in a very strong position for the 2016 presidential cycle. Pitting her against two hypothetical GOP challengers, her numbers are very strong: She leads both Jeb Bush (48% to 40%) and Sen. Rand Paul (49% to 41%) by eight points.

Clinton Way Ahead For 2016 Democratic Nomination

Posted May 15, 2013 at 2:29 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac reports former US Senator and First Lady Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead over other potential 2016 candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination, with 65%, followed by Joe Biden at 13% and Andrew Cuomo at 4%.

Rubio Holds Tiny Lead For 2016 GOP Nomination

Posted May 03, 2013 at 9:01 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll for Fairleigh Dickinson University reports that there is no clear frontrunner for the 2016 GOP presidential primary. If the election were held today, Marco Rubio 18% would hold a slight lead, followed by Jeb Bush 16%, Chris Christie 14%, and Rick Santorum at 9%.

Hillary Clinton Way Ahead For 2016 Democratic Nomination

Posted May 01, 2013 at 7:48 AM by Maurice Berger

If there was any doubt that Hillary Clinton is the prohibitive favorite for the 2016 Democratic nomination for President, anew Fairleigh Dickinson University poll puts those doubts to rest:  Clinton leads with 63%, followed by Joe Biden 12%, Andrew Cuomo 3%.

Democrats In Command Of Electoral College?

Posted Apr 10, 2013 at 9:38 AM by Maurice Berger

Mike Murphy argues that the Democrats now hold a structural advantage in the Electoral College: "The GOP's greatest challenge is the fact that Democrats begin each presidential election with a near lock on the Electoral College. Twenty-one states and the District of Columbia have given their electoral votes to the Democratic presidential nominee in at least five out of the last six elections. These states represent 257 electoral votes out of the 270 needed to win the presidency. Under current trends, the GOP nominee has to pull the equivalent of drawing an inside straight in poker to get to the White House."

Election 2016: Is Jindal's Star Dimming?

Posted Apr 09, 2013 at 8:54 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Southern Media & Opinion Research in Louisiana reports that Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal's approval rating plummeted from from 51% in October to just under 38% in March.
With the poll also reporting that President Obama is now more popular than Jindal in the state, are the governor's prospects for the 206 GOP presidential nomination dimming?

Will Nate Silver's Predictions Influence Elections

Posted Feb 26, 2013 at 8:36 AM by Maurice Berger

In an interview withStudent Life, Nate Silver suggests that he might end his election forecasting after the 2014 or 2016 elections should his projections "actually influence the elections' outcome." Silver continues: "The polls can certainly affect elections at times. I hope people don't take the forecasts too seriously. You'd rather have an experiment where you record it off from the actual voters, in a sense, but we'll see. If it gets really weird in 2014, in 2016, then maybe I'll stop doing it. I don't want to influence the democratic process in a negative way."

Americans Negative on GOP

Posted Jan 22, 2013 at 9:00 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new poll by NBC News/Wall Street Journal, 49% of Americans hold a negative view of the Republican Party while 26% have a positive view. Views of the Democratic Party remain net positive rating: 44% hold a favorable view of the party and 38% hold an unfavorable one.

Democrats Retake Lead In Party Affiliation

Posted Jan 11, 2013 at 9:39 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new poll by Gallup, "an average of 47% of Americans identified as Democrats or said they were independents who leaned Democratic in 2012, compared with 42% who identified as or leaned Republican. That re-establishes a Democratic edge in party affiliation after the two parties were essentially tied in 2010 and 2011."

Christie Even More Popular With Democrats Nationally

Posted Jan 10, 2013 at 9:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released Public Policy Polling survey reports that Republican New Jersey Gov. Chris Chrisitie is more popular with Democrats nationally than he is with Republicans. His overall favorability is 51% to 23%.  With Democrats, he holds +29 advantage: 52% to 23%. With GOP voters, his advantage is +21: 48% to 27%. And he is most popular with independent voters with a staggering +34 at advantage: 52% to 18%.

Can Cuomo Effectively Challenge Clinton In 2016?

Posted Jan 03, 2013 at 9:53 AM by Maurice Berger

With many speculating that Hillary Clinton will mount another run for president in 2016, NY Governor Andrew Cuomo appears also to be weighing his options. Will the Governor's sky-high popularity in his home state increase his standing within the Democratic party? Or is Senator Clinton unstoppable? A recent poll by Quinnipiac in New York reports that Cuomo holds a stunning 74% to 13% approval rating, his highest score to date and the latest in a six-month string of 70+ percent positive ratings. But it is the demographic breakdown of these number that may add fuel to the Cuomo presidential bandwagon: 68% (to 18%) of Republicans and 70% (to 12%) of independent voters also approve of the way he is handling his job. In the end, New York is not a good indicator of national sentiment and popularity: there, it is Sen. Clinton who holds the edge, with a national approval rating at nearly 70%, higher than her husband or the president.

Is The GOP Running Out Of White Voters?

Posted Jan 02, 2013 at 6:51 AM by Maurice Berger

With the population of older white--and generally GOP-leaning--voters aging out and dying, is the Republican Party risking becoming a "regional party" if they don't increase support among Hispanic and other voters. GOP pollster Whit Ayres released a strategy memo saying that Republicans are, indeed, at risk in future elections:  "Mitt Romney won a landslide among white voters, defeating Barack Obama by 59 to 39 percent. In the process he won every large segment of white voters, often by double-digit margins: white men, white women, white Catholics, white Protestants, white old people, white young people. Yet that was not enough to craft a national majority. Republicans have run out of persuadable white voters. For the fifth time in the past six presidential elections, Republicans lost the popular vote. Trying to win a national election by gaining a larger and larger share of a smaller and smaller portion of the electorate is a losing political proposition."

Assessing The Democratic Field in 2016

Posted Dec 05, 2012 at 9:28 AM by Maurice Berger

Harry Enten, applying a statistical method that assesses potential presidential candidates by ideology, places New York Democratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo to the right of a number of possible contenders. Cuomo, Enten writes, "simply doesn't have that liberal allure" that Hillary Clinton or other popular Democrats mentioned as possible presidential candidates in 2016. He continues: "If these numbers are to believed, the possible 2016 roster of candidates will position Cuomo and Warner as ideologically conservative Democrats, Biden and O'Malley as moderate Democrats, Clinton, Patrick, and Schweitzer as liberal Democrats, and Warren as a very liberal Democrat."

PollTrack believes that we have a long way to go until 2016. Perceptions may change as voters become more familiar with the potential candidates (of both parties).

GOP Frontrunner: 2016?

Posted Nov 16, 2012 at 9:36 AM by Maurice Berger

GOP Frontrunner: 2016? Sounds a bit early to be thinking about this, given the very recent conclusion of Election 2012. But that doesn't stop Republican and Democratic insiders from thinking about the next presidential election. A survey by National Journal Political Insiders reports that Republican and Democratic party operatives and observers have differing views when it comes to the question of who might be the strongest Republican to run for president in 2016. GOP insiders: Marco Rubio 40%, Jeb Bush 27%, Paul Ryan 9%, Rick Santorum 9%, Chris Christie 8%. Democratic insiders: Jeb Bush 47%, Chris Christie 28%, Marco Rubio 13%. 

Majority Of Voters Believe Next President Will Be A Republican

Posted Apr 29, 2009 at 12:57 AM by Maurice Berger

In a result that may appear somewhat counterintuitive, given the president's healthy approval rating 100 days into his administration, a new Rasmussen Poll reports that "for the first time since Obama was elected president last November, more than half of U.S. voters (53%) say it is at least somewhat likely that the next occupant of the White House will be a Republican. 31% say it is Very Likely. 35% say it is not very or not at all likely, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. 12% aren’t sure. This is not an expectation related to the 2012 election. It is a question about the President following Obama which could happen in either 2012 or 2016."