Posted May 08, 2012 at 4:16 PM by Maurice Berger
Despite the hopes of the Obama campaign for picking up the traditionally Republican state of Arizona--and recent polls suggesting that the state might be competitive in the presidential election--a new survey by Magellan Strategies reports that Mitt Romney holds a considerable +9% lead over President Obama, 52% to 43%.
Posted May 02, 2012 at 5:07 PM by Maurice Berger
Arizona, a reliable red state in presidential elections, holds some good news for President Obama: a new Rocky Mountain Poll in the state finds President Obama ahead of Mitt Romney, 42% to 40% with 18% undecided. An earlier survey, by Merrill/Morrisson Institute reported a two-point lead for Romney, a surprisingly close race (fueled, in part, by Hispanic voters unhappy with the GOP agenda on immigration issues) for a GOP candidate.
Posted Feb 27, 2012 at 8:58 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released survey from American Research Group reports that Mitt Romney maintains a slim lead in the Arizona GOP primary at 39%, followed by Rick Santorum at 35%, Newt Gingrich at 11% and Ron Paul at 9%.
Posted Feb 22, 2012 at 9:57 AM by Maurice Berger
A new survey by We Ask America in Arizona reports that Mitt Romney is leading in next week's GOP presidential primary with 37%, followed by Rick Santorum at 27%, Newt Gingrich at 15% and Ron Paul at 8%.
Posted Feb 01, 2012 at 9:17 AM by Maurice Berger
Mitt Romney's substantial victory in yesterday's Florida primary may give him a significant advantage in the GOP presidential nomination contest, but many more primaries and caucuses lie ahead for the Republican field. Here's a breakdown for February:
Posted May 06, 2011 at 7:00 AM by Maurice Berger
If critically wounded Democratic U.S. Representative Gabrielle Giffords were to run in the 2012 Arizona US Senate race, a new Public Policy Polling survey in Arizona reports that she would start out with a 7 point lead in a hypothetical match up with likely GOP candidate Rep. Jeff Flake, 48% to 41%.
Posted Jan 14, 2011 at 8:00 AM by Maurice Berger
Yes, 2011 is defintely a quiet year for electoral activity. But an important one. The 2012 campaigns--from president and congress--will actually start in 2011. So much to watch, especially as we near the first GOP presidential primaries in early-2012. And we'll also be following a few key, "off-year" elections, including:
Kentucky governor's race
Mississippi governor's race
Dallas mayoral race
Phoenix mayoral race
Louisiana governor's race
Posted Jun 03, 2010 at 9:08 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released Quinnipiac University poll reports that American voters--by a 48% to 35% margin--would like to see their state pass an immigration law similar to Arizona's: "The strong plurality who says they would like a similar law in their own state probably portends the law will be an issue in many, many campaigns this November across the country. Depending on how those elections and court challenges come out, copy cat Arizona laws could be a hot issue in state capitals after November."
Posted May 25, 2010 at 9:25 AM by Maurice Berger
Before Republicans start celebrating what some predict may be a massive victory in November, they may want to take notice of one sobering phenomenon: In Colorado and Arizona, Public Policy Polling reports that Hispanic voters are now swinging dramatically towards Democrats in the wake of Arizona's new immigration law. PPP continues: "Hispanics in the Mountain West are leaning much more strongly toward the Democrats since the Arizona law was passed. The big question then becomes whether there are white voters who are going to go Republican this fall who wouldn't have if that bill hadn't been passed. We don't see any evidence of that happening yet." This trend could easily shift into other states with significant Hispanic populations, effecting very close race in states as disparate as California, Ohio, and Florida, not to mention Colorado and Arizona. Stay tuned. This could be the sleeper phenomenon of the 2010 cycle.
Posted May 04, 2010 at 9:14 AM by Maurice Berger
According to Gallup, "more than three-quarters of Americans have heard about the state of Arizona's new immigration law, and of these, 51% say they favor it and 39% oppose it . . . The law makes it a state crime for illegal immigrants to be in the country, and allows Arizona law enforcement officials to detain those suspected of being in the country illegally unless they can prove otherwise. The law has sparked protests in Arizona and other parts of the U.S., and calls for economic boycotts of the state."
Posted Nov 04, 2008 at 11:44 PM by Maurice Berger
A fitting coda to John McCain's gracious concession speech: the AP projects that the Republican will win his home state of Arizona. Obama's significant inroads with Hispanics--in many states his margin of victory among these voters approaches 30%--actually tightened the contest in Arizona in recent weeks.
Posted Oct 28, 2008 at 1:17 PM by Maurice Berger
11/03/2008
Obama-291 McCain-163 Too Close To Call-84
11/02/2008
Obama-278 McCain-142 Too Close To Call-118
10/31/2008
Obama-311 McCain-160 Too Close To Call-67
10/28/2008
Obama-306 McCain-160 Too Close To Call-72
10/24/2008
Obama-306 McCain-171 Too Close To Call-61
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