Posted Apr 25, 2016 at 9:58 AM by Maurice Berger
Connecticut
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Delaware
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Maryland
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Pennsylvania
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Rhode Island
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Tagged: 2016, Bernie Sanders, Democratic Party, Democratic National Convention, Hillary Clinton, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island
Posted Apr 25, 2016 at 9:55 AM by Maurice Berger
Connecticut
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Delaware
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Maryland
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Pennsylvania
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. Ted Cruz
3. John Kasich
Rhode Island
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Tagged: 2016, Donald Trump, John Kasich, Republican Party, Republican nomination, Ted Cruz, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware
Posted Apr 21, 2016 at 9:49 AM by Maurice Berger
Connecticut
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Delaware
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Maryland
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Pennsylvania
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. Ted Cruz
3. John Kasich
Rhode Island
1. Donald Trump WINNER
2. John Kasich
3. Ted Cruz
Tagged: 2016, Donald Trump, John Kasich, Ted Cruz, Republican nomination, Republican Party, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania
Posted Apr 21, 2016 at 9:39 AM by Maurice Berger
Connecticut
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Delaware
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Maryland
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Pennsylvania
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Rhode Island
1. Hillary Clinton WINNER
2. Bernie Sanders
Tagged: 2016, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland
Posted Jun 10, 2009 at 1:50 AM by Maurice Berger
The brilliant political analyst Charlie Cook--taking an early look at the electoral landscape for the 2010 congressional midterm election--predicts a split decision, "with
Republicans picking up a few House seats but losing a Senate seat or
two. The difference is that Democrats have the larger number of
vulnerable House districts, while Senate Republicans have more seats
that are in serious jeopardy."
Cook on the House: "Having gained 54 House seats over the past two elections, Democrats now
represent 49 districts that GOP presidential nominee John McCain won
last year. By comparison, Republicans represent 34 districts that Obama
won. Simple arithmetic indicates that in the absence of overwhelming
hostility toward the Republican Party, the GOP ought to gain a few,
maybe even a dozen or so, House seats."
Cook on the Senate: "On the Senate side, the math is a bit different and is not driven
directly by the results of the past two elections. In 2010, Republicans
will be defending 19 seats, only one more than Democrats will.
Originally, Republicans would have had 20 seats to defend versus 15 for
the Democrats, but that changed with Joe Biden's election to the vice
presidency and Hillary Rodham Clinton's selection as secretary of
State. Two Democratic seats that would not have been up again until
2014 and 2012, respectively, will be in 2010. Add in Arlen Specter's
party switch, and next year's lineup brings almost complete parity in
the parties' exposure."
For more of Cook's fascinating analysis click here.
Tagged: 2010, Democratic Party, Republican Party, US Senate RACE CHART, US House RACE CHART, President Barack Obama, Delaware, New York, Pennsylvania
Posted Sep 15, 2008 at 1:51 AM by Maurice Berger
Based on statewide polling over the past month, PollTrack has a number of new calls on Election Day Map Today. In the coming weeks--as trends are established and voter opinion appears to be solidifying--more states will be added to the final tally. Stay tuned . . .
Tagged: Florida, Connecticut, Iowa, Indiana, Maine, Missouri, Delaware, North Carolina, North Dakota, West Virginia
Posted Aug 23, 2008 at 12:51 AM by Maurice Berger
Well, it's Sen. Joe Biden (D-DEL). The immediate question: how will his selection as Obama's running mate impact on their standing in the polls and electorally? For one, PollTrack will now move Delaware from ""likely Democrat" to "safe Democrat."
Beyond this, the implications of Biden's role on the ticket are unclear electorally. There is no one swing state that Biden can help lock in for Obama (as LBJ did for JFK in Texas in 1960, and Kaine or Bayh might have accomplished in this cycle, with Virginia or Indiana respectively). His experience, of course, could help with voters concerned about Obama's inexperience, a serious problem for him at the moment (see below, "Tightening Race: Crisis Management").
The big hurdle that Obama now faces, however--one that accounts to a great extent for the closeness of the race--is that McCain has unified his party and Obama has not. Will selecting Biden help bring disgruntled Clinton supporters into the fold, for example? This seems unlikely right now. And, of course, the VP selection rarely significantly alters the dynamics of an election.
Tagged: Delaware, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Joe Biden, swing state