Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

The Most and Least Trusted State Governments?

Posted Apr 07, 2014 at 8:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Gallup poll reports that Illinois tops the list for state residents with the lowest trust in their state government:  “llinois’ position at the bottom of the list … is not surprising, given that its last two governors, Rod Blagojevich and George Ryan, were sentenced to jail for crimes committed while in office.” Here is Gallup's chart for the most and least trusted states. 

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Obama In The Lead In Maine

Posted May 16, 2012 at 9:18 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey for Critical Insights in Maine reports that President Obama leads Mitt Romney by +8%--50% to 42%--numbers that also show the president hovering at the 50% mark, an important indicator of his potential strength in the state.

Maine Voters Support Gay Marriage

Posted Mar 07, 2012 at 9:01 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey in Maine by Public Policy Polling reports that there is a strong probability that voters in the state are likely to reverse their 2009 decision and legalize gay marriage in this fall: 54% say gay marriage should be legal; only 41% who think it should be illegal. According to the poll, "Republicans' opinions are pretty much the same as they were in 2009. But Democrats' support for gay marriage has increased slightly, from 71% to 78%. And more importantly independents have gone from voting against gay marriage 52/46 three years ago to now supporting it by a 57/36 margin."

GOP Nomination: The Contests In February

Posted Feb 01, 2012 at 1:17 AM by Maurice Berger

Mitt Romney's substantial victory in yesterday's Florida primary may give him a significant advantage in the GOP presidential nomination contest, but many more primaries and caucuses lie ahead for the Republican field. Here's a breakdown for February:

 

  • Nevada caucuses - February 4
  • Maine caucuses - February 4-11
  • Minnesota caucuses - February 7
  • Missouri primary - February 7
  • Colorado caucuses - February 7
  • Arizona primary - February 28
  • Michigan primary - February 29

PollTrack's Election Live Blog Map Differs from Some Networks . . .

Posted Nov 04, 2008 at 2:09 PM by Maurice Berger

. . . because we're one electoral vote ahead in Obama's tally, predicting that the Democrat will win BOTH congressional districts in Maine, one of two states that is not winner-take-all but apportions its EVs by congressional district (the other is Nebraska).

Tomorrow's Map: ME, MN, NJ All Move To "Safe Democrat"

Posted Oct 23, 2008 at 1:18 AM by Maurice Berger

With Obama's polling averages and dramatic improvement in his advantage in Minnesota, Maine, and New Jersey, PollTrack moves the three states from "Leaning" to "Safe Democrat" on Tomorrow's Map.

Today's Map: MN, MI, WI, ME All Move To "Safe Democrat"

Posted Oct 23, 2008 at 1:13 AM by Maurice Berger

With polling averages around the +10% mark and recent polling suggesting a surge for Obama in Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Maine, PollTrack moves all four states from "Leaning" to "Safe Democrat."

Election Day Map Today

Posted Sep 15, 2008 at 1:51 AM by Maurice Berger

Based on statewide polling over the past month, PollTrack has a number of new calls on Election Day Map Today. In the coming weeks--as trends are established and voter opinion appears to be solidifying--more states will be added to the final tally. Stay tuned . . .