Posted Mar 05, 2012 at 9:29 AM by Maurice Berger
Here are polling updates from PollTrack on the upcoming GOP primary and causes race for tomorrow's Super Tuesday sweep.
Georgia: Landmark/Rosetta Stone shows a possible Newt Gingrich romp in the state, with the former house speaker way ahead of the GOP
presidential field in his home state with 42%, followed by Mitt Romney
at 22%, Rick Santorum at 16% and Ron Paul at 5%. Interestingly, YouGov show a much closer race, with Gingrich at 32%, followed by Romney at 27%, Santorum at 17% and Paul at 10%
Massachusetts: According to YouGov, it's a Romney romp in the former governor's home state. Romney leads with 56%, followed by Santorum at 16%, Gingrich at 5% and Paul at 5%.
Ohio: In the all important--and perhaps make or break race for Rick Santorum--in Ohio, a survey by NBC News/Marist reports that Santorum is just ahead of Romney among GOP primary
voters, 34% to 32%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 15% and Ron Paul at
13%.
Oklahoma: American Research Group reports that Santorum leads the GOP presidential field in
next week's primary with 37%, followed by Mitt Romney at 26%, Newt
Gingrich at 22%, and Ron Paul at 9%.
Tennessee: Rasmussen survey finds Santorum just ahead of Romney, 34% to 30%, with Newt Gingrich at 18% and Ron Paul at 8%. Similarly, American Research Group shows Santorum leading Romney, 35% to 31%, with Gingrich at 20% and Paul at 9%.
Tagged: Election 2012, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Republican Party, Republican nomination, Massachusetts, Georgia, Ohio, Tennessee, Oklahoma
Posted Apr 06, 2011 at 9:02 AM by Maurice Berger
Despite the state's overwhelming Democratic tilt, Massachusetts continues to support incumbent GOP U.S. Senator Scott Brown. An internal Democratic poll suggests his popularity is on the rise: "The survey, which has been seen by at least one D.C. insider and was
detailed for Salon, measured Brown's approval rating at 73% -- easily
surpassing the scores for Barack Obama and the state's two top
Democrats, Gov. Deval Patrick and Sen. John Kerry. It also found him
running over the magic 50% mark against every potential Democratic
challenger, and crushing the strongest perceived Democrats (Reps.
Michael Capuano and Ed Markey and former Rep. Marty Meehan) by
double-digit margins. The results only grew closer when respondents were
primed with negative information about Brown."
Tagged: Election 2012, US Senate RACE CHART, Massachusetts
Posted Mar 18, 2011 at 7:51 AM by Maurice Berger
Republican U.S. Senator Scott Brown is showing surprising strength in the bluest of blue state of Massachusetts. A new Western New England College poll reports that 52% of registered voters say Sen. Scott Brown
(R-MA) deserves to be re-elected, while 28% say he does not deserve to
be re-elected. In hypothetical match ups, Brown leads Rep. Mike Capuano (D-MA), 51% to 38%, and tops Elizabeth Warren (D), 51% to 34%.
Tagged: 2011, US Senate RACE CHART, Massachusetts
Posted Nov 03, 2008 at 4:48 PM by Maurice Berger
Today's daily tracking poll average indicates a comfortable national aggregate lead of +6.6% for the Democrat, 50.6% to 44%. Still, with Obama up as much as +25% in states with some of the largest populations--such as CA, NY, MA, IL, MI--this national number may not reflect the relativeness closeness of the race in several key battleground states, including OH, NC, and FL. Much of today's polling continues to indicate an unusually large bloc of undecided or still persuadable voters. IBD/TIPP puts the figure at an amazing 9.5% undecided. A just issued CBS News periodic poll indicates a 6% undecided block. And Rasmussen still indicates that 10% of voters remain uncertain, lean to one candidate, or intend to vote for a third party candidate. The large undecided bloc that continues to register in some polls is unusually high the day before a national cycle, particularly one with as much voter enthusiasm as this one. Where will these voters wind up, if and when they vote?
Tagged: Barack Obama, John McCain, Daily Tracking Poll, Poll average, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, California, Massachusetts, Michigan, Illinois
Posted Nov 02, 2008 at 1:31 PM by Maurice Berger
This afternoon, four of five tracking polls out today report that the race has tightening over the past 24 hours (except for the erratic Zobgy survey). Today's PollTrack daily tracking poll average indicates that Obama's lead is down -1.3% from yesterday to 49.8% to 44.8%, for an aggregate advantage of +5% DEM. One poll, TIPP, the most accurate in 2004, reports a dramatic tightening of the race (Obama by +2%, 47% to 45%): "The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to
Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also
pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded
his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first
time by high school graduates." One other thing to consider, with Obama's national lead down to 5%--and his lead in high-population Kerry-blue states such as NY, IL, CA, MA, and NJ ballooning to 15-25% in most--the shrinking national total might also suggest that the races in more highly competitive battleground states may be drawing closer. Stay tuned.
Tagged: Barack Obama, John McCain, battleground states, Daily Tracking Poll, California, New Jersey, New York, Massachusetts
Posted Oct 05, 2008 at 4:28 PM by Maurice Berger
With both Massachusetts and Connecticut holding very steady for Obama, PollTrack moves the states from "Leaning" To "Safe Democrat" on Tomorrow's Map.
Tagged: Massachusetts, Connecticut
