Posted Jun 03, 2011 at 1:28 AM by Maurice Berger
Public Policy Polling national survey of the strength of potential candidates for the 2012 GOP nomination reports that with Mike Huckabee and Donald Trump out of the race, Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin are now leading the pack with 16% each. Tim Pawlenty is at 13%, Herman Cain at 12% and Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, and Ron Paul at 9%.
Posted May 03, 2011 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released Fox News poll reports that Mitt Romney is now in the lead among GOP voters for the 2012 nomination: Romney comes in at 19%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 17%,
Sarah Palin at 9%, Trump at 8%, Newt Gingrich at 7% and Ron Paul at 7%.
Posted Apr 27, 2011 at 12:50 AM by Maurice Berger
A new American Research Group poll in South Carolina reports that Mike Huckabee now leads in another key early primary state for the 2012 GOP nomination. Huckabe comes in at with 20%, followed closely by Mitt Romney at 18%.
Donald Trump at 13% and Sarah Palin at 10%.
Posted Apr 22, 2011 at 1:53 AM by Maurice Berger
A new ABC News/Washington Post Poll reports that even though President Obama's job approval rating has dropped to 47
percent, "he leads all potential GOP candidates.
In a head-to-head matchups, Obama leads Romney by 4 points, 49-45
percent; Huckabee by 6 points, 50-44 percent; Trump by 12 points, 52-40
percent; Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., by 12 points; former Minnesota
Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Gingrich by 15 points each; and Palin by 17
Posted Apr 21, 2011 at 1:31 AM by Maurice Berger
A new McClatchy-Marist Poll suggests that President Obama remains vulnerable in his reelection effort. The survey reports that 44% of American voters say they definitely plan to vote against Obama next year; 37% definitely plan to vote for him; and 18%
are unsure. Still, the President bests all Republican challengers in the poll's hypothetical match ups: Mitt Romney does best against Obama, but still
trails, 46% to 45%, while Mike Huckabee trails by 48% to 43%.
Posted Apr 20, 2011 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa reports that Mike Huckabee is way ahead in the 2012 GOP nomination race for president. Huckabee leads with 27%, followed by
Mitt Romney at 16%, Donald Trump at 14%, Newt Gingrich at 9%, Sarah
Palin at 8%, Michele Bachmann at 6%, Ron Paul at 6% and Tim Pawlenty at
Posted Apr 13, 2011 at 12:38 AM by Maurice Berger
In a troubling sign for the administration, a new Sachs/Mason-Dixon poll suggests that President Obama is in a poor position for retaking Florida in his 2012 reellction bid. Right now, only 34% of independent voters in Florida approve of
Obama's job performance. Both Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee
would now defeat the president in Florida if the election were held today.
Posted Apr 12, 2011 at 12:40 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Fox News poll show a closely matched GOP field for the 2012 nomination, with no potential Republican presidential candidate breaking out of a crowded field. Mike Huckabee is ahead with 15%; Mitt Romney is at 14%; Sarah
Palin at 12% and Donald Trump at 11%. Other candidates remain the the single digits.
Posted Apr 11, 2011 at 12:56 AM by Maurice Berger
According to Gallup, "With President Obama officially announcing his candidacy for
re-election on Monday, the question of whom he will run against becomes
even more relevant. Three possible Republican candidates -- Mike
Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and Newt Gingrich -- are currently best situated
among Republicans nationwide in terms of name recognition and Gallup
Positive Intensity Scores. Sarah Palin and Ron Paul are also well known,
but generate lower net enthusiasm from those who know them. Of the less
well-known potential GOP candidates, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann, and
Tim Pawlenty have the highest Positive Intensity Scores." Here is Gallup's chart
Posted Apr 07, 2011 at 1:01 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Mitt Romney leads the GOP presidential nomination race with 21%, followed
by Donald Trump and Mike Huckabee both at 17%. Newt Gingrich was in
fourth place with 11%, followed by Sarah Palin at 10% and Tim Pawlenty
Posted Mar 29, 2011 at 2:11 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Gallup survey reports that Mike Huckabee continues to lead in the race for the 2012 GOP Presidential nomination with 19%; he is followed by Mitt Romney at 15%, Sarah Palin at 12%
and Newt Gingrich at 10%. According to Gallup, if "Huckabee were not a candidate, most of his support would go to the
top three remaining candidates. Romney and Palin would essentially tie
for the lead, at 19% and 17%, respectively, with Gingrich getting a bump
in support to 13%."
Posted Mar 14, 2011 at 12:37 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released We Ask America poll in Iowa reports that Mike Huckabee continues to lead the Republican presidential pack, with 20%, followed by Sarah Palin at 14%, Newt Gingrich at 13%, Mitt
Romney at 13%, Donald Trump at 9%, Ron Paul at 5%, Tim Pawlenty at 4%,
Haley Barbour at 3% and Mitch Daniels at 2%.
Posted Mar 07, 2011 at 12:59 AM by Maurice Berger
A Winthrop University poll of southern states reports that Mike Huckabee leads his hypothetical rivals in the 2012 Republican presidential primary
Huckabee receives 21.9%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 12.9%, Sarah
Palin at 8.7%, Mitt Romney at 6.9%, Tim Pawlenty at 6.2% and Ron Paul at
5.7%. The president's approval rating remains extremely low in the South, with just
38% approving and 51% disapproving.
Posted Feb 23, 2011 at 11:45 PM by Maurice Berger
A just released Newsweek/Daily Beast poll reports that Mike Huckabee is tied with President Obama in a hypothetical 2012 presidential match up, 46% to 46%. In other match ups, Obama edges Mitt Romney, 49% to 47%, beats Donald Trump, 43% to 40%, and tops Sarah Palin, 51% to 40%.
Posted Feb 18, 2011 at 12:48 AM by Maurice Berger
A Public Policy Polling survey reports that President Obama runs dead even in a re-election match up against a generic Republican, 47% to 47%. But when things get specific, the President's numbers improve considerably: he leads all of the named candidates in the poll,
with a 3% advantage over Mike Huckabee, a 5% lead over Mitt Romney,
a 9% lead over Newt Gingrich, and a whopping 12% advantage one over Sarah Palin.
Posted Feb 14, 2011 at 1:28 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released Fox News poll reports that President Obama leads all Republican challengers in hypothetical match ups for his 2012 reelection bid, by at least seven points. He leads Mitt Romney, 48% to 41%, beats Mike Huckabee, 49% to 41%, tops
Sarah Palin, 56% to 35%, and is ahead of Newt Gingrich, 55% to 35%.
Posted Feb 10, 2011 at 1:59 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Rasmussen Reports survey offers an early look at potential 2012 match-ups,reporting that "Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee essentially run even
with Obama at this point. Romney is nominally up two points, 44% to
42%, while Huckabee is tied with the president at 43% apiece. Three other well-known potential candidates, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich
and Ron Paul trail the president. Palin is down by 11 points, 49% to
38%, Gingrich by eight, 47% to 39%, and Paul by nine, 44% to 35%"
Posted Feb 09, 2011 at 12:55 AM by Maurice Berger
A new CNN/Opinion Research poll reports that Mike Huckabee continues to lead Republican presidential hopefuls nationally
with 21%, followed by Sarah Palin at 19%, Mitt Romney at 18%, Newt
Gingrich at 10% and Ron Paul at 7%.
Posted Feb 08, 2011 at 1:01 AM by Maurice Berger
Nate Silver offers an interesting analysis of the 2012 GOP presidential field, exploring their status as insider vs. outsider and moderate vs. conservatives. Silver writes: "One dimension is obvious: we can classify the candidates from left to
right, from relatively more moderate to relatively more conservative.
But another dimension that is often salient in the primaries, and
perhaps especially so for Republicans next year, is what we might think
of as the insider/outsider axis: whether the candidate is viewed as part
of the Republican establishment, or as a critic of it."
Posted Feb 01, 2011 at 1:48 AM by Maurice Berger
Strategic National commissioned two polls
of the Republican presidential race in Iowa and New Hampshire. Here are the results: In Iowa,
Mike Huckabee leads by at 28%, followed by Mitt Romney at 19%, Sarah Palin at 12%, Newt
Gingrich at 12%, Tim Pawlenty at 4% and Michele Bachmann at 4%. In New Hampshire, it is Mitt Romney who leads at 34%, followed by Mike Huckabee at 14%, Sarah Palin at 13%, Newt Gingrich at 9% and Tim Pawlenty at 5%.
Posted Jan 26, 2011 at 1:31 AM by Maurice Berger
President Obama's aggregate approval rating surging dramatically in recent days, a new Public Policy Polling survey finds the president in his best position against the major Republican contenders since 2009. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee each trail the president by +5%; Newt Gingrich trails by 12%
and Sarah Palin by a whopping 17%.
Posted Jan 11, 2011 at 12:51 AM by Maurice Berger
How does the GOP field for the 2012 presidential contest look in New Hampshire, the first state to hold a primary next year? A new Magellan Strategies poll in New Hampshire reports that Mitt Romney holds a huge lead with 39%, followed by Sarah Palin at 16% and Mike Huckabee at 10%. How significant are these numbers? As Dave Weigel notes, Romney is "the only 2012 candidate with any geographic claim
to New Hampshire" so "anything less than a monster win makes him look a
lot like Muskie."
Posted Nov 17, 2010 at 1:12 AM by Maurice Berger
Where does President Obama stand in his reelection bid? How does he stack up against a generic Republican candidate. A new Politico poll reports that while Obama trailing a generic Republican opponent for
reelection, 40% to 37%, he comes out at least 6% points ahead when
matched up with likely Republican contenders Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney,
Tim Pawlenty, Mike Huckabee and Haley Barbour. Like GOP loses in US Senate races with unpopular incumbents--like Nevada and Colorado--Obama's ability to overtake specific GOP candidates suggests that the president's relative popularity will be no more important than the relative popularity of GOP candidates in determine who will come out ahead in 2012. Stay tuned.
Posted Nov 11, 2010 at 3:55 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Associated Press-GfK poll reports that Sarah Palin is the most divisive of the potential 2012
Republican presidential candidates; public perceptions of Mike Huckabee
and Mitt Romney are more positive. 46% of Americans see Palin as favorable; 49% as unfavorable. Huckabee has the highest favorability rating at 49%; 27% view him unfavorably. Romney has a 46%
favorabliy rating, while 31% view him unfavorably.
Posted Aug 20, 2010 at 12:53 AM by Maurice Berger
A new CNN poll reports that Mitt Romney leads the field of potential 2012 Republican
presidential candidates with 21%, followed by Sarah Palin at 18%, Newt
Gingrich at 15%, Mike Huckabee at 14% and Ron Paul at 10%. Another poll, however, from Public Policy Polling survey shows the candidates essentially tied: Huckabee at 23%, Romney at 22%, Palin at 21% and Gingrich at 21%.
Posted Apr 20, 2010 at 12:40 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Public
Policy Polling survey reports that President Obama is virtually
tied with all four of the leading candidates for the Republican
nomination. The poll's results: Obama trails Mike Huckabee 47% to 45% and Mitt
Romney 45% to 44%. He is tied with Newt Gingrich, at 45%. He leads one candidate by a slim margin: Sarah
Palin, at 47% to 45%. PPP's analysis suggests that the President is at his weakest point in "13 monthly surveys and a pretty clear indication that passing health
care has not done anything to enhance his political standing, at least
in the short term."
Posted Mar 25, 2010 at 1:50 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Public
Policy Polling survey reports that former Massachusetts Governor, Mitt Romney is leading the 2012
presidential Republican nomination race with 28% support, followed by Mike Huckabee at 24% and
Sarah Palin at 23% and Ron Paul at 11%. These numbers suggests not only a close race, but a decidedly undecided Republican party, split between the more mainstream conservatism of Romney, cultural conservatism of Huckabee, and Tea Bag conservatism of Palin.
Posted Jan 26, 2010 at 1:47 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Public Policy Polling survey President Obama, for the first time, "trails one of his hypothetical opponents," for reelection, "albeit by the smallest of margins." Mike Huckabee edges Obama, 45% to 44%, but leads Mitt Romney (44% to 42%) and Sarah Palin (49% to 41%).
Posted Oct 30, 2009 at 2:17 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new CNN/Opinion Research survey, 32% of GOP voters say they would support
Mike Huckabee (R), followed by Sarah Palin (R) at 25%, Mitt Romney at
21% and Tim Pawlenty at 5% for the 2012 Republican nomination for president. The survey concludes: "Huckabee appears to have more support
among Republicans than Palin and her unfavorable rating among all
Americans is twice as high as Huckabee's. Palin may attract a lot of
attention but the GOP may be looking elsewhere for their frontrunner."