Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

6 November Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Nov 06, 2015 at 1:43 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 6 November 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Jeb Bush

7. John Kasich

8. Rand Paul

9. Chris Christie

10. Mike Huckabee

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

29 October Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 29, 2015 at 1:49 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Jeb Bush

7. John Kasich

8. Chris Christie

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

24 October Ranking 2016 GOP Presidential Nomination

Posted Oct 24, 2015 at 4:40 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Ted Cruz

5. Jeb Bush

6. Carly Fiorina

7. John Kasich

8. Chris Christie

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

13 October Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 13, 2015 at 11:41 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 13 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Carly Fiorina

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Chris Christie

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

7 October Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Oct 07, 2015 at 1:24 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 7 October 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Marco Rubio

4. Carly Fiorina

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

29 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 29, 2015 at 4:58 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 29 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Carly Fiorina

4. Marco Rubio

5. Jeb Bush

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

24 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 24, 2015 at 7:07 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive GOP candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Carly Fiorina

4. Jeb Bush

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

21 September Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Sep 21, 2015 at 10:17 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Carly Fiorina

3. Jeb Bush

4. Ben Carson

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. George Pataki

19 September Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Sep 19, 2015 at 11:19 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Carly Fiorina

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Scott Walker

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

14 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 14, 2015 at 12:17 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 14 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ted Cruz

6. Carly Fiorina

7. John Kasich

8. Scott Walker

 

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

12 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 11, 2015 at 5:54 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 11 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ted Cruz

6. Scott Walker

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry DROPS OUT OF PRESIDENTIAL RACE

11 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 11, 2015 at 3:00 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 11 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ted Cruz

6. Scott Walker

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

4 September Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Sep 04, 2015 at 5:45 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 4 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Marco Rubio

5. Scott Walker

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

1 September Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Sep 01, 2015 at 10:50 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 September 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Ben Carson

3. Jeb Bush

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

29 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 29, 2015 at 10:45 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 29 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Jeb Bush

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. John Kasich

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Mike Huckabee

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

24 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 24, 2015 at 10:46 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Donald Trump

2. Jeb Bush

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

21 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 21, 2015 at 11:28 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 21 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Donald Trump

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

18 August Ranking 2016 Presidential Nomination

Posted Aug 18, 2015 at 3:29 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 18 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Donald Trump

3. Ben Carson

4. Scott Walker

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Marco Rubio

7. Ted Cruz

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

11 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 11, 2015 at 9:30 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Donald Trump

3. Scott Walker

4. Ben Carson

5. Carly Fiorina

6. Marco Rubio

7. Ted Cruz

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. George Pataki

16. Rick Perry

10 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 10, 2015 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Ben Carson

5. Marco Rubio

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. Mike Huckabee

9. John Kasich

10. Chris Christie

11. Rand Paul

12. Rick Perry

13. Bobby Jindal

14. Rick Santorum

15. Lindsey Graham

16. George Pataki

8 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 07, 2015 at 11:04 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 8 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Ben Carson

6. Mike Huckabee

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. John Kasich

12. Rick Perry

13. Bobby Jindal

14. Rick Santorum

15. Lindsey Graham

16. George Pataki

6 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 06, 2015 at 11:55 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 6 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Marco Rubio

4. Donald Trump

5. Ben Carson

6. Mike Huckabee

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Chris Christie

10. Rand Paul

11. John Kasich

12. Rick Perry

13. Bobby Jindal

14. Rick Santorum

15. Lindsey Graham

16. George Pataki

 

5 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 05, 2015 at 11:19 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 5 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Rand Paul

6. Ben Carson

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Ted Cruz

9. Chris Christie

10. Rick Perry

11. John Kasich

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Carly Fiorina

1 August Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Aug 01, 2015 at 4:18 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 August 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Rand Paul

6. Ben Carson

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Ted Cruz

9. Chris Christie

10. Rick Perry

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. John Kasich

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Carly Fiorina

28 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 28, 2015 at 9:26 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 28 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Donald Trump

4. Marco Rubio

5. Rand Paul

6. Ben Carson

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Perry

10. Chris Christie

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Rick Santorum

13. John Kasich

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Carly Fiorina

 

24 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 24, 2015 at 9:52 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Donald Trump

4. Scott Walker

5. Ben Carson

6. John Kasich

7. Rand Paul

8. Mike Huckabee

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ted Cruz

11. George Pataki

12. Bobby Jindal

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

17 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 17, 2015 at 3:36 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 17 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Donald Trump

4. Scott Walker

5. Rand Paul

6. John Kasich

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. George Pataki

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

15 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 15, 2015 at 10:01 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Donald Trump

5. Rand Paul

6. John Kasich

7. Mike Huckabee

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. George Pataki

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

9 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 09, 2015 at 9:35 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Donald Trump

5. Rand Paul

6. John Kasich

7. Mike Huckabee

8. George Pataki

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ted Cruz

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

5 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 04, 2015 at 10:35 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. Donald Trump

8. George Pataki

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ted Cruz

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

1 July Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jul 01, 2015 at 2:00 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 July 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Marco Rubio

3. Scott Walker

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Donald Trump

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

24 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 24, 2015 at 9:47 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 24 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Marco Rubio

3. Jeb Bush

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Donald Trump

11. Bobby Jindal

12. Ben Carson

13. Rick Santorum

14. Lindsey Graham

15. Chris Christie

16. Rick Perry

23 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 23, 2015 at 4:29 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 23 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Marco Rubio

3. Jeb Bush

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Donald Trump

11. Ben Carson

12. Rick Santorum

13. Lindsey Graham

14. Chris Christie

15. Rick Perry

22 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 21, 2015 at 1:51 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 22 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Marco Rubio

3. Jeb Bush

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ted Cruz

10. Ben Carson

11. Rick Santorum

12. Lindsey Graham

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

19 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 19, 2015 at 4:07 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 19 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Lindsey Graham

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

15 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 14, 2015 at 10:26 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 15 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Lindsey Graham

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

10 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 10, 2015 at 5:24 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 10 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. John Kasich

6. Mike Huckabee

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Lindsey Graham

11. Carly Fiorina

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

15. Rick Perry

9 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 08, 2015 at 4:13 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Lindsey Graham

11. Carly Fiorina

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

4 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 04, 2015 at 4:20 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 4 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

3 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 03, 2015 at 3:10 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 3 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

2 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 02, 2015 at 4:35 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 2 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Rick Perry

1 June Ranking Of GOP 2016 Presidential Contenders

Posted Jun 01, 2015 at 11:08 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 1 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Lindsey Graham

10. Carly Fiorina

11. Ben Carson

12. Chris Christie

13. Rick Perry

28 May Ranking: GOP Presidential Nomination

Posted May 28, 2015 at 9:45 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 28 May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Rick Santorum

9. Carly Fiorina

10. Ben Carson

11. Chris Christie

12. Rick Perry

New PollTrack Ranking Of Candidates for GOP Nomination For President

Posted May 19, 2015 at 11:40 AM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

12 May 2015: PollTrack's Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Nomination Fight

Posted May 12, 2015 at 4:03 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 12 May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

11 May 2015: GOP Nomination Presidential Ranking 2016

Posted May 11, 2015 at 5:50 PM by Maurice Berger

Over the next few months, PollTrack will be ranking the GOP contenders for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.These rankings will consider several factors, including public opinion polls, internal polls (when available), the ups and downs of the news cycle, conditions on the ground, and electoral history.


Here is PollTrack's May 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. Ted Cruz

8. Carly Fiorina

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

 

Reading The Tea Leaves: 2016 GOP Nomination Rankings

Posted May 06, 2015 at 9:26 AM by Maurice Berger

Over the next few months, PollTrack will be ranking the GOP contenders for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.These rankings will consider several factors, including public opinion polls, internal polls (when available), the ups and downs of the news cycle, conditions on the ground, and electoral history.


Here is PollTrack's first ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Jeb Bush

2. Scott Walker

3. Rand Paul

4. Marco Rubio

5. Mike Huckabee

6. Ted Cruz

7. Carly Fiorina

8. John Kasich

9. Ben Carson

10. Chris Christie

11. Rick Santorum

12. Rick Perry

 

Rubio Holds Tiny Lead For 2016 GOP Nomination

Posted May 03, 2013 at 9:01 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll for Fairleigh Dickinson University reports that there is no clear frontrunner for the 2016 GOP presidential primary. If the election were held today, Marco Rubio 18% would hold a slight lead, followed by Jeb Bush 16%, Chris Christie 14%, and Rick Santorum at 9%.

GOP Frontrunner: 2016?

Posted Nov 16, 2012 at 9:36 AM by Maurice Berger

GOP Frontrunner: 2016? Sounds a bit early to be thinking about this, given the very recent conclusion of Election 2012. But that doesn't stop Republican and Democratic insiders from thinking about the next presidential election. A survey by National Journal Political Insiders reports that Republican and Democratic party operatives and observers have differing views when it comes to the question of who might be the strongest Republican to run for president in 2016. GOP insiders: Marco Rubio 40%, Jeb Bush 27%, Paul Ryan 9%, Rick Santorum 9%, Chris Christie 8%. Democratic insiders: Jeb Bush 47%, Chris Christie 28%, Marco Rubio 13%. 

Romney Swamping His Challengers In New York

Posted Apr 10, 2012 at 9:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in New York reports that Mitt Romney is crushing his nearest rival, Rick Santorum, among GOP primary voters, 54% to 21%, with Newt Gingrich at 9% and Ron Paul at 8%.

Romney Nows Leads In Pennsylvania

Posted Apr 09, 2012 at 9:33 AM by Maurice Berger

Despite the make or break status of Pennsylvania for its former GOP Senator, Rick Santorum, a new Public Policy Polling survey in the state reports that Mitt Romney now now leads Rick Santorum, 42% to 37%, with Ron Paul at 9% and Newt Gingrich at 6%. Last month, Romney was behind in the state, 25% to 42%. Meanwhile Santorum's dropped 6% points from 43% to 37%.

 

Romney Now Ahead In PA

Posted Apr 06, 2012 at 9:06 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Public Policy Polling in Pennsylvania reports that Mitt Romney is now leading Rick Santorum, 42% to 37%, with Ron Paul at 9% and Newt Gingrich at 6%.

Romney Way Ahead In Maryland

Posted Apr 03, 2012 at 12:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A Public Policy Polling survey suggests that Mitt Romney is way head in today's Maryland GOP primary. Romney leads with 52%, followed by Rick Santorum at 27%, Newt Gingrich at 10% and Ron Paul at 9%.

Romney Ahead In Wisconsin Primary

Posted Apr 02, 2012 at 2:04 AM by Maurice Berger

Mitt Romney holds a significant lead over Rick Santorumin tomorrow's Wisconsin GOP primary according to a new Rasmussen survey. The poll reports that Romney leads Santorum, 44% to 34%, with Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul each at 7%.

Santorum's Support Drops In Pennsylvania

Posted Mar 29, 2012 at 1:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania reports that Rick 's once healthy lead in his home state over Mitt Romney, has diminished to a few percentage points, 30% to 28%.

Romney Way Up In Wisconsin

Posted Mar 27, 2012 at 2:40 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Rasmussen in Wisconsin finds Mitt Romney with a huge lead over Rick Santorum in the 3 April Republican presidential primary, 46% to 33%, followed by Ron Paul at 8% and Newt Gingrich at 7%.

Romney Holds Huge Lead In California Primary

Posted Mar 26, 2012 at 12:35 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times in California reports that Mitt Romney holds a whopping +19% lead over Rick Santorum in the GOP presidential race, at 42% to 23%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 12% and Ron Paul at 10%.

Santorum Headed For Louisiana Win

Posted Mar 23, 2012 at 1:25 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Rasmussen in Louisiana reports that Rick Santorum now hold a sizable lead over Mitt Romney in tomorrow's primary, 43% to 31%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 16% and Ron Paul at 5%.

 

Romney, Santorum Tie As Gingrich Voters' Second Choice

Posted Mar 20, 2012 at 1:46 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, "Republican voters who prefer Newt Gingrich for the party's 2012 presidential nomination are as likely to name Mitt Romney as their second choice as they are to name Rick Santorum, suggesting the race would not tilt in Santorum's favor if Gingrich dropped out." Here is Gallup's chart:

 

Gingrich Supporters' Second Choice for the Republican Nomination

Romney Ahead In Illinois Primary

Posted Mar 19, 2012 at 1:26 AM by Maurice Berger

Two Polls suggest a Romney victory in tomorrow's Illinois primary. We Ask America reports that Romney leads the race with 37%, followed by Rick Santorum at 31%, Newt Gingrich at 14% and Ron Paul at 8%. Rasmussen shows a wider advantage for Romney, who leads with 41%, followed by Santorum at 32%, Gingrich at 14% and Paul at 7%.

Santorum Ahead In Texas

Posted Mar 16, 2012 at 12:40 AM by Maurice Berger

In the state with the second biggest pool of GOP delegates--Texas--the momentum appears to be shifting away from Mitt Romney. A newly released  Wilson Perkins Allen survey reports that Rick Santorum now leads the 29 May Republican presidential contest with 35%, followed by Mitt Romney at 27%, Newt Gingrich at 20% and Ron Paul at 8%.

Conflicting Polls In Mississippi GOP Primary

Posted Mar 13, 2012 at 12:17 AM by Maurice Berger

Two new polls suggest conflicting outcomes in Mississippi's upcoming GOP primary: a poll by American Research Group shows Newt Gingrich leading the Republican presidential primary with 35%, followed by Mitt Romney at 31%, Rick Santorum at 20%, and Ron Paul at 7%. But Rasmussen repoorts a different result, with Romney leading at 35%, Santorum and Gingrich both at 27% and Paul way back at 6%.

Gingrich Ahead In Alabama

Posted Mar 11, 2012 at 11:55 PM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Alabama State University reports that Newt Gingrich has jumped into the lead in Alabama's GOP presidential race with 21%, followed by Mitt Romney at 20% and Rick Santorum at 17%. Another, earlier, poll by Rasmussen shows a much closer race, with Newt Gingrich at 30%, followed by Rick Santorum at 29%, Mitt Romney at 28% and Ron Paul at 7%.

President Obama Way Ahead With Hispanic Voters

Posted Mar 09, 2012 at 3:18 AM by Maurice Berger

A new national Fox News Latino poll of likely Latino voters reports that "73% approve of Obama’s performance in office, with over half those questioned looking favorably upon his handling of the healthcare debate and the economy, at 66% and 58% respectively. . . . the poll shows that the overwhelming choice among likely Latino voters is President Obama. In head-to-head match-ups none of the GOP candidates would garner more than 14 percent of the Latino vote come November." If these numbers can be sustained, PollTrack believes that it would be extremely difficult, if not impossible, for a GOP candidate to make up the difference. The poll is very good news for the President's reelection effort and a warning to Republicans.

Super Tuesday Updates

Posted Mar 05, 2012 at 1:29 AM by Maurice Berger

Here are polling updates from PollTrack on the upcoming GOP primary and causes race for tomorrow's Super Tuesday sweep.

Georgia: Landmark/Rosetta Stone shows a possible Newt Gingrich romp in the state, with the former house speaker way ahead of the GOP presidential field in his home state with 42%, followed by Mitt Romney at 22%, Rick Santorum at 16% and Ron Paul at 5%. Interestingly, YouGov show a much closer race, with Gingrich at 32%, followed by Romney at 27%, Santorum at 17% and Paul at 10%

Massachusetts: According to YouGov, it's a Romney romp in the former governor's home state. Romney leads with 56%, followed by Santorum at 16%, Gingrich at 5% and Paul at 5%.

Ohio: In the all important--and perhaps make or break race for Rick Santorum--in Ohio, a survey by NBC News/Marist reports that Santorum is just ahead of Romney among GOP primary voters, 34% to 32%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 15% and Ron Paul at 13%.

Oklahoma: American Research Group reports that Santorum leads the GOP presidential field in next week's primary with 37%, followed by Mitt Romney at 26%, Newt Gingrich at 22%, and Ron Paul at 9%.

Tennessee: Rasmussen survey finds Santorum just ahead of  Romney, 34% to 30%, with Newt Gingrich at 18% and Ron Paul at 8%. Similarly, American Research Group shows Santorum leading Romney, 35% to 31%, with Gingrich at 20% and Paul at 9%.

Tennessee GOP Primary: Santorum Way Ahead

Posted Mar 01, 2012 at 1:01 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Vanderbilt University in Tennessee reports that Rick Santorum lead the GOP presidential primary by a significant +16% margin over Mitt Romney, 33% to 17%, followed by Ron Paul at 13% and Newt Gingrich at 10%.

Georgia GOP Primary: Gingrich In The Lead

Posted Feb 29, 2012 at 1:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Landmark/Rosetta Stone poll in Georgia reports that Newt Gingrich holds a considerable, a double-digit lead over Rick Santorum, 38% to 25%, followed by Mitt Romney at 19% and Ron Paul at 4%.

Michigan GOP Primary: Romney Win?

Posted Feb 28, 2012 at 2:13 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's aggregate of polling in today's Michigan GOP presidential primary--four polls released on Monday are included--suggest a very close race, with Mitt Romney the very slight favorite over Rick Santorum. Our poll average in Michigan places Romney at 37.5% over Santorum, with 35.8% Both Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich are far behind, with well under 15% each. Polling in the field last night, however, shows overnight momentum by Santorum. With a scant 1.5% lead in our aggregate, the race appears VERY close with the potential for a Santorum upset.

 

         

Romney Leading In Tomorrow's GOP Primary In Arizona

Posted Feb 27, 2012 at 12:58 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released survey from American Research Group reports that Mitt Romney maintains a slim lead in the Arizona GOP primary at 39%, followed by Rick Santorum at 35%, Newt Gingrich at 11% and Ron Paul at 9%.

 

Romney Ahead In Michigan

Posted Feb 24, 2012 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger

Two new polls out this morning show that Mitt Romney has regained the lead over Rick Santorum in the Michigan GOP primary. A poll by Mitchell/Rosetta Stone irepoorts that has Romney with a small lead over Santorum,, 36% to 33%, with Ron Paul at 12% and Newt Gingrich at 9%. Another 11% are still undecided. And Rasmussen shows Romney leading Santorum by six points, 40% to 36%. According to the former survey, "Romney has made big inroads with conservatives over the past ten days: 16% lead among Tea Party voters has been erased and he is now tied with them; his 16% lead with Evangelical Christians has now been cut in half to 8%, and Santorums 31% lead with self-identified conservatives has now been cut to 13%."

GOP Interest In Election Ebbing

Posted Feb 23, 2012 at 1:29 AM by Maurice Berger

In what may be a serious problem for GOP prospects in November, a new survey by Associated Press-GfK reports that interest in the Republican presidential race is on the wane: Just 40% of Republicans say they have a great deal of interest in following the contest, compared with 48% in December. Just as ominous for the GOP, the poll finds that a mere 23% are "strongly satisfied" with the field and 40% said they are dissatisfied with the candidates running.

Arizona Primary: Romney Comfortably Ahead

Posted Feb 22, 2012 at 1:57 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by We Ask America in Arizona reports that Mitt Romney is leading in next week's GOP presidential primary with 37%, followed by Rick Santorum at 27%, Newt Gingrich at 15% and Ron Paul at 8%.

Today's Map: Iowa Now Leaning Republican

Posted Feb 21, 2012 at 1:20 AM by Maurice Berger

Although President Obama's standing in many of the swing states--including Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio--have show improvement in recent weeks, his standing in one state, Iowa, is actually in decline. A poll by the Des Moines Register in Iowa shows the president trailing three of the four Republican candidates in head-to-head match-ups: Ron Paul, who leads Obama by +7%, 49% to 42%. Rick Santorum leads 48% to 44%. Mitt Romney leads Obama 46% to 44%. The president defeats only Newt Gingrich, 51% to 37%. PollTrack moves Iowa on Today's Map from Too-Close-Too-Call to Leaning Republican.

Who Is Leading In Michigan GOP Primary?

Posted Feb 20, 2012 at 1:46 AM by Maurice Berger

Who is leading in the Michigan GOP primary. Recent polling remain somewhat inconclusive. A new survey by American Research Group reports that Rick Santorum leads the state's GOP presidential primary with 37%, followed by Mitt Romney at 32%, Ron Paul at 15% and Newt Gingrich at 10%. Another poll, by Inside Michigan Politics, reports a much closer race, with Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum tied with 33% each, followed by Ron Paul at 7% and Newt Gingrich at 5%. Stay tuned to PollTrack this week for the latest polling in what could be a make or break state for the two leading candidates.

Santorum Leads In Michigan

Posted Feb 17, 2012 at 2:30 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Detroit News in Michigan reports that Rick Santorum now leads Mitt Romney by +4%--34% to 30%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 12% and Ron Paul 9%.

More Good News For the President

Posted Feb 16, 2012 at 2:21 AM by Maurice Berger

As PollTrack noted yesterday, the tide appears to be turning in favor of the president's reelection. Two new polls, hypothetical matchups for the fall election, confirm this observation.  A survey by CNN/Opinion Research reports that President Obama bests all of his possible Republican rivals in GOP match ups: Obama leads Romney, 51% to 46%, tops Santorum, 52% to 45%, beats Paul, 52% to 45%, and crushes Gingrich, 55% to 42%.

Another poll, by Fox News, of key battleground states -- Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin -- reports the same: Obama leads Romney, 47% to 39%, tops Santorum, 48% to 38%, beats Paul 48% to 37% and crushes Gingrich, 52% to 32%.

Santorum Ahead In Ohio GOP Primary

Posted Feb 15, 2012 at 1:53 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in Ohio reports that Rick Santorum now leads Mitt Romney among likely GOP primary voters, 36% to 29%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 20% and Ron Paul at 9%.

Election 2012: Santorum New front Runner?

Posted Feb 14, 2012 at 2:11 AM by Maurice Berger

A slew of new polls out over the weekend suggest the the race for the GOP nomination for president has a new frontrunner: Rick Santorum. PollTrack also notes that these national polls are also backed up by local state polls also showing Santorum in the lead, such as in Michigan and Pennsylvania, states where Romney had been leading as little as three weeks ago. On the natiional front, a just released survey by New York Times/CBS News reports that Santorum is surging among Republican primary voters nationwide, "lifted by support among conservatives, evangelical Christians and Tea Party supporters." In the poll, Santorum leads with 30%, followed by Mitt Romney at 27%, Ron Paul at 12% and Newt Gingrich at 10%.

Santorum's Support Jumps In PA

Posted Feb 13, 2012 at 12:58 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV in Pennsylvania reports that  Rick Santorum's support has more than doubled in his home state, though its primary is more than two months away. Santorum now leads with 30% (six weeks ago he was at 14%), followed by Romney at 29% and Newt Gingrich at 13%.

Romney Ahead In Michigan GOP Primary

Posted Feb 10, 2012 at 12:50 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Mitchell Research in Michigan reports that Mitt Romney holds a comfortable lead in the GOP primary race with 31%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 16%, Rick Santorum at 15% and Ron Paul at 15%. Since the poll was conducted before Romney lost contests in three states earlier this week, PollTrack will be following this race closely in the next few days.

Romney Way Up In Colorado Caucuses

Posted Feb 07, 2012 at 1:33 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Public Policy Polling in Colorado finds Mitt Romney primed for another big win in today's caucuses. The poll reports that Romney is ahead of the pack with 40%, followed by Rick Santorum at 26%, Newt Gingrich at 18% and Ron Paul at 12%.

Minnesota Caucuses: Tight Race

Posted Feb 06, 2012 at 1:26 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released survey by Public Policy Polling in Minnesota reports a very close race heading into Tuesday's caucuses. Rick Santorum bests Mitt Romney, by a mere +2%, 29% to 27%, with Newt Gingrich at 22% and Ron Paul at 19%.

Romney Headed For Big Nevada Victory

Posted Feb 03, 2012 at 1:30 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released survey by Public Policy Polling in Nevada reports that Mitt Romney is headed for a big victory in tomorrow's caucuses. Romney leads Newt Gingrich, 50% to 25%, with Ron Paul at 15% and Rick Santorum at 8%. PPP observes that "the bad news for Gingrich isn't just that's headed for a distant second place finish. Nevada Republicans actively dislike him, with only 41% holding a favorable opinion of him to 49% with a negative one. That's an indication that GOP voters might be starting to sour on him again, sending his numbers back to pre-South Carolina levels."Nevertheless, Nevada does not have a direct primary, so polling may not accurately reflect the make up of tomorrow's participants. Still, PollTrack these numbers--consistent with other recent polls in the state--suggest a Romney win.

GOP Nomination: The Contests In February

Posted Feb 01, 2012 at 1:17 AM by Maurice Berger

Mitt Romney's substantial victory in yesterday's Florida primary may give him a significant advantage in the GOP presidential nomination contest, but many more primaries and caucuses lie ahead for the Republican field. Here's a breakdown for February:

 

  • Nevada caucuses - February 4
  • Maine caucuses - February 4-11
  • Minnesota caucuses - February 7
  • Missouri primary - February 7
  • Colorado caucuses - February 7
  • Arizona primary - February 28
  • Michigan primary - February 29

Romney More Electable Against President Obama?

Posted Jan 31, 2012 at 1:36 AM by Maurice Berger

A new USAToday/Gallup survey of the dozen states likely to determine the outcome of November's election--Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin--concludes that Mitt Romney is the "GOP contender with the best chance of denying Obama a second term." The poll reports that "in a head-to-head race, Romney leads Obama by a statistically insignificant percentage point, 48%-47% . . . But Obama leads Gingrich, 54%-40%. The president's standing against him has risen nine points since early December; Gingrich has fallen by eight. Gingrich fares less well than Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who trails Obama by seven points, 50%-43%, and former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, who also trails by seven points, 51%-44%."

Florida GOP Primary: Likely Romney Win

Posted Jan 30, 2012 at 1:48 AM by Maurice Berger

PollTrack's analysis of half-dozen polls released over the past few days in the GOP presidential primary in Florida suggest a likely win for Mitt Romney. Romney's aggregate lead over his closes competitor, Newt Gingrich, as of Sunday evening is +11.3%--a considerable advantage, with Romney leading in all six polls (with margins ranging from +8% to +16%.

CNN-TIME: Romney With Slight Lead In Florida

Posted Jan 26, 2012 at 2:24 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by CNN-Time in Florida reports a slight lead for Mitt Romney, who now comes in at 36%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 34%, Rick Santorum at 11% and Ron Paul at 9%. According to the poll, "Romney leads Gingrich among female and white voters, voters over 50, and those with a college degree... Gingrich holds leads among men, Tea Party voters, self-identified conservatives -- among whom he boasts a 10-point advantage -- and born-again Christians. His fans also appear to be more committed than Romney's."

Gingrich Ahead In Florida

Posted Jan 25, 2012 at 12:36 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released survey by Public Policy Polling survey in Florida reports that Newt Gingrich now leads Mitt Romney by five points in the GOP presidential race, 38% to 33%, followed by Rick Santorum at 13% and Ron Paul at 10%. Significantly, Gingrich has gained 12 points since a PPP poll conducted in Florida a week ago. Romney has dropped 8 points.

Another Poll Shows Gingrich With Florida Lead

Posted Jan 24, 2012 at 1:04 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll out from Rasmussen in Florida shows Newt Gingrich now ahead in the GOP presidential race with 41%, followed by Mitt Romney at 32%, Rick Santorum at 11% and Ron Paul at 8%.

Insider Advantage Survey: Gingrich Ahead In Florida

Posted Jan 23, 2012 at 1:03 AM by Maurice Berger

In another sign that the Romney campaign is ion trouble, a new survey by Insider Advantage reports that Newt Gingrich is ahead in the Florida GOP presidential primary. After weeks of leading significantly in the polls in the state, Romney now trails Gingrichby eight points in Florida, according to the poll conducted the day after the former House speaker won the South Carolina primary According Insider Advantage poll, Gingrich is at 34%, Romney 26%, Ron Paul 13% and former Rick Santorum is last at 11%.

South Carolina: Gingrich In The Lead

Posted Jan 20, 2012 at 1:57 AM by Maurice Berger

After a month with a clear advantage in South Carolina, four new polls suggest that Mitt Romney may now be the underdog in the state's upcoming GOP presidential primary.

A survey by American Research Group reports that Newt Gingrich now leads, with 33% closely followed by Mitt Romney 32%, Ron Paul 19%, Rick Santorum 9%, Rick Perry 4%.

InsiderAdvantage shows Gingrich leading with 32%, followed by Romney at 29%, Paul at 15%, Santorum at 11%, and Rick Perry far behind at 3%.

We Ask America reports that Gingrich leads the GOP field with 32%, followed by Mitt Romney at 28%, Ron Paul at 13%, Rick Santorum at 9%, Rick Perry at 3% and Jon Huntsman at 3%.

And a survey by Public Policy Polling survey show Gingrich with 35%, Romney with 29%, and Paul and Santorum each tied for third at 15%.

PollTrack notes that Perry's departure from the race could also help Gingrich, removing as it does one less conservative alternative to Romney.

Romney Ahead In Florida By Wide Margin

Posted Jan 18, 2012 at 2:00 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Sunshine State News in Florida reports that Mitt Romney leads by a very wide margin in the upcoming primary for the GOP presidential nomination. According to the poll, Romney leads with 46%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 20%, Rick Santorum at 12% and Ron Paul at 9%. Similarly,. A new Public Policy Polling survey in the state shows Romney in the lead at 41%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 26%, Rick Santorum at 11%, Ron Paul at 10%, Rick Perry at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 1% rounding out the field.

Three Polls Show Romney With Lead In SC Primary

Posted Jan 17, 2012 at 1:57 AM by Maurice Berger

Three new polls show Mitt Romney with a significant lead in next Saturday's South Carolina GOP presidential primary:

InsiderAdvantage: Romney is at 32%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 21%, Ron Paul at 14%, Rick Santorum at 13%, Jon Huntsman at 6% and Rick Perry at 5%.

Reuters/Ipsos Romney leads with 37%, followed by Ron Paul at Rick Santorum at 16% and Newt Gingrich dropping back to 16%.

Frontier Strategy: Romney is at with 32%, followed by Gingrich at 23%, Santorum at 14%, Paul at 10%, Perry at 6% and Huntsman at 4%.

Romney Pulls Away Nationally

Posted Jan 16, 2012 at 2:03 AM by Maurice Berger

Two new polls show Mitt Romney pull way from the pack in the race for the GOP presidential nomination. A survey from Fox News reports that Romney leads with 40%, followed by Rick Santorum at 15%, Newt Gingrich at 14%, Ron Paul at 13%, Rick Perry at 6% and Jon Huntsman at 5%. Gallup daily tracking similarly reports that Romney is at 37%, Santorum at 14%, Gingrich at 13%, Paul at 12%, Perry at 5% and Hunstman at 3%.

 

 

Election 2012: Romney With Huge Lead In Florida

Posted Jan 13, 2012 at 1:36 AM by Maurice Berger

Even if the South Carolina proves to be close--or even if current frontrunner Mitt Romney loses--a new Rasmussen survey in Florida suggests that Florida may contribute to his overall standing as GOP nomination leader. According to the poll, Romney leads with 41%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 19%, Rick Santorum at 15%, Ron Paul at 9% and Jon Hunstman at 5%.

Election 2012: Romney Holds Slight Lead In SC

Posted Jan 12, 2012 at 2:03 AM by Maurice Berger

As of Tuesday--and therefore before the results of the New Hampshire primary--Mitt Romney continues to hold a very modest lead in South Carolina, according to two polls: A survey by We Ask America reports that Mitt Romney leads the GOP presidential field with 26%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 21%, Rick Santorum at 13%, Ron Paul at 8%, Rick Perry at 5% and John Hunstman at 4%. Another 22% are still undecided. A new Public Policy Polling survey shows Romney at 27%, Gingrich at 23%, Santorum at 18%, Ron Paul at 8%, Rick Perry at 7% and Jon Huntsman at 4%.

Election 2012: Romney Now Ahead In Florida

Posted Jan 11, 2012 at 1:52 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by Quinnipiac in Florida reports that Mitt Romney is now leading the GOP presidential race with 36%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 24%, Rick Santorum at 16%, Ron Paul at 10%, Rick Perry at 5% and Jon Huntsman at 2%. With more than half of all voters saying they could still change their mind, the race may still be fluid.

Election 2012: Romney Ahead In South Carolina

Posted Jan 10, 2012 at 1:46 AM by Maurice Berger

Polling in recent days has shown surprising strength for Mitt Romney in the relative conservative state of South Carolina. A new Public Policy Polling survey in the state reports that Mitt Romney holds a modest lead, with 30%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 23%, Rick Santorum at 19%, Ron Paul at 9%, Rick Perry at 5%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 1%.

Romney Presumptive Leader In New Hapshire, But By How Much?

Posted Jan 09, 2012 at 1:44 AM by Maurice Berger

With a slew of new polls showing Romney ahead in New Hampshire, PollTrack wonders by how much and who will be his closest challenger. A new poll from Public Policy Polling reports that Mitt Romney has a substantial lead in the Republican presidential race with 35%, followed by Ron Paul at 18%, Jon Huntsman at 16%, Newt Gingrich at 12%, Rick Santorum at 11%, Buddy Roemer at 3% and Rick Perry at 1%. A new survey by WMUR/UNH reports an even great for Romney, with 41%, followed by Paul at 17%, Huntsman at 11%, Santorum at 11%, Gingrich at 8%, Rick Perry at 1% and Buddy Roemer at 1%. But a Suffolk University tracking poll, released over the weekend, shows Mitt Romney's support dipping for the fourth day in a row. By Sunday, for example, Romney dropped another 4 points overnight to 35%, followed by Ron Paul at 20%, Jon Hunstman at 11%, Newt Gingrich at 9%, Rick Santorum at 8% and Rick Perry at 1%. Another 15% remain undecided.

With some polls showing Huntsman gaining momentum (but Santorum loosing steam), the race could end with a closer result than a simple Romney walk. New Hampshire is known for its surprises: Hillary Clinton won the primary in 2008, although Barack Obama came into election day with a lead in virtually every poll. While PollTrack still believes Romney--thus moving him considerably closer to the nomination--will win the New Hampshire Primary, the depth and intensity of his win remains uncertain.

Election 2012: Another Poll Shows Big Lead For Romney In NH

Posted Jan 06, 2012 at 2:04 AM by Maurice Berger

Another poll in New Hampshire, this one by Suffolk University, reports that Mitt Romney holds a huge lead, now at 41%, in the GOP presidential primary, followed by Ron Paul at 18%, Rick Santorum at 8%, Newt Gingrich at 7%, Jon Huntsman at 7% and Rick Perry at 1%.

Has Iowa Helped Santorum In New Hampshire?

Posted Jan 05, 2012 at 2:01 AM by Maurice Berger

Has Rick Santorum's strong second place showing in Iowa helped him in the upcoming New Hampshire primary? And new poll by CNN  suggests the answer may be only marginally, reporting that the Iowa caucus results appear to have changed few minds in New Hampshire, at least among likely GOP primary voters who watched the caucus results on Tuesday evening. The poll shows Mitt Romney with a staggering 47% lead, with Ron Paul at 17% and Jon Huntsman at 13%. As for Rick Santorum: the poll reports a modest, but by no means consequential, bump for him among Iowa caucus-watchers: he's now at 10%, from 5% a month earlier.