Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

9 June Ranking of 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Posted Jun 08, 2015 at 4:13 PM by Maurice Berger

Here is PollTrack's 9 June 2015 ranking of announced and presumptive candidates, from most to least likely to prevail:

1. Scott Walker

2. Jeb Bush

3. Marco Rubio

4. Rand Paul

5. Mike Huckabee

6. John Kasich

7. George Pataki

8. Ted Cruz

9. Rick Santorum

10. Lindsey Graham

11. Carly Fiorina

12. Ben Carson

13. Chris Christie

14. Donald Trump

14. Rick Perry

Voters Trust Obama More Than Republicans In Avoiding Fiscal Cliff

Posted Dec 11, 2012 at 10:04 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Quinnipiac, voters trust Obama and Democrats more than Republicans, by a 53% to 36% margin, to avoid the "fiscal cliff." Pollster Peter Brown writes: "Voters see Republicans as more likely to be obstructionist, and have less confidence in their ability to come up with the right solution to the nation's financial woes."

Election 2012: Tea Party Support Drops Significantly

Posted Dec 07, 2011 at 1:19 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by Pew Research reports that the Tea Party, since the 2010 midterm elections, "has not only lost support nationwide, but also in the congressional districts represented by members of the House Tea Party Caucus." The survey concludes: "More Americans say they disagree (27%) than agree (20%) with the Tea Party movement. A year ago, in the wake of the sweeping GOP gains in the midterm elections, the balance of opinion was just the opposite: 27% agreed and 22% disagreed with the Tea Party." Although this decline may have an effect on the general election next fall, PollTrack believes that Tea Party influence will still effect the GOP primaries, where a smaller number of voters overall intensify the power of the waning, but still active party.

Most Americans Believe In Global Warning

Posted Sep 16, 2011 at 1:14 AM by Maurice Berger

While a number of Republican candidates for president reject the idea of global warming, most Americans believe in it. A survey Yale University survey reports that 53% of Republicans, 71% of independents and 78% of Democrats said they believe global warming is real. Interestingly, on 34% of who self-identify as members of the Tea Party believe in global warming; 53% do not.

Americans Disapprove of Tea Party

Posted Aug 09, 2011 at 1:00 AM by Maurice Berger

In the wake of last week's debt crisis, a New York Times/CBS News poll reports that the Tea Party is now viewed unfavorably by 40% of the public; just 20% hold a favorable opinion.

Americans Reject GOP Approach To Debt Crisis

Posted Jul 21, 2011 at 2:15 AM by Maurice Berger

A CBS News poll reports that Americans "are unimpressed with their political leaders' handling of the debt ceiling crisis." But their is a big divide between public perceptions of the GOP vs the President's handling of the crisis. Just 21% approve of Republican congressional resistance to raising taxes; a whopping 71% disapprove. 43%, however, approve of President Obama's handling of the negotiations. Still, 48% said they disapproved. So overall, the public appears to have little patience for the way these negotiations are being handled.

Tea Party Support Lags

Posted Apr 01, 2011 at 1:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A CNN/Opinion Research survey reports a considerable drop in support for the Tea Party, now at 32%, the lowest level of approval to date. Just as troubling for the party, 47% have  an unfavorable view of the movement, the higher disapproval recorded to date.

Tea Party Remains on the Fringe

Posted Sep 15, 2010 at 1:25 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Quinnipiac poll reports that the Tea Party remains popular with only a small sector of Americans; now, only 12% of voters consider themselves part of the Tea Party movement. Earlier surveys have shown support as high as 14%, still minor support. 30% of voters hold a favorable opinion of the Tea Party; 31%, unfavorable.

Palin Divides American

Posted Apr 01, 2010 at 1:56 AM by Maurice Berger

Sarah Palin remains a polarizing figure in American politics, according to a new Washington Post poll. She's remains popular with those respondents who view the Tea Party movement favorably--with a 60% favorable rating--as well as conservative Republicans, garnering a whopping 71% positive rating. At the other end of the spectrum, 85% of liberal DEmocrats have an unfavorable view of the former Alaska Governor and 2008 Vice-Presidential candidate. Overall, 55% of Americans say they view Palin unfavorably.

New Poll Shows Surprising Strength For Tea Party Movement

Posted Feb 19, 2010 at 4:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A new CNN/Opinion Research poll reports suprising strength for the Tea Party movement: "The poll indicates that about 24 percent of the public generally favors the Tea Party movement but has not taken any actions such as donating money or attending a rally. Adding in the 11 percent who say they are active, a total of 35 percent could be described as Tea Party supporters. That larger group is also predominantly male, higher-income, and conservative. Some 45 percent of all Americans say they don't know enough about the Tea Party to have a view of the movement; one in five say they oppose the Tea Party. According to the survey, most Tea Party activists describe themselves as Independents."