Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

TX Governor: Is It Close Or A GOP Romp?

Posted Apr 22, 2014 at 9:04 AM by Maurice Berger

While a number of polls report a considerably closer race, a new survey byTexas Tech  shows Republican Greg Abbott with a huge lead over potential DDemocratic challenger Wendy Davis in the race for governor, 54% to 25%



Republican Ahead In TX Gubernatorial Race

Posted Apr 17, 2014 at 12:47 PM by Maurice Berger

A new survey Public Policy Polling in Texas reports that Republican Greg Abbott leads Democrat Wendy Davis in the race for governor by double-digits, 51% to 37%.

The Most and Least Trusted State Governments?

Posted Apr 07, 2014 at 8:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Gallup poll reports that Illinois tops the list for state residents with the lowest trust in their state government:  “llinois’ position at the bottom of the list … is not surprising, given that its last two governors, Rod Blagojevich and George Ryan, were sentenced to jail for crimes committed while in office.” Here is Gallup's chart for the most and least trusted states. 

esyzd6pbvkmuwwygrtegha Illinois Tops List for Least Trustworthy State Governmentmmpfjzl5bkw nbouukk gw Illinois Tops List for Least Trustworthy State Government.

Texas Governor: Republican With Significant Lead

Posted Mar 24, 2014 at 11:26 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Rasmussen Reports in Texas reports that presumptive GOP nominee Greg Abbott leads Democrat Wendy Davis in the race for governor, 53% to 41%.

Who Feels Safest In America?

Posted Apr 11, 2013 at 8:58 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a survey by Gallup, "80% of those living in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area say they feel safe walking alone at night in the area where they live, the highest percentage among the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan areas. Minneapolis is followed closely by Denver, Raleigh, Boston, Salt Lake City, and Austin." Here is Gallup's chart:

Safest Metro Areas Among 50 Largest

Texas Secession Support Rises

Posted Feb 07, 2013 at 9:56 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Public Policy Polling reports that 20% of Texans -- including 35% of Republicans -- would support their state seceding from the Union. The number is up from 14% in September 2011, and is in the wake of President Obama's re-election in November.

GOP Faces Demographic Problem In The South

Posted Nov 27, 2012 at 8:44 AM by Maurice Berger

According to the Washington Post, the GOP is facing demographic challenges not just with Hispanic voters, but also the decline of white and the ascendency of black voters in the South: "The South [tells] a newer and more surprising story: The nation’s first black president finished more strongly in the region than any other Democratic nominee in three decades, underscoring a fresh challenge for Republicans who rely on Southern whites as their base of national support . . .

. . . Obama won Virginia and Florida and narrowly missed victory in North Carolina. But he also polled as well in Georgia as any Democrat since Jimmy Carter, grabbed 44 percent of the vote in deep-red South Carolina and just under that in Mississippi — despite doing no substantive campaigning in any of those states . . .

. . . Much of the post-election analysis has focused on the demographic crisis facing Republicans among Hispanic voters, particularly in Texas. But the results across other parts of the South, where Latinos remain a single-digit minority, point to separate trends among blacks and whites that may also have big implications for the GOP’s future."


Santorum Ahead In Texas

Posted Mar 16, 2012 at 12:40 AM by Maurice Berger

In the state with the second biggest pool of GOP delegates--Texas--the momentum appears to be shifting away from Mitt Romney. A newly released  Wilson Perkins Allen survey reports that Rick Santorum now leads the 29 May Republican presidential contest with 35%, followed by Mitt Romney at 27%, Newt Gingrich at 20% and Ron Paul at 8%.

Races To Watch In 2011

Posted Jan 14, 2011 at 12:00 AM by Maurice Berger

Yes, 2011 is defintely a quiet year for electoral activity. But an important one. The 2012 campaigns--from president and congress--will actually start in 2011. So much to watch, especially as we near the first GOP presidential primaries in early-2012. And we'll also be following a few key, "off-year" elections, including:

Chicago mayoral race

Iowa Republican presidential straw poll (The Republican Party of Iowa's 2011 Iowa Straw Poll, set for Aug. 14 at the Iowa State Center in Ames)

Kentucky governor's race

Mississippi governor's race

Dallas mayoral race

Phoenix mayoral race

Louisiana governor's race



GOP Advantage: States Slated To Gain or Loose US House Seats

Posted Dec 21, 2010 at 7:19 AM by Maurice Berger

Based on the 2010 census, which states are now slated to gain or loose U.S. House seats (and well as electoral votes, one per house seat lost). Next week, the Census Bureau will release its official state population totals and the allotment of House seats for the next decade. The Waal Street Journal reports that  "Republicans tightened their grip on the U.S. House with the release of new population figures that show GOP-leaning states in the South and Southwest will add congressional seats in the next election. . . . The big winner in 2012 and beyond is Texas, which will add four seats. Ohio and New York will each lose two seats. Elsewhere in the South, Florida will add two seats, and Georgia will add one . . .
The population count "confirmed long-held assumptions that the balance of power in the country is tilting away from Democratic strongholds in the Northeast and Midwest to warmer states in the Sunbelt, where Republicans hold sway."

Texas Republicans Support Secession

Posted Apr 28, 2009 at 1:51 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a DailyKos/Research 2000 poll, 48% of Texas Republicans think their state should be an independent nation while 48% think it should remain part of the United States.
Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) floated the notion of secession at a recent tax protest. Among all Texans, 61% want their state to remain part of the Union while 35% prefer an independent nation.

Do Texans Support Leaving The Union?

Posted Apr 20, 2009 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger

Last Wednesday, Texas Republican Governor Rick Perry, in response to a reporter’s question about secession at a protest "tea party," said Wednesday, "We've got a great union. There's absolutely no reason to dissolve it. But if Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people, you know, who knows what might come out of that? But Texas is a very unique place, and we're a pretty independent lot to boot." Do the voters of Texas support the idea of leaving the union? The answer in short is no, though a surprisingly large number believe the state has at least the right to succession: "31% of Texas voters say that their state has the right to secede from the United States and form an independent country . . . [but if] the matter was put to a vote, it wouldn’t even be close. 75% of Lone Star State voters would opt to remain in the United States. Only 18% would vote to secede, and 7% are not sure what they'd choose."

Obama Riding High In Red States

Posted Jan 27, 2009 at 1:12 AM by Maurice Berger

The ideological divide evident in Election 2008 between the so-called blue and red states may be dissipating. According to a set of polls released by Rasmussen Reports, Tennessee and Texas--two states that were safely in John McCain’s column on Election Day--now report surprisingly high approval ratings for President Obama: "In a snapshot look at attitudes in McCain country, Rasmussen Reports finds that concerns about the current economic situation appear to override traditional political considerations. In Texas, for example, 62% of voters approve of Barack Obama’s performance to date, including 41% who Strongly Approve. 35% disapprove, with 19% who Strongly Disapprove.Only 47% of Texas voters had a favorable opinion of Obama in the last poll before Election Day . . . 60% of Tennessee voters approve of Obama’s job performance, including 39% who Strongly Approve. Thirty-five percent (35%) disapprove, 21% of whom Strongly Disapprove." Obama's approval rating in the state in a pre-Election Day poll was 45%. 

23% Of Texans Believe Barack Obama Is A Muslim

Posted Nov 02, 2008 at 12:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A University of Texas poll released earlier this week reports that 23% of Texans are convinced that Barack Obama is a Muslim. These numbers are unusual because most national polls show that just 5% to 10% of American voters still believe Obama is a Muslim-- less than half the number of Texans who buy into the debunked theory. The poll also shows McCain with a comfortable +10% lead in the state.