Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Good News For Democrats in NC Senate Race

Posted Sep 15, 2014 at 7:58 AM by Maurice Berger

In what may be good news for Democrats hoping to hold onto the Senate, a new American Insights poll in North Carolina finds incumbent Democratic US Sen. Kay Hagan with a +9% point lead over Republican challenger Thom Tillis in the U.S. Senate race, 43% to 34%. And a new survey by Elon University poll reports a lead of 4% for Hagan, 45% to 41%

Washington DC Mayoralty: Gray Ahead, But Race Volatile

Posted Mar 03, 2014 at 8:45 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by NBC-Marist reports that Democratic Washington, D.C. Mayor Vincent Gray leads the pack leading in the race for this spring's mayoral Democratic primary, with 28% of likely voters, followed by Muriel Bowser at 20%, Jack Evans at 13% and Tommy Wells at 12%. The poll notes that while "a majority of D.C. residents think the city is headed in the right direction . . . the race remains volatile and that Gray, the incumbent, does not have an easy path to victory." 

 

NY Mayoralty: de Blasio With Massive Lead

Posted Nov 04, 2013 at 9:53 PM by Maurice Berger

Democratic Candidate Bill de Blasio holds a massive lead over Republican Joe Lhota heading into tomorrow's New York City mayoral election, 66% to 24%.

NY Mayoralty: De Blassio With Huge Lead

Posted Oct 29, 2013 at 11:12 PM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by New York Times/Siena reports that Democrat Bill de Blasio holds a huge +45% lead among likely voters over Republican Joseph Lhota in the race for New York City mayor, 68% to 23%.

NYC Mayoralty: de Blasio With Huge Lead

Posted Oct 22, 2013 at 8:21 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new poll by Quinnipiac in New York City, Democrat Bill de Blasio is headed for a huge win in the race for mayor over Republican Joseph Lhota. De Blasio leads by a staggering +44%, 68% to 24%.

New York Mayoralty: De Blasio Landslide?

Posted Oct 14, 2013 at 10:41 AM by Maurice Berger

It's starting to look like a possible landslide in the race for mayor in New York. A poll by the Wall Street Journal/NBC New York reports that Democrat Bill de Blasio holds a commanding lead over Republican Joe Lhota, 67% to 23%.

NY Mayoral Race: de Blasio With Commanding Lead

Posted Sep 20, 2013 at 8:54 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in New York City reports that there is a "yawning racial gaps on many issues" as Democrat Bill de Blasio leads Republican Joe Lhota in the race for mayor in every measure except taxes. The Democrat holds a commanding lead among likely voters, 66% to 25%.

PollTrack's Analysis of Today's Primary Races In New York

Posted Sep 10, 2013 at 9:26 AM by Maurice Berger

While polling in primary races in New York City can be problematic-- because likely voter models are difficult to gauge--PollTrack has seen a pattern over the past few weeks that suggests possible outcomes in three races. On the Democratic side: in the race for Public Advocate, PollTrack sees an advantage for NY State Senator, Daniel L. Squadron. After weeks of leading in the polls, former New York Governor David Spitzer no longer holds an advantage in the race for Comptroller. We think it is likely that Manhattan Borough President Scott M. Stringer will prevail in that race. In the primary for Mayor, one candidate holds a clear lead and will likely come out on top tonight: Bill de Blassio. But it is unclear from our poll averaging and demographic analysis if he will reach the 40% cut-off to avoid a run off. If he does not, his likely opponent will either be Christine Quinn or current NYC Comptroller William C. Thompson. We give a slight advantage to Quinn in the race for second place.

In the GOP primary for Mayor, Polltrack see the clear leader as former Metropolitan Transportation Authority head, Joseph L. Lhota.

Stringer Pulls Ahead In NY Comptroller Primary

Posted Sep 09, 2013 at 5:50 PM by Maurice Berger

A just released Quinnipiac poll in New York City reports that Scott Stringer has pulled ahead in the heretofore too-close-to-call Democratic primary for comptroller. Stringer now leads former New York governor Eliot Spitzer, 50% to 43%.

NY Mayoralty: de Blassio Close to Avoiding Run-Off

Posted Sep 09, 2013 at 10:07 AM by Maurice Berger

Three new polls suggest that Bill de Blassio is close to avoiding a run-off in the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor. A Public Policy Polling survey  reports that de Blasio is at 38%, followed by William Thompson at 19%, Christine Quinn at 13%, Anthony Weiner at 9%, and John Liu at 5%. A new Quinniapiac poll finds De Blasio in the lead with 39%, followed by Thompson at 25%, Quinn at 18%, Weiner at 6%, and John Liu at 4%.  A Wall Street Journal/NBC/Marist Poll has de Blasio at 36% followed by Christine Quinn at 20%, Bill Thompson at 20% and Anthony Weiner at 7%.  

NYC Comptroller: Deadlocked

Posted Sep 05, 2013 at 9:33 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in New York City reports that the race for Comptroller is deadlocked, with Scott Stringer edging ahead of Eliot Spitzer among likley voters, 47% to 45%.

NYC Mayoralty: de Blasio Pulls Ahead

Posted Sep 03, 2013 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

Two polls released last week report that Bill de Balasio has pulled ahead in the democratic primary contest for New York City Mayior. The New York Times-Siena College Poll finds de Blasio leading 32%, followed by Bill Thompson at 18%, Christine Quinn at 17%, Anthony Weiner at 11% and John Liu at 3%. A poll by amNewYork-News 12  shows de Blasio at 29%, Thompson at 24%, Quinn at 17%, Weiner at 10% and Liu at 5%.

New Yorkers Down On Bloomberg

Posted Aug 21, 2013 at 2:06 PM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by The New York Times reports that 52% of New Yorkers describe Mayor Michael Bloomberg's 12 years in office as "fair or poor," while 46% call it "excellent or good."

Quinn Still Ahead, But By Slim Margin

Posted Aug 20, 2013 at 8:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic primary race for mayor with 24%, followed by Bill de Blasio at 21%, Bill Thompson at 16% and Anthony Weiner at 12%.

New Yorkers Find Weiner and Spitzer Candidacies "Embarrassing"

Posted Aug 19, 2013 at 8:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Siena reports that although 68% of New Yorkers think the national attention on the candidacies of Anthony Weiner and Eliot Spitzer, for New York City mayor and comptroller, respectively, are "embarrassing." As pollster Steven Greenberg observes: "Spitzer is not viewed as unfavorably as he was right after he resigned as Governor, however, he's still viewed unfavorably by 59% of voters -- including a majority of Democrats and New York City voters. While Spitzer's unfavorable rating is down from the 79% who viewed him unfavorably in the aftermath of his resignation, Weiner has set a new all-time Siena College Poll record with 80% of voters viewing him unfavorably - including three-quarters of Democrats and New York City voters - compared to only 11% who have a favorable view of America's most infamous tweeter."

NYC Mayoral Primary: de Blasio Now Ahead

Posted Aug 14, 2013 at 9:13 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in New York City reports that Bill de Blasio now leads the Democratic race for mayor with 30%, followed by Christine Quinn at 24%, Bill Thompson at 22%, Anthony Weiner at 10% and John Liu at 6%.

New York Mayroralty: Quinn Ahead In Democratic Primary

Posted Aug 12, 2013 at 10:17 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by the New York Times/Siena poll in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic primary race for mayor with 25%, followed by William Thompson at 16%, Bill de Blasio at 14% and Anthony Weiner at 10%.

Quinn Retakes Lead In New York Mayor's Race

Posted Jul 31, 2013 at 12:48 PM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Quinnipiac reports that Anthony Weiner has dropped to to fourth place among likely Democratic primary voters in the race for New York City mayor. Christine Quinn has retaken the lead with 27%, followed by Bill de Blasio at 21%, Bill Thompson at 20%, Weiner 16% and John Liu at 6%. It appears that de Blasio has gained the most from Weiner's sharp decline.

NY Mayoralty: Quinn Ahead In Democratic Primary

Posted Jul 22, 2013 at 9:21 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the New York Times/Siena in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic mayoral field with 27% , followed by Anthony Weiner at 18%, Bill de Blasio at 11%, William Thompson at 11% and John Liu at 7%. 

NY Mayoralty: All Tied Up In Democratic Primary

Posted Jul 01, 2013 at 9:47 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac University in New York City reports that Christine Quinn barely leads the Democratic mayoral primary race with 19%, followed by Anthony Weiner at 17% and William Thompson at 16%.

NY Mayoralty: Weiner Leads Democratic Pack

Posted Jun 27, 2013 at 8:59 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by NBC News/Marist Poll reports thar former Rep. Anthony Weiner is now ahead of former frontrunner Christine Quinn in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary by +5%--25% to 20%.

New York Mayor's Race: Quinn Leads, But Weiner A Strong Second

Posted May 29, 2013 at 9:10 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Marist  in New York City reports that  Christine Quinn leads the Democratic mayoral race with 24%, followed by Anthony Weiner at 19%, Bill de Blasio at 12%, Bill Thomson at 11% and John Liu at 8%.

Tight Mayoral Race In LA

Posted May 13, 2013 at 2:39 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by the Pat Brown Institute of Public Affairs reports that Wendy Greuel and Eric Garcetti are in a virtual dead heat in the Los Angeles mayoral race, where Greuel leads Garcetti by a scant +2%--46% to 45%--among likely voters; 9% remain undecided. The elections is on 21 May 21.

NY Race For Mayor: Quinn Leads, Weiner Second

Posted Apr 23, 2013 at 9:17 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac in New York City reports that Christine Quinn leads the Democratic primary pack at 28%; Anthony Weiner comes in at 15%, Bill de Blasio at 11% and Bill Thompson at 10%. It is clear that Wiener's entry into the race hurts Quinn far more than the other candidates, diminishing her once commanding lead.

A Leader In The LA Mayor's Race

Posted Apr 22, 2013 at 10:29 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by USC Price/Los Angeles Times reports that Eric Garcetti now leads by +10% in the Los Angeles mayor's race over rival Wendy Greuel--50% to 40%. According to an analysis of the survey, Greuel's "dogged fight to win the backing of public employee unions appears to be undercutting her on her home turf in the San Fernando Valley... The survey also found no sign of success for Greuel's effort to gain an edge among women by highlighting her potential to make history as the city's first female mayor. Women preferred Garcetti, 50% to 41%."