Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Democratic Party Favorability Drops To New Low

Posted Apr 16, 2010 at 1:11 AM by Maurice Berger

According to  new Gallup Poll, the Democratic party's favorable rating has dropped to 41%, the lowest point in the 18-year history of this measure. The Republican party's favorable rating is now at 42%. As recently as last summer, the Democratic advantage over  Republicans was a significant +11%. Now, that advantage has completely evaporated. According to Gallup, "Americans' current 41% favorable rating of the Democratic Party is five points lower than the party's previous low, recorded twice in 2005."

Americans Less Certain About Obama's Handling Of The Economy

Posted Jun 24, 2009 at 1:34 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll out from ABC News/Washington Post suggests that while President Obama continues to hold a relatively high approval rating, voters are less approving of his handling of the economy, a possible future red flag: "President Obama remains on his honeymoon -- but with a hint of clouds over the beach. They signal economic impatience. A still-impressive 65% of Americans in this new ABC News/Washington Post poll approve of Obama's job performance. But there's been a retrenchment in the expectation that his stimulus plan will improve the economy -- and, consequently, a halt in what had been steadily improving views of the nation's direction. A narrow majority, 52%, now thinks Obama's stimulus program has helped or will help the nation's economy -- down from 59% in late April. While he's vulnerable elsewhere as well, it's the economy that's his make-or-break issue -- and his advantage over the Republicans in trust to handle it, while still broad, has narrowed from a record 37 points, 61%-24%, in April, to 24 points, 55%-31%, today"

Both Obama and McCain Are Well Regarded By Voters

Posted Oct 27, 2008 at 1:32 AM by Maurice Berger

Despite voters preference for Obama in many surveys, Gallup reports (and a number of other polls confirm) that the two candidates for president are generally well liked by the electorate. Gallup notes that "recent favorable ratings of 61% among likely voters for Barack Obama and 57% for John McCain are two of the more positive assessments of presidential candidates this late in the campaign in recent elections. . . . Usually, by this late stage of the campaign, presidential candidates' ratings have settled in the 50% range. George W. Bush had the highest favorable rating at the end of the campaign for any president since 1992, at 58% just before the 2000 election."