Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Majority Want To Keep Obamacare

Posted Aug 11, 2014 at 9:42 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation reports that a majority of Americans--60%--want Congress to improve the existing Affordable Care Act rather than repeal it (35%).

Americans Continue To View Obamacare Unfavorably

Posted Jun 11, 2014 at 9:38 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Kaiser Health tracking poll reports that the Affordable Care Act continues to be viewed unfavorably by Americans, 45% to 38%.

Support For Obamacare Increases

Posted May 08, 2014 at 8:43 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Christian Science Monitor/TIPP the reports increased support from the American public for the Affordable Care Act, now at an even 47% to 47%.

Affordable Care Act Slightly More Popular Than President

Posted Apr 08, 2014 at 8:01 AM by Maurice Berger

A new NPR poll reports that the Affordable Care Act is supported by 47% of Americans nationally, while 51% oppose it. The Presidents approval rating, in contrast, is at 46%

Americans Want Obamacare Debate To End

Posted Mar 31, 2014 at 8:51 AM by Maurice Berger

While Obamacare remains unpopular with many voters, a health-care tracking poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation reports that "53% of all respondents -- including 51% of independents and even 47% of Republicans -- said they are tired about hearing the debate over the health-care law and think the country should focus on other issues."

Majority Now Supports Keeping Obamacare

Posted Mar 04, 2014 at 8:22 AM by Maurice Berger

A Kaiser tracking poll reports that 48% of Americans want to keep and improve the Affordable Care Act while another 8% want to keep it as is -- for a total of 56% who want to keep the law. 19% are in favor of repealing the law and not replacing it and 12% want to repeal and replace with a GOP alternative, for a total of 31%.

Gallup: Majority Still Disaaprove Of Healthcare Law

Posted Feb 12, 2014 at 7:42 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, a majority of Americans still disapprove of the healthcare law: "President Barack Obama defended his signature legislative achievement, the Affordable Care Act, before Congress and the nation last week in his State of the Union address, but public opinion toward the law is little changed since November. Americans are still more likely to disapprove (51%) than approve (41%) of the law." Here is Gallup's chart: 

Trend: Do you generally approve or disapprove of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, signed into law by President Obama that restructured the U.S. healthcare system?

Trajectory Of Support For Affordable Care Act

Posted Dec 26, 2013 at 12:31 AM by Maurice Berger

Gallup has produced a helpful chart that tracks the trajectory of support in the United States for the Affordable Care Act. Here is Gallup's chart: 



Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable Care Act?

Eroding Support For Obamacare

Posted Dec 24, 2013 at 8:58 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by CNN/ORC reports that support for the Affordable Care Act has dropped to a record low: "Only 35% of those questioned in the poll say they support the health care law, a 5% drop in less than a month. 62% say they oppose the law, up four points from November."

69% of Americans Unaffected By Health Care Law

Posted Dec 10, 2013 at 8:53 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, the vast majority of Americans, 69%, say the health care law, "so far, has not had an effect on them and their family, similar to what Gallup measured more than a year ago. More Americans say the law has hurt (19%) rather than helped (9%) their family, a slightly larger gap than was found last year."

Vast Majority Disapprove of Shutdown

Posted Oct 03, 2013 at 8:23 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by CBS News poll reports that 72% of Americans disapprove of the shut down of the federal government over the Affordable Care Act while 25% approve. The survey also notes: "Republicans in Congress receive more of the blame for the shutdown: 44% of Americans blame them, while 35% put more blame on President Obama and the Democrats in Congress. These views are virtually the same as they were last week before the shutdown, when Americans were asked who they would blame if a shutdown occurred."

By Wide Margin, Americans Oppose GOP Actions on Obamacare

Posted Oct 01, 2013 at 10:48 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Quinnipiac reports that American voters, by a wide margn, oppose Congress shutting down the federal government to block implementation of Obamacare, 72% to 22%.


What Worries Americans Most About The Future?

Posted Jul 12, 2013 at 8:49 AM by Maurice Berger

What worries Americans the most about the future? A New survey by Gallup reports that "economic issues dominate Americans' concerns about the nation's future. Americans say the economy (17%) is their greatest worry or concern for the future of the United States, followed by the federal debt (11%). 5% or more also mention jobs and international wars and conflicts." Here is Gallup's chart:

Americans' Top Worry for the Future

Majority Oppose Obama Care, But For Different Reasons

Posted May 28, 2013 at 8:21 AM by Maurice Berger

A new by CNN/ORC reports that 54% of Americans oppose President Obama's new health care law, but with one important caveat: more than a quarter of those who oppose Obamacare, reject the measure because it doesn't go far enough.

Americans Split On Healthcare Ruling

Posted Jul 09, 2012 at 9:24 AM by Maurice Berger

Americans are sharply divided over last month's landmark Supreme Court decision on the 2010 healthcare law, according to a survey by Gallup, "with 46% agreeing and 46% disagreeing with the high court's ruling that the law is constitutional. Democrats widely hail the ruling, most Republicans pan it, and independents are closely divided." Here is Gallup's breakdown by party affiliation:

U.S. Public Reaction to Supreme Court Healthcare Decision, June 2012

Americans Divided On Healthcare Ruling

Posted Jul 03, 2012 at 8:24 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a survey by CNN/Opinion Research, American voters are evenly divided on last week's U.S. Supreme Court healthcare ruling: 50% agree with the Court's decision; 49% disagree. As for support for the law's key provision--the individual mandate--voters are also split, with 48% favoring it and 51% opposing it.

Majority of Americans Want To Retain Health Care Law

Posted Jun 25, 2012 at 2:23 AM by Maurice Berger

A new poll by Bloomberg reports that a plurality of Americans-- 43%--believe that President Obama's health care law should be retained "with only small modifications"; 15% say the measure should be left alone; and 33% say it should be repealed.

Americans Growing Weary Of Health Care Legislation

Posted Nov 04, 2011 at 4:22 AM by Maurice Berger

A survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation reports that the health care reform law's popularity has hit an all-time low with Americans.
Only 34% of those surveyed had a favorable view of the legislation, while 51% held an unfavorable view.

Americans Remain Divided On Health Care Law

Posted Mar 24, 2011 at 12:37 AM by Maurice Berger

Nearing a full year since passage of the health care bill, a new Gallup poll reports that Americans remain divided about whether it was a good thing or a bad thing, with 46% saying it was a good thing and 44% saying it was a bad thing. 44% also believe the law will make medical care worse, versus 39% who say the law will improve medical care.


Majority Of Americans Continue To Oppose Healthcare Law

Posted Dec 28, 2010 at 1:41 AM by Maurice Berger

A just released survey by CNN/Opinion Research reports that 54% of Americans continue to oppose the new health care law; 43% support the law. 25% of say they oppose the new law because it is not liberal enough; 37% oppose it because it is too liberal.

Health Care Reform Doomed Democrats in Midterm Election

Posted Nov 15, 2010 at 1:14 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a study in The New Republic, health care reform doomed the Democratic Party in the midterm elections. The study found that of the 1/6th of voters who identified health care as their most important issue voted Republican over Democrat, 59% to 35%. The study continues: "Putting all these data together, it is hard to avoid the conclusion that the health-reform bill had an independent impact on Democrats in the midterm election, reducing their support below the level to which the economy alone would have depressed it. A back-of-the envelope calculation suggests that health care voters contributed about 10 percent points to the Republicans' share of the vote and only 6 percent to Democrats -- a gap of 4 percentage points."


Americans Continue To Be Divided on Health Care Law

Posted Jul 14, 2010 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new National Journal/Pew Research poll, 47% of Americans continue to disapprove of the health care law; 35% approve; and 17% had no opinion. The poll also found sharp partisan divisions in the perception of the law: "82% of Republicans disapprove, while only 17% of Democrats disapprove. Independents track closer to the overall sample: 52% disapproved of the law, while 30% approve."

Americans Warming To Healthcare Reform

Posted Jul 01, 2010 at 1:01 AM by Maurice Berger

An in depth survey from the Kaiser Family Foundation suggests that Americans are becoming increasingly supportive of the new health care reform law. This month, the number of respondents approving of the legislation is actually higher than disapproving:  48% support the law, while 41% had an unfavorable opinion. Just a month ago, the levels of support were reversed, with 41% approving and 44% against.

Obama Approval: A Slight Bounce For Health Care Victory

Posted Mar 29, 2010 at 12:58 AM by Maurice Berger

It does not appear that President Obama has received more than a slight improvement in his approval numbers, a week after in historic victory in congress. Last Sunday, Obama's three-day rolling average reported a 46% approval and 48% disapproval rating. As of this Sunday evening, the numbers are reversed 48.0% approve to 46.5% disapprove--an aggregate +3.5% improvement in his overall performance numbers. The two daily tracking polls--Rasmussen and Gallup--show no movement at all (with a slight decline in the latter survey). The president's numbers in the coming weeks will give us a clearer picture of the effect, if any, of his historic victory on his approval rating.

Public Does Not Understand Provisions Of Healthcare Bill

Posted Mar 23, 2010 at 12:59 AM by Maurice Berger

A new  Kaiser Health Tracking Poll, suggests that Americans do not fully understand the provisions and details of the health care legislation just passed by congress. For example: "Only 15% of Americans, for instance, know that the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has said the legislation will decrease the federal budget deficit over the next 10 years. And 55% believe the CBO has said the legislation will increase the deficit over that period." 

Americans Remain More Confident in Obama Than Congress on Healthcare

Posted Mar 09, 2010 at 1:07 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Gallup survey reveals that "Americans remain more confident in the healthcare reform recommendations of President Obama (49%) than in the recommendations of the Democratic (37%) or Republican (32%) leaders in Congress. But these confidence levels are lower than those measured in June, suggesting that the ongoing healthcare reform debate has taken a toll on the credibility of the politicians involved."

Public Unaware Of Health Care Details

Posted Feb 05, 2010 at 5:47 AM by Maurice Berger

The public often forms opinion based on the overall contours of an issue--rather than inside-the beltway details--an observation that seems particularly true of its reaction to health care reform. A Pew Research poll reveals that just 32% of Americans know the health care reform bill received no support from Republican Senators; just 26% know that 60 votes are needed to break a filibuster in the Senate. And, as other polls have confirmed, even fewer understand the basic provisions of a bill that is both cumbersome and has remained mostly unexplained to the American public.

Support Of Health Care Package Hurting Blue Dog Democrats

Posted Jan 19, 2010 at 2:11 AM by Maurice Berger

So-called "Blue Dog" Democrats--moderate Democratic Senators and congressmen in marginally conservative or Republican districts or states--are suffering because of the unpopularity of the health care bill now working its way through congress. A prime example, Sen. Ben Nelson who has campaigned hard to sell Nebraskans on his vote to support the bill: "Nelson, who once enjoyed some of the highest job performance marks in the U.S. Senate, has now seen his approval rating dip below 50 percent in Nebraska, according to The World-Herald Poll. Nelson said the poll results come as no surprise, especially since Nebraskans have been 'bombarded' with millions of dollars in 'misleading advertisements.' He said he expects that people will come to appreciate the health care bill. In the survey, Nelson's job approval rating was 42 percent and his disapproval rating was 48 percent. By comparison, Republican Sen. Mike Johanns of Nebraska, who voted against the bill, had a 63 percent job-approval rating."

Americans Reject Government Insurance Coverage For Abortion

Posted Nov 19, 2009 at 1:02 AM by Maurice Berger

In another sign that the nation may be growing somewaht more conservative of the issue of abortion, a new CNN/Opinion Research poll finds that 61% of "adults oppose using public funds to pay for abortions for women who may be covered by a government health insurance system, and 51 percent say women covered by private insurance should not have coverage that pays for abortion . . . 56% favor creating a federally run health insurance program to compete with private insurance companies, and 66 percent said state governments should not be allowed to decide whether the federal insurance would apply everyone in the state."

Americans Evenly Divided On Health Care Reform

Posted Nov 18, 2009 at 1:06 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll, Americans are evenly and "deeply" divided" on the heath care reform proposals before Congress: 48% support the proposed changes while 49% are opposed. One positive sign for supporters of the legislation: "The Democrats have made some progress among at least one key group. Support among senior citizens, while still broadly negative, is up 13 points since September to 44%. Seniors have also tilted back toward Obama when matched head to head with congressional Republicans on dealing with health-care reform, helping the president to a 13-point advantage over the GOP on this issue."

Health Care: A Net Plus For Obama?

Posted Nov 10, 2009 at 1:33 AM by Maurice Berger

One thing PollTrack will be monitoring very closely over the next few months is the relationship between the president's approval rating and the success or failure of the health care legislation currently working its way through congress. At the moment, high unemployment numbers and the looming deficit has taken their toll on independent voters--their loss from the Democratic fold representing the single most important factor in the party's losses in Virginia and New Jersey last week. Will the success of health care legislation--such as last Saturday's victory in the house--help to offset dissatisfaction among independent voters? The answer may well spell a continued Democratic majority next November or Republican gains. Stay tuned for analysis of this issue relative to the president's overall standing with voters.

Support For "Public Option" At An All-Time High

Posted Oct 28, 2009 at 12:54 AM by Maurice Berger

A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll reports that support for the so-called "public option"--a government-run insurance plan--at its highest level since the debate began with 48% in favor of the idea while 42% oppose it.

US Voters Oppose Health Insurance "Penalty"

Posted Oct 12, 2009 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Rasmussen survey, a majority of US voters oppose the provision in health care legislation that would require young and healthy Americans to either buy health insurance or pay a $750 annual penalty for not having it. 55% of U.S. voters now oppose that proposal; just 32% of voters think young and healthy Americans should be forced to purchase health insurance or else pay a penalty. 14% are not sure. Among voters ages 18 to 29, 29% favor the provision, known as “the individual mandate,” while 57% are opposed to it.