Posted Oct 03, 2013 at 8:23 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll by CBS News poll reports that 72% of Americans disapprove of the shut down of the federal government over the Affordable Care Act while 25% approve. The survey also notes: "Republicans in Congress receive more of the blame for the shutdown: 44% of Americans blame them, while 35% put more blame on President Obama and the Democrats in Congress. These views are virtually the same as they were last week before the shutdown, when Americans were asked who they would blame if a shutdown occurred."
Posted Oct 01, 2013 at 10:48 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll by Quinnipiac reports that American voters, by a wide margn, oppose Congress shutting down the federal
government to block implementation of Obamacare, 72% to 22%.
Posted Jul 19, 2013 at 8:09 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new survey by Gallup, "Democrats are more likely than Republicans to be satisfied with the
work the government is doing in each of 19 different areas. The parties'
satisfaction levels diverge most on healthcare and foreign affairs, and
diverge least on poverty, national parks, and transportation." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted Jul 12, 2013 at 8:49 AM by Maurice Berger
What worries Americans the most about the future? A New survey by Gallup reports that "economic issues dominate Americans' concerns about the nation's
future. Americans say the economy (17%) is their greatest worry or
concern for the future of the United States, followed by the federal
debt (11%). 5% or more also mention jobs and international
wars and conflicts." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted May 28, 2013 at 8:21 AM by Maurice Berger
A new by CNN/ORC reports that 54% of Americans oppose President Obama's new health care law, but with one important caveat: more than a quarter of those who oppose
Obamacare, reject the measure because it doesn't go far
Posted Jul 09, 2012 at 9:24 AM by Maurice Berger
Americans are sharply divided over last month's landmark Supreme Court decision
on the 2010 healthcare law, according to a survey by Gallup, "with 46% agreeing and 46% disagreeing with
the high court's ruling that the law is constitutional. Democrats widely
hail the ruling, most Republicans pan it, and independents are closely
divided." Here is Gallup's breakdown by party affiliation:
Posted Jul 03, 2012 at 8:24 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a survey by CNN/Opinion Research, American voters are evenly divided on last week's U.S. Supreme Court healthcare
ruling: 50% agree with the Court's decision; 49% disagree. As for support for the law's key provision--the individual mandate--voters are also split, with 48% favoring it and 51% opposing it.
Posted Jun 25, 2012 at 2:23 AM by Maurice Berger
A new poll by Bloomberg reports that a plurality of Americans-- 43%--believe that President
Obama's health care law should be retained "with only small modifications"; 15% say the
measure should be left alone; and 33% say it should be repealed.
Posted Nov 04, 2011 at 4:22 AM by Maurice Berger
A survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation reports that the health care reform law's popularity has hit an all-time low with Americans.
Only 34% of those surveyed had a favorable view of the legislation, while 51% held an unfavorable view.
Posted Mar 24, 2011 at 12:37 AM by Maurice Berger
Nearing a full year since passage of the health care bill, a new Gallup poll reports that
Americans remain divided about whether it was a good thing or a bad
thing, with 46% saying it was a good thing and 44%
saying it was a bad thing. 44% also believe the law will make
medical care worse, versus 39% who say the law will improve medical
Posted Dec 28, 2010 at 1:41 AM by Maurice Berger
A just released survey by CNN/Opinion Research reports that 54% of Americans continue to oppose the new health care law; 43% support the law. 25% of say they oppose the new law because it is not liberal enough; 37% oppose it because it is too liberal.
Posted Nov 15, 2010 at 1:14 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a study in The New Republic, health care reform
doomed the Democratic Party in the midterm elections. The study found that of the 1/6th of voters who identified health care as their
most important issue voted Republican over Democrat, 59% to 35%. The study continues: "Putting all these data together, it is hard to avoid the conclusion
that the health-reform bill had an independent impact on Democrats in
the midterm election, reducing their support below the level to which
the economy alone would have depressed it. A back-of-the envelope
calculation suggests that health care voters contributed about 10
percent points to the Republicans' share of the vote and only 6 percent
to Democrats -- a gap of 4 percentage points."
Posted Aug 06, 2010 at 1:35 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Kaiser tracking poll reports that opposition to the health care legislation signed into law by
President Obama in March has declined over the past month, from 41% to
35%; 50% held a positive view of the law, up from 48% a
month ago, and the highest level of support since the legislation was enacted.
Posted Jul 14, 2010 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new National
Journal/Pew Research poll, 47% of Americans continue to disapprove of the health care law; 35% approve; and
17% had no opinion. The poll also found sharp partisan divisions in the perception of the law: "82% of Republicans
disapprove, while only 17% of Democrats disapprove. Independents track
closer to the overall sample: 52% disapproved of the law, while 30%
Posted Jul 01, 2010 at 1:01 AM by Maurice Berger
An in depth survey from the Kaiser Family
Foundation suggests that Americans are becoming increasingly supportive of the new health care reform law. This month, the number of respondents approving of the legislation is actually higher than disapproving: 48% support the law, while 41% had an unfavorable opinion. Just a month ago, the levels of support were reversed, with 41% approving and 44% against.
Posted Mar 29, 2010 at 12:58 AM by Maurice Berger
It does not appear that President Obama has received more than a slight improvement in his approval numbers, a week after in historic victory in congress. Last Sunday, Obama's three-day rolling average reported a 46% approval and 48% disapproval rating. As of this Sunday evening, the numbers are reversed 48.0% approve to 46.5% disapprove--an aggregate +3.5% improvement in his overall performance numbers. The two daily tracking polls--Rasmussen and Gallup--show no movement at all (with a slight decline in the latter survey). The president's numbers in the coming weeks will give us a clearer picture of the effect, if any, of his historic victory on his approval rating.
Posted Mar 23, 2010 at 12:59 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Kaiser Health
Tracking Poll, suggests that Americans do not fully understand the provisions and details of the health care legislation just passed by congress. For example: "Only 15% of Americans, for instance, know that the nonpartisan
Congressional Budget Office has said the legislation will decrease the
federal budget deficit over the next 10 years. And 55% believe the CBO
has said the legislation will increase the deficit over that period."
Posted Mar 16, 2010 at 1:08 AM by Maurice Berger
According a new Gallup survey, "Americans mention unemployment or jobs (31%) more than any other issue
when asked to name the most important problem facing the country today.
Americans predict the federal budget deficit will be the top problem
the U.S. will face 25 years from now, just ahead of the economy and the
environment." As for the present top problems, "31% of Americans mention jobs or unemployment,
significantly more than say the economy in general (24%), healthcare
(20%), or dissatisfaction with government (10%)."
Posted Mar 09, 2010 at 1:07 AM by Maurice Berger
A new Gallup survey reveals that "Americans remain more confident in the healthcare reform
recommendations of President Obama (49%) than in the recommendations of
the Democratic (37%) or Republican (32%) leaders in Congress. But these
confidence levels are lower than those measured in June, suggesting
that the ongoing healthcare reform debate has taken a toll on the
credibility of the politicians involved."
Posted Feb 25, 2010 at 1:22 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Gallup survey, "Americans are skeptical that lawmakers will agree on a new healthcare
bill at Thursday's bipartisan healthcare summit in Washington, D.C. If
an agreement is not reached, Americans by a 49% to 42% margin oppose
rather than favor Congress passing a healthcare bill similar to the one
proposed by President Obama and Democrats in the House and Senate. By a
larger 52% to 39% margin, Americans also oppose the Democrats in the
Senate using a reconciliation procedure to avoid a possible Republican
filibuster and pass a bill by a simple majority vote."
Posted Feb 05, 2010 at 5:47 AM by Maurice Berger
The public often forms opinion based on the overall contours of an issue--rather than inside-the beltway details--an observation that seems particularly true of its reaction to health care reform. A Pew Research poll reveals that just 32% of Americans know the health care reform bill received no support from Republican Senators; just 26% know that 60 votes are needed to break a filibuster in the Senate. And, as other polls have confirmed, even fewer understand the basic provisions of a bill that is both cumbersome and has remained mostly unexplained to the American public.
Posted Jan 21, 2010 at 1:09 AM by Maurice Berger
Was the Obama administration's emphasis on health care over jobs "a colossal miscalculation" of public sentiment and needs. Charlie Cook, in this interesting and compelling analysis, tied the drop in support for the administration to its year-long health care campaign, undertaken during a period when jobs were withering away and the unemployment rates was rising to crisis proportions: "Honorable and intelligent people can disagree over the substance and
details of what President Obama and congressional Democrats are trying
to do on health care reform and climate change. But nearly a year after
Obama's inauguration, judging by where the Democrats stand today, it's
clear that they have made a colossal miscalculation. The latest unemployment and housing numbers underscore the folly of
their decision to pay so much attention to health care and climate
change instead of focusing on the economy "like a laser beam," as
President Clinton pledged to do during his 1992 campaign. Although no
one can fairly accuse Obama and his party's leaders of ignoring the
economy, they certainly haven't focused on it like a laser beam." For the entire analysis, click here.
Posted Jan 20, 2010 at 1:18 AM by Maurice Berger
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll confirms what last night's returns from Massachusetts infer: health care reform is not popular. In the survey, only 33% of Americans say President Obama's reform
effort is a good idea; 46% consider it a mistake.
Posted Jan 19, 2010 at 2:11 AM by Maurice Berger
So-called "Blue Dog" Democrats--moderate Democratic Senators and congressmen in marginally conservative or Republican districts or states--are suffering because of the unpopularity of the health care bill now working its way through congress. A prime example, Sen. Ben Nelson who has campaigned hard to sell Nebraskans on his vote to support the bill: "Nelson, who once enjoyed some of
the highest job performance marks in the U.S. Senate, has now seen his
approval rating dip below 50 percent in Nebraska, according to The
World-Herald Poll. Nelson said the poll results come as no
surprise, especially since Nebraskans have been 'bombarded' with
millions of dollars in 'misleading advertisements.' He said he expects that people will come to appreciate the health care bill. In the survey, Nelson's job approval rating was 42 percent and his
disapproval rating was 48 percent. By comparison, Republican Sen. Mike
Johanns of Nebraska, who voted against the bill, had a 63 percent
Posted Dec 18, 2009 at 1:12 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal, just 32% of Americans favor of health care reform, with 47% opposed to the plan being debated in Congress. "For the first time in the survey, a
plurality prefers the status quo to reform. By a 44-41 percent margin,
respondents say it would be better to keep the current system than to
pass Obama's health plan."
Posted Dec 02, 2009 at 1:19 AM by Maurice Berger
Will the president's sagging approval numbers start moving up soon? Jacob Weisberg, writing in Slate, suggests that the answer may be yes: "About one thing, left and right seem to agree these days: Obama hasn't done anything yet. . . . This
conventional wisdom about Obama's first year isn't just premature—it's
sure to be flipped on its head by the anniversary of his inauguration
on Jan. 20. If, as seems increasingly likely, Obama wins passage of a
health care reform a bill by that date, he will deliver his first State
of the Union address having accomplished more than any other postwar
American president at a comparable point in his presidency. This isn't
an ideological point or one that depends on agreement with his
policies. It's a neutral assessment of his emerging record—how many
big, transformational things Obama is likely to have made happen in his
first 12 months in office."
Posted Nov 19, 2009 at 1:02 AM by Maurice Berger
In another sign that the nation may be growing somewaht more conservative of the issue of abortion, a new CNN/Opinion Research poll finds that 61% of "adults oppose using public funds to pay for
abortions for women who may be covered by a government health insurance
system, and 51 percent say women covered by private insurance should
not have coverage that pays for abortion . . . 56% favor creating a federally run
health insurance program to compete with private insurance companies,
and 66 percent said state governments should not be allowed to decide
whether the federal insurance would apply everyone in the state."
Posted Nov 18, 2009 at 1:06 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll, Americans are evenly and "deeply" divided" on the heath care reform proposals
before Congress: 48% support the proposed changes while 49% are opposed. One positive sign for supporters of the legislation: "The
Democrats have made some progress among at least one key group. Support
among senior citizens, while still broadly negative, is up 13 points
since September to 44%. Seniors have also tilted back toward Obama when matched head to head
with congressional Republicans on dealing with health-care reform,
helping the president to a 13-point advantage over the GOP on this
Posted Nov 13, 2009 at 1:12 AM by Maurice Berger
According to Gallup, Americans are uncertain about the health care proposals winding their way through congress: "Americans are evenly split on the potential impact of new health care
legislation, should it ultimately be passed into law. Forty-one percent
say a new health care bill would make the U.S. health care system better
in the long run, while 40% say it would make things worse . . . Americans are more negative about the impact of a new health care bill
on their personal situations than they are about its impact on the
nation as a whole. By a 10-point margin, Americans are more likely to
say a new bill would make their personal health care situations worse
(36%), rather than better (26%). Almost 4 out of 10 say a bill would
make no difference, or have no opinion on the topic."
Posted Nov 10, 2009 at 1:33 AM by Maurice Berger
One thing PollTrack will be monitoring very closely over the next few months is the relationship between the president's approval rating and the success or failure of the health care legislation currently working its way through congress. At the moment, high unemployment numbers and the looming deficit has taken their toll on independent voters--their loss from the Democratic fold representing the single most important factor in the party's losses in Virginia and New Jersey last week. Will the success of health care legislation--such as last Saturday's victory in the house--help to offset dissatisfaction among independent voters? The answer may well spell a continued Democratic majority next November or Republican gains. Stay tuned for analysis of this issue relative to the president's overall standing with voters.
Posted Oct 28, 2009 at 12:54 AM by Maurice Berger
A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll reports that support for the so-called "public option"--a government-run insurance plan--at its highest level
since the debate began with 48% in favor of the idea while 42% oppose
Posted Oct 20, 2009 at 1:57 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Washington Post/ABC News poll, "support for a government-run health-care plan to compete with private
insurers has rebounded from its summertime lows and wins clear majority
support from the public. . . On the issue that has been perhaps the most pronounced flash point in
the national debate, 57 percent of all Americans now favor a public
insurance option, while 40 percent oppose it. Support has risen since
mid-August, when a bare majority, 52 percent, said they favored it. . . .If a public plan were run by the states and available only to those
who lack affordable private options, support for it jumps to 76
percent. Under those circumstances, even a majority of Republicans, 56
percent, would be in favor of it, about double their level of support
without such a limitation."
Posted Oct 14, 2009 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger
Posted Oct 12, 2009 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Rasmussen survey, a majority of US voters oppose the provision in health care legislation that would require young and healthy Americans to either buy health
insurance or pay a $750 annual penalty for not having it. 55% of U.S. voters now oppose that proposal; just 32% of
voters think young and healthy Americans should be forced to purchase
health insurance or else pay a penalty. 14% are not
sure. Among voters ages 18 to 29, 29% favor the provision, known as “the individual mandate,” while 57% are opposed to it.
Posted Oct 08, 2009 at 3:01 AM by Maurice Berger
Last weeks polling from Rasmussen Reports on the subject of health care reform suggests a mixed bag for proponents and opponents of the plan now before congress: "Sometimes, as the old saying goes, the devil's in the details.Most U.S. voters (54%) believe that major changes are needed in the U.S. health care system. Sixty-one percent (61%) say it's important for Congress to pass health care legislation this year. The problem is that just 41% of voters nationwide now favor the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats." For more of Rasmussen's analysis, click here.
Posted Sep 30, 2009 at 1:46 AM by Maurice Berger
Americans see affordability as the nation's biggest health care concern, according to a recent Gallup survey: "In an open-ended question, Americans are most likely to say cost (38%)
is the biggest problem with health care in the United States today,
followed by too many uninsured (15%), and insurance companies (13%)." There is a major gap in the perception of this issue, however, depending on the respondent's own insurance status: "A question asking whether health care costs pose a major problem, a
minor problem, or no problem personally for respondents provides
another indication of the broad gap in concern about healthcare between
the insured and the uninsured. Seventy-two percent of the uninsured say
costs are a major problem. By contrast, 42% of adults with private
insurance, and 40% of those with Medicare/Medicaid, say this."
Posted Sep 18, 2009 at 1:19 AM by Maurice Berger
To a considerable degree, Americans remain uncertain about the scope and cost of health care proposals now being considered by Congress, according to a new Gallup poll: "Americans are skeptical that President Obama's health care plan will be
able to accomplish all he intends -- to expand coverage to nearly all
Americans without raising taxes on middle-class Americans or affecting
the quality of care. 38% believe his plan will achieve
all of these goals, while 60% do not think it will. Republicans are nearly united in thinking the plan will not accomplish
these stated goals (90% believe it will not), and most independents
(64%) agree. Two in three Democrats (66%), on the other hand, express
optimism that the plan will achieve these aims . . . Less than a majority [of all polled, 43%] say they are confident that Obama's plan can
be paid for mostly through cost savings in Medicare and other parts of
the healthcare system, as Obama has proposed. 11% are very
confident of this."
Significantly, the survey concludes that "Although the public stops short of saying reform will make these things
worse -- given that about one in five expect the reforms not to make a
difference either way -- in three of the four areas, more predict
health care legislation would make the situation worse rather than
better. These are key considerations given that support for a healthcare plan -- currently 50%, including "soft" support -- could drop considerably if Americans were convinced that reform
would have a harmful effect on the middle class through higher taxes,
higher costs for health care, or reduced coverage or quality of care."
Posted Sep 16, 2009 at 1:18 AM by Maurice Berger
Analyzing a just released national poll from ABC News/Washington Post, CQ Politics spots an ominous sign for the GOP: Americans perceive the party as obstructionist. CQ writes: "Republicans are viewed as obstructionists who are not making a good
faith effort to cooperate with Democrats in the health care debate,
according to [the survey]. The same poll found that half the respondents thought Democrats were
making an honest effort to cooperate with Republicans on health care.
Sixty-two percent of the respondents said the Republicans were not
negotiating in good faith. But if there is any political blow back from this, it's hard to find.
People were evenly divided on whether they would vote for (22 percent)
or against (23 percent) a congressional candidate who supports the
Democrats' health overhaul plan, with 54 percent saying it would make
no difference to them. Forty-nine percent said they think the two
parties are equally to blame for the tone of the debate."
Posted Sep 09, 2009 at 1:39 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Gallup survey, "the American people are no less divided on healthcare reform today than they were a month ago. [The survey] finds 39% of Americans saying they would direct their member of Congress to vote against a healthcare reform bill this fall while 37% want their member to vote in favor. . . .[The poll] suggests the issue could be politically potent in 2010. Sixty-four percent of Americans say their representative's position on healthcare reform will be a major factor in their vote in the next congressional election; just over a third say it will be no more than a minor factor." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted Sep 07, 2009 at 1:23 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a Rasmussen Reports poll, nearly half of likely voters think the health care overhaul proposed
by President Obama and backed by Democrats in Congress will become law
this year. Yet, about half of likely voters don't
like the plan. Around 50% said that they believed the
overhaul would lower the quality of health care, and in answer to a
separate question 52% said it would make health costs rise.
Posted Sep 01, 2009 at 1:39 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a survey sponsored by AARP, Americans want health
care reform, but are not that willing to pay for it: "56% say that it is more
important than ever that we address health care reform. When asked what they’re
most worried about when it comes to health care, respondents focus on rising
costs, including insurance premium and prescription drug price hikes and the
prospect of not being able to afford health insurance. In spite of those
concerns, however, sizeable majorities say they are not willing to pay more in
taxes (64%) or in premiums (74%) to cover the uninsured."
Posted Aug 07, 2009 at 1:19 AM by Maurice Berger
By an enormous margin, the American public trusts President Obama FAR more than Republicans on the issue of who better can handle revamping health care: a NYT/CBS News poll reports that by a 55% to 26% margin, Obama has better ideas on health care than Republicans. A GWU Battleground survey released late last week found Obama with a 21 point lead over Republicans on who would better handle health care reform. PollTrack suggests that with approval numbers this high on the issue, Obama still holds a big political advantage over Republican legislators heading into September's Congressional battle over the issue.
Posted Jul 29, 2009 at 2:06 AM by Maurice Berger
According to a new Gallup survey, most Americans support health care legislation, but not necessarily this year: "Seven in 10 Americans favor the passage of new health care reform
legislation, but less than half (41%) say a new law needs to be passed
this year." The good news for the Obama administration is that a VERY solid majority of Americans favor this legislation, albeit disagreeing on the timing. Here is Gallup's Chart:
Posted Jul 28, 2009 at 2:22 AM by Maurice Berger
A recently released survey reports that "61% of voters nationwide say that cost is
the biggest health care problem facing the nation today." The national telephone survey finds that "just 21% believe the lack of
universal health insurance coverage is a bigger problem. Only 10% believe the quality of care is the top concern, and 2% point to the inconvenience factor of dealing with the current
medical system. Given a choice between health care reform and a tax hike
or no health care reform and no tax hike, 47% would prefer to avoid the tax hike
and do without reform. Forty-one percent (41%) take the opposite view."
Posted Jul 22, 2009 at 1:30 AM by Maurice Berger
In yet another sign that President Obama's honeymoon stage may be ending, American support for his handling of health care reform appears to be slipping. The latest USA Today/Gallup
poll reports that as "the debate over health care reform intensifies, more Americans disapprove (50%) than approve (44%) of
the way U.S. President Barack Obama is handling health care policy.
There is a tremendous partisan gap in these views, with 74% of
Democrats but only 11% of Republicans approving. Independents are more
likely to disapprove than to approve of Obama's work on health care." Here is Gallup's chart:
Posted Jul 20, 2009 at 2:08 AM by Maurice Berger
Posted Jun 23, 2009 at 12:52 AM by Maurice Berger
There is wide support for government run health insurance, according to a New York Times/CBS News poll: "Americans overwhelmingly support substantial changes to the health care
system and are strongly behind one of the most contentious proposals
Congress is considering, a government-run insurance plan to compete
with private insurers . . . The poll found that most Americans would be willing to pay higher taxes so everyone could have health insurance and that they said the government could do a better job of holding down health-care costs than the private sector . . . The national telephone survey, which was conducted from June 12 to 16,
found that 72 percent of those questioned supported a
government-administered insurance plan — something like Medicare for those under 65 — that would compete for customers with private insurers. Twenty percent said they were opposed.