Posted Jan 31, 2011 at 9:25 AM by Maurice Berger
The latest poll out of Chicago shows former White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel poised to win the race for mayor outright, without a runoff. The We Ask America poll shows Rahm Emanuel at 52%, with Gery Chico at 14% and Carol Moseley-Braun at 11%.
Posted Jan 25, 2011 at 9:08 AM by Maurice Berger
Although Rahm Emanuel was just knocked off the ballot in the Chicago mayoral race by a Illinois court for residency issues, a new Chicago Tribune/WGN poll reports that he is considerably ahead. He is also closing in on the majority he needs to win next month's Chicago mayoral race without a run off. Emanuel leads the pack with 44%, followed by Carol Mosely Braun at 21%, Gery Chico at 16%, Miguel del Valle at 7% and 9% undecided.
Posted Jan 14, 2011 at 8:00 AM by Maurice Berger
Yes, 2011 is defintely a quiet year for electoral activity. But an important one. The 2012 campaigns--from president and congress--will actually start in 2011. So much to watch, especially as we near the first GOP presidential primaries in early-2012. And we'll also be following a few key, "off-year" elections, including:
Kentucky governor's race
Mississippi governor's race
Dallas mayoral race
Phoenix mayoral race
Louisiana governor's race
Posted Jan 10, 2011 at 9:39 AM by Maurice Berger
A Teamsters/Anzalone Liszt poll in Chicago reports that Rahm Emanuel holds a large lead in theChicago mayoral race. Emanuel leads with 42%, Carol Moseley Braun is at 26%, Gery Chico at 10% and Miguel Del Valle at 7%.
Posted Dec 27, 2010 at 9:42 AM by Maurice Berger
Is there a political life for Rahm Emanuel after leaving the White House? The answer would appear to be yes according to a new We Ask America poll shows him with a hefty lead over the rest of the field in the election to become the next mayor of Chicago. Emanuel leads with 44%, followed by Gery Chico at 12%, Carol Moseley Braun at 8%, Danny Davis at 7%, Miguel Del Valle at 6% and James Meeks at 4%.
Posted Nov 30, 2010 at 1:18 PM by Maurice Berger
How is Rahm Emanuel doing in his race for Mayor of Chicago? Will he return to elective office only months after leaving the White House? A new We Ask America poll suggests that Emanuel is in a good position. In the upcoming race for mayor--which is on February 22, 2011--he lead with 39%, followed by former Sen. Carol Mosely Braun at 12%, Gerry Chico at 9%. Rep. Danny Davis at 7% and 19% still undecided. Nevertheless, if no candidate receives at least 50% of the vote, a runoff will be held April 5.
Posted Dec 22, 2008 at 3:05 PM by Maurice Berger
A new CNN/Opinion Research survey indicates Americans are split on whether aides to President-elect Barack Obama did something inappropriate in their contacts with embattled Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich: 12% of those questioned say Obama aides did something illegal, with another 36% feeling Obama aides didn't act illegally but did do something unethical.43% say no Obama aides did anything seriously wrong."
Posted Dec 16, 2008 at 1:13 PM by Maurice Berger
If voters in Illinois are willing to give the Obama team the benefit of the dount vis-a-vis the Blagojevich scandal, nationally the president-elect is not doing as well. According to a Rasmussen Reports poll of registered voters, 45% "say it is likely President-elect Obama or one of his top campaign aides was involved in the unfolding Blagojevich scandal in Illinois, including 23% who say it is Very Likely. Just 11% say it is not at all likely, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken Thursday and Friday nights." A new ABC News/Washington Post poll reports that a "tepid 51% say Obama’s done enough to explain any discussions his representatives may have had with Gov. Rod Blagojevich, who’s accused of seeking bribes in his selection of Obama’s successor. The rest either say Obama’s not done enough (34%) or are unsure (14% more)."
Posted Dec 16, 2008 at 9:13 AM by Maurice Berger
The voters of President-Elect Obama's homestate of Illinois remain uncertain about his relationship to embattled Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich: According to a new statewide survey of registered voters, 32% say there is no way that the incoming president was involved in the Blagojevich corruption case, even as questions mount over whether an Obama adviser discussed the president-elect’s vacant Senate seat with the Illinois governor or his staff. "Only 13% say it is Very Likely that the president-elect was involved, with another 13% saying it is Somewhat Likely, according to a Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Illinois voters on Wednesday night. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say it’s Not Very Likely, with six percent (6%) undecided."
Posted Dec 05, 2008 at 1:08 PM by Maurice Berger
Who will replace Barack Obama as Illinois' Juinior Senator? The task will be left to Rod Blagojevich, Illinois’ Democratic governor whose own approval numbers remain among the lowest of state chief executives in the country. According to a new survey of Illinois voters, "Rep. Jesse L. Jackson, Jr. is the clear favorite . . . . among the party’s top five candidates to succeed Barack Obama as the state’s junior U.S. senator." Rasmussen Reports hancaps the hypothetical race as follows: Jackson, a "Chicago congressman who has been openly campaigning for the job has the support of 36% of Illinois Democrats . . . Tammy Duckworth, director of Illinois’ Department of Veterans Affairs, is next with the backing of 29%, followed by state Attorney General Lisa Madigan with 17%. Another congressman mentioned for the post, Rep. Jan Schakowksy, has eight percent (8%) support, with Emil Jones, president of the Illinois Senate, at two percent (2%). Just seven percent (7%) of Democrats are not sure which candidate they prefer." Blagojevich has promised to appoint Obama’s successor during the Christmas holidays.
Posted Nov 04, 2008 at 12:29 PM by Maurice Berger
PollTrack's FINAL election day daily tracking poll average puts Obama in the lead by +6.1%--51.6% to 45.5%. One poll indicates that undecided voters have moved sharply in McCain's direction (GWU/Battleground-Tarrance model), another indicates a big shift of undecided and persuadable voters for Obama (IBD/TIPP). One thing to consider: with Obama racking up enormous margins in many of the nation's most populous states (CA, NY, IL, MA, for example), leads as high as +25% or more, as well as many of the Kerry-blue states--and McCain taking a number of red states by very modest margins--this final tracking number may not reflect the relative closeness in a number of the remaining swing and battleground states.
Posted Nov 03, 2008 at 4:48 PM by Maurice Berger
Today's daily tracking poll average indicates a comfortable national aggregate lead of +6.6% for the Democrat, 50.6% to 44%. Still, with Obama up as much as +25% in states with some of the largest populations--such as CA, NY, MA, IL, MI--this national number may not reflect the relativeness closeness of the race in several key battleground states, including OH, NC, and FL. Much of today's polling continues to indicate an unusually large bloc of undecided or still persuadable voters. IBD/TIPP puts the figure at an amazing 9.5% undecided. A just issued CBS News periodic poll indicates a 6% undecided block. And Rasmussen still indicates that 10% of voters remain uncertain, lean to one candidate, or intend to vote for a third party candidate. The large undecided bloc that continues to register in some polls is unusually high the day before a national cycle, particularly one with as much voter enthusiasm as this one. Where will these voters wind up, if and when they vote?
11/03/2008
Obama-291 McCain-163 Too Close To Call-84
11/02/2008
Obama-278 McCain-142 Too Close To Call-118
10/31/2008
Obama-311 McCain-160 Too Close To Call-67
10/28/2008
Obama-306 McCain-160 Too Close To Call-72
10/24/2008
Obama-306 McCain-171 Too Close To Call-61
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