Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Literally A Tie + Obama's and McCain's Ceiling

Posted Sep 19, 2008 at 1:48 AM by Maurice Berger

Two new daily trackers just released underscore the closeness of Election 2008. Rasmussen: 48% to 48%. Battleground (the fourth addition to our daily tracking average): 47% to 47%. It couldn't get any closer according to these surveys. One thing to consider: while Obama has made little overall gain in his numerical ceiling since before the conventions (his numbers hovered in the mid-to-high 40s), McCain seems to have made a healthy 3-4% gain that now appears stable. Once stuck in the low 40s, McCain now enjoys a ceiling similar to Obama's, in the mid-to-high 40s.