Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Majority of Americans Skeptical Of Christie

Posted Mar 20, 2014 at 11:12 PM by Maurice Berger

A national poll by Bloomberg reports that 63% of Americans say they don't believe Republican New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's "claims that he knew nothing of a plan by his top aides to create a politically motivated traffic jam."

Can Cuomo Effectively Challenge Clinton In 2016?

Posted Jan 03, 2013 at 9:53 AM by Maurice Berger

With many speculating that Hillary Clinton will mount another run for president in 2016, NY Governor Andrew Cuomo appears also to be weighing his options. Will the Governor's sky-high popularity in his home state increase his standing within the Democratic party? Or is Senator Clinton unstoppable? A recent poll by Quinnipiac in New York reports that Cuomo holds a stunning 74% to 13% approval rating, his highest score to date and the latest in a six-month string of 70+ percent positive ratings. But it is the demographic breakdown of these number that may add fuel to the Cuomo presidential bandwagon: 68% (to 18%) of Republicans and 70% (to 12%) of independent voters also approve of the way he is handling his job. In the end, New York is not a good indicator of national sentiment and popularity: there, it is Sen. Clinton who holds the edge, with a national approval rating at nearly 70%, higher than her husband or the president.

Majority Of Voters Believe President Obama Will Be Reelected

Posted Mar 14, 2012 at 11:28 PM by Maurice Berger

In an important indicator for the President--since, as PollTrack note, perception plays a big role in politics--a new Pew Research survey reports that 59% of American voters say that President Obama is likely to be re-elected if his opponent is Mitt Romney; between Obama and Rick Santorum, 68% anticipate an Obama victory.

Majority Of Americans Favor Abolishing Electoral College

Posted Oct 26, 2011 at 4:19 AM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Gallup reports that 62% of Americans favor amending the U.S. Constitution to replace the Electoral College with direct election presidents via a popular vote system. Just 35% say they would keep the Electoral College .

Iowa GOP Nomnation 2012: Huckabee Front Runner

Posted Jan 24, 2011 at 12:39 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that Mike Huckabee is the clear leader for the GOP nomination for president in 2012. Huckabee leads with 24%; Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney are tied at 14%; Newt Gingrich at 11%; Tim Pawlenty at 8%; and Ron Paul at 7%. PPP writes: "[Huckabee's] ahead with both moderates and conservatives, showing an ability to unify two wings of the party that have become increasingly polarized from each other with the rise of the Tea Party movement. That's important not just for snagging the nomination but also for Republican prospects of winning the general -- they can't do it without a candidate who is able to hold the entire base in line."

Conservative Republicans Pick Romney for 2012

Posted Mar 03, 2009 at 1:25 AM by Maurice Berger

For the third straight year, Mitt Romney has won the presidential preference straw poll of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) with 20% of the vote. Bobby Jindal finished with 14%, just ahead of Ron Paul and Sarah Palin, who got 13% each. Newt Gingrich finished with 10%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Mark Sanford 4%, Rudy Giuliani 3%, Tim Pawlenty 2%, Charlie Crist 1%, and 9% said they were undecided. The organization, which supports right-wing Republican values and candidates, is exceptionally conservative:95% said they disapproved of the job President Obama is doing, 80% "strongly disapproving.” Probably not significant enough to be taken seriously at this point, the CPAC straw poll is a notoriously inaccurate at predicting the eventual Republican Party nominee. In 1999, it awarded the straw poll victory to Steve Forbes. In 2005 and 2006, it went to George Allen, and in 2007 and 2008, to Mitt Romney.

LA Governor Republican Bobby Jindall: Not Running in 2012

Posted Dec 12, 2008 at 1:27 AM by Maurice Berger

Politico reports that Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal, "seen by many Republicans as the most promising standard-bearer for a remade party, said at a Richmond, Va press conference that he isn't running for president in 2012.  At a news conference Wednesday with Bob McDonnell, Virginia's 2009 Republican candidate for governor, Jindal was asked if he was interested in being president, AP reports. His answer: "No." Jindal said he's planning to run for reelection in 2011, something that would make pivoting to a national campaign logistically and politically tricky."