Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Congress Gets Low Marks on Fiscal Showdown

Posted Oct 01, 2013 at 9:20 AM by Maurice Berger

Gallup observes in a new survey: "As Congress heads into a major fiscal showdown that could result in a government shutdown and the U.S. defaulting on its debt, few Americans approve of the job that top congressional leaders are doing. Americans give relatively low job approval ratings to Republican House Speaker John Boehner (37%), Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (33%), Democratic House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (39%), and Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (35%)." Here is Gallup's chart:

 

Net Approval Rating of Nation's Top Four Congressional Leaders, September 2013

IRS Scandal Most Troubling To Voters

Posted Jun 05, 2013 at 12:15 PM by Maurice Berger

A new survey by Quinnipiac poll reports that of the three controversies associated with the President -- Benghazi, IRS targeting, and the seizing of reporter phone records -- 44% of voters see the IRS probe as the most significant. 24% cite Benghazi and 15% the records seizure.

Do Americans View Their Taxes As Fair?

Posted Apr 16, 2013 at 9:07 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a survey by Gallup, 55% of Americans regard the income taxes they have to pay as fair, the lowest percentage since 2001. Here is Gallup's chart:

Trend: Do you regard the income tax which you will have to pay this year as fair?

Dememocrats and Republicans Have Divergent Views About Taxes

Posted Apr 12, 2013 at 8:31 AM by Maurice Berger

A new  poll by the Washington Post-ABC News reports that 53% of Democrats see the income tax system favorably; 43% view it unfavorably. For Republicans and independents, the answer is reversed (and then some):66% of the former and 62% of the latter have an unfavorable opinion of the tax system.

Large Majority Want "Fiscal Cliff" Compromise

Posted Dec 17, 2012 at 9:16 AM by Maurice Berger

A poll by NBC News/Wall Street Journal reports that almost two-thirds of Americans say they favor a balanced deal to reduce the deficit -- consisting of both higher tax rates and cuts to key entitlement programs. In a key finding in the survey, 65% believe that congressional leaders should make compromises to deal with the budget deficit. The support for compromise is broad and wide: 68% of Democrats, 66% of Republicans and 56% of political independents support this position.

Voters Trust Obama More Than Republicans In Avoiding Fiscal Cliff

Posted Dec 11, 2012 at 10:04 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Quinnipiac, voters trust Obama and Democrats more than Republicans, by a 53% to 36% margin, to avoid the "fiscal cliff." Pollster Peter Brown writes: "Voters see Republicans as more likely to be obstructionist, and have less confidence in their ability to come up with the right solution to the nation's financial woes."

The GOP Lost On Issues, Too

Posted Nov 13, 2012 at 8:48 AM by Maurice Berger

While much has been made of shifting demographics in this election cycle--and it is clear from exit polling that an uptick in African-American, Hispanic, and young voters and a decrease in white participation from 2008 made a big difference in the outcome--it is easy to forget that on the issues, the GOP lost as well. As NBC News' Mark Murray, reports: "For years, the GOP has branded itself as the party that supports low taxes (especially for the wealthy) and opposes abortion and gay marriage. But according to the exit polls from last week's presidential election, a combined 60% said that tax rates should increase either for everyone or for those making more than $250,000. Just 35% said the tax rates shouldn't increase for anyone."

Murray continues: "What's more, 59% said that abortion should be legal in all or most cases. And by a 49%-to-46% margin, voters said that their states should legally recognize same-sex marriage."

Americans Favor "Buffett Rule"

Posted Apr 18, 2012 at 8:48 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new survey by Gallup, "6 in 10 Americans favor Congress' passing the so-called "Buffett Rule," which would mandate a minimum 30% tax rate for Americans with a household income of $1 million or more per year. Majorities of both Democrats and independents favor the policy, while a majority of Republicans oppose it." Here is Gallup's chart:

 

Would you favor or oppose Congress passing a new law that would require households earning $1 million a year or more to pay a minimum of 30% of their income in taxes?

Americans Reject GOP Approach To Debt Crisis

Posted Jul 21, 2011 at 2:15 AM by Maurice Berger

A CBS News poll reports that Americans "are unimpressed with their political leaders' handling of the debt ceiling crisis." But their is a big divide between public perceptions of the GOP vs the President's handling of the crisis. Just 21% approve of Republican congressional resistance to raising taxes; a whopping 71% disapprove. 43%, however, approve of President Obama's handling of the negotiations. Still, 48% said they disapproved. So overall, the public appears to have little patience for the way these negotiations are being handled.

Americans Oppose Most Budget Cuts

Posted Jan 27, 2011 at 1:16 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Gallup survey, "a majority of Americans said they favor cutting U.S. foreign aid, but more than 6 in 10 opposed cuts to education, Social Security, and Medicare. Smaller majorities objected to cutting programs for the poor, national defense, homeland security, aid to farmers, and funding for the arts and sciences." Here is Gallup's chart:

Reaction to Cutting Government Spending in Various Areas, January 2011

Gallup: Americans Support Two Key Elements of Tax Compromise

Posted Dec 10, 2010 at 1:50 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a new Gallup Poll, "two major elements included in the tax agreement reached Monday between President Barack Obama and Republican leaders in Congress meet with broad public support. Two-thirds of Americans (66%) favor extending the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for all Americans for two years, and an identical number support extending unemployment benefits for the long-term unemployed." Here is Gallup's breaking along party lines:

Support for Extending Tax Cuts and Unemployment Benefits, Among National Adults and by Party, December 2010

In terms of opposition to parts of the bill, Gallup notes: "Looking more specifically at the different ideological wings of each party, only liberal Democrats oppose extending the tax breaks for everyone: 39% are in favor, while 55% are opposed. Among the other groups, support ranges from 64% of conservative/moderate Democrats to 87% of conservative Republicans. "Similarly, conservative Republicans are the only political/ideological group opposing the extension of unemployment benefits. The majority of moderate/liberal Republicans are in favor, as are most Democrats, regardless of ideology."

Obama's Core Supporters Oppose Tax Compromise

Posted Dec 08, 2010 at 12:50 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a just released SurveyUSA poll, voters who contributed to Barack Obama's 2008 presidential campaign are overmelingly opposed to his deal with Republicans to extend the Bush-era tax breaks for those making over $250,000 a year. 74% now say they do not support the deal. 51% say they are less likely to contribute to Obama's reelection campaign in 2012, and 57% say it makes them less likely to support congressional Democrats who support this deal in 2012.

Americans Reject GOP Tax Plan

Posted Dec 06, 2010 at 2:22 AM by Maurice Berger

A new CBS News poll reports that a majority of Americans--53%--reject the GOP's efforts to extend Bush-era tax cuts to households earning more than $250,000 per year. Just 26% of Americans support extending the cuts for all Americans, even those earning above the $250,000 level.

Americans Favor Administration View On Tax Cuts

Posted Sep 17, 2010 at 2:16 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Democracy Corps survey reports that by a 55% to 38% margin, Americans favor the view espoused by the Obama administration and Democrats in the debate on extending the Bush tax cuts for everyone earning less than $250,000 but letting them lapse for the wealthiest Americans.

Texas Republicans Support Secession

Posted Apr 28, 2009 at 1:51 AM by Maurice Berger

According to a DailyKos/Research 2000 poll, 48% of Texas Republicans think their state should be an independent nation while 48% think it should remain part of the United States.
Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) floated the notion of secession at a recent tax protest. Among all Texans, 61% want their state to remain part of the Union while 35% prefer an independent nation.

Do Texans Support Leaving The Union?

Posted Apr 20, 2009 at 1:49 AM by Maurice Berger

Last Wednesday, Texas Republican Governor Rick Perry, in response to a reporter’s question about secession at a protest "tea party," said Wednesday, "We've got a great union. There's absolutely no reason to dissolve it. But if Washington continues to thumb their nose at the American people, you know, who knows what might come out of that? But Texas is a very unique place, and we're a pretty independent lot to boot." Do the voters of Texas support the idea of leaving the union? The answer in short is no, though a surprisingly large number believe the state has at least the right to succession: "31% of Texas voters say that their state has the right to secede from the United States and form an independent country . . . [but if] the matter was put to a vote, it wouldn’t even be close. 75% of Lone Star State voters would opt to remain in the United States. Only 18% would vote to secede, and 7% are not sure what they'd choose."

Voters Continue To Rate Taxation As Important Issue

Posted Apr 08, 2009 at 1:29 AM by Maurice Berger

A new Rasmussen Reports survey suggests that voters continue to rate taxation as an important issue: "While the economy remains the top issue nationwide, taxes are moving up on the priority list . . . 64% of voters see taxation as very important; it’s highest level in nearly two years. Last month, 61% said taxes were very important to them. Prior to that survey, that number never rose above 60%.Another 26% now see taxes as a somewhat important issue, while only 8% say taxes are not very or not at all important in terms of how they will vote" Significantly for the Obama administration and Congress, 81% of voters say it is important to keep the middle class tax cuts promised in the president's budget.

Rasmussen Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters
April 1-4, 2009

Issue                                                              Very Important
 

Economy

85%

Gov't Ethics/Corruption

77%

Taxes

64%

Nat'l Security/War on Terror

64%

Health Care

62%

Social Security

62%

Education

60%

Immigration

55%

War In Iraq

44%

Abortion

40%