Today’s Map Today monitors the current status of the race.
270 Needed to Win.
| Toss Up | ||
| Total | 0 | |
 |
Too close to call | 0 |
| Hilary Clinton (Democrat) | ||
| Total | 322 | |
 |
Safe | 203 |
 |
Leaning | 119 |
| Donald Trump (Republican) | ||
| Total | 216 | |
 |
Safe | 143 |
 |
Leaning | 73 |
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 8:11 PM by Maurice Berger
Like, Florida, Clinton is out-performing Obama's 2012 numbers. He lost the state by a whisker. But Trump counties have not all reported consistent. But at 85% in Durham County, Clinton is building a firewall. But many of the smaller GOP counties are still out.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 8:07 PM by Maurice Berger
Polling over the past three days in Ohio have showed the race moving away from Trump. Our guess is that the state will still be close, but we are now wondering if Clinton might win the state. Especially if the larger, urban counties are coming in more slowly.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 7:51 PM by Maurice Berger
If you are watching election returns, a few things to know. Small, often rural and GOP counties report first. They tend to have small populations relative to urban, Democratic strongholds. They tend to come in later and have a much greater structural burden, re: counting hundreds of thousands of ballots. So keep things in perspective, whether you are Clinton or Trump.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 7:18 PM by Maurice Berger
Data will slowly drift in the early hours of ballot counting. So no leads or trends to report at this point.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 6:07 PM by Maurice Berger
Internal campaign sources from both the Trump and Clinton campaign believe that the GOP candidate will fall short in the hunt for electoral votes. Stay tuned.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 6:05 PM by Maurice Berger
According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading in eight out of eight key battleground states:
Florida: Clinton 49% Trump 45%
Iowa: Clinton 47% Trump 46%
Colorado: Clinton 47% Trump 42%
Nevada: Clinton 47% Trump 44%
New Hampshire: Clinton 47% Trump 45%
Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45%
Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 45%
Wisconsin: Clinton 49% Trump 42%
Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison, which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is, of course, yet to be proved.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 4:43 PM by Maurice Berger
According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading infive out of seven key battleground states. Over the past few houses, their tallies have shown the race tightening somewhat. It is also unclear whether they have fixed their calculation problem to include all three voter tiers--early, pre-election polling, and election day voting:
Florida: Clinton 48% Trump 45% D+3
Iowa: Trump 46% Clinton 45% R+1
Colorado: Clinton 46% Trump 43% D+3
Nevada: Clinton 46% Trump 45% D+1
Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45% R+1
Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 45% D+3
Wisconsin: Clinton 48% Trump 43% D+5
These numbers are based only on election day voting numbers. So we'll need to wait until they're reconciled with early vote analysis and pre-election polling. Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison, which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is, of course, yet to be proved. And complete tallys are not, as yet, available.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 2:36 PM by Maurice Berger
According to Votecastr, which calculates approximate votes tallies on an ongoing basis through election day, Clinton is leading in seven out of eight key battleground states:
Florida: Clinton 49% Trump 45%
Iowa: Trump 46% Clinton 45%
Colorado: Clinton 47% Trump 42%
Nevada: Clinton 47% Trump 44%
New Hampshire: Clinton 47% Trump 43%
Ohio: Clinton 46% Trump 45%
Pennsylvania: Clinton 48% Trump 44%
Wisconsin: Clinton 49% Trump 43%
This numbers are based only on election day voting numbers. So we'll need to wait until they're reconciled with early vote analysis and pre-election polling. Exit polling is provided by Votecastr (and Edison, which is used by all other media outlets). Their tally updates all day as voting patterns change. The accuracy of their novel methodology is, of course, yet to be proved. And complete tallys are not, as yet, available.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 10:57 AM by Maurice Berger
According to the new voting analysis site, Votecastr, Hillary Clinton has a roughly +3% lead over Donald Trump in early voting in Florida.
Posted Nov 08, 2016 at 9:20 AM by Maurice Berger
Our final tally for the hunt for electoral votes! Checks out Today's and Tomorrow's map for the details.
11/08/2016
FINAL: Clinton-322 Trump-216 TCTC-0
11/07/2016
Clinton-307 Trump-216 TCTC-15
11/07/2016
Clinton-308 Trump-215 TCTC-15
11/05/2016
Clinton-297 Trump-215 TCTC-26
11/03/2016
Clinton-312 Trump-215 TCTC-11
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