Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

PA US Senate 2010: Leans Republican

Posted Feb 26, 2010 at 1:19 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania finds Republican Pat Toomey leading both potential democratic rivals Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak by double-digits in general election match ups. Toomey bests Specter, 44% to 34%, and leads Sestak, 38% to 20%. Nevertheless, with a large undecided block, PollTrack continues to rate the race a toss up.

PollTrack Early Read in Pennsylvania: Toss Up

Nevada US Senate 2010: Harry Reid Still Behind

Posted Feb 25, 2010 at 1:20 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Incumbent US Senator and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid continues to trail his Republican rival in Nevada, now by -8%.

 

PollTrack Early Read--Nevada US Senate: Leans Republican

IN US Senate 2010: With Democrat Bayh Out, State Leans Republican

Posted Feb 24, 2010 at 1:20 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

With Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh out, PollTrack now changes its preliminary read of the state's upcoming Senate race:

PollTrack Early Read: Indiana US Senate Leans Republican

 

NY US Senate 2010: Democrat Gillibrand Has Edge Over Ford

Posted Feb 23, 2010 at 1:36 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Who is ahead in the possible Democratic primary for US Senate in New York? A new Siena College poll finds incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) holds a significant +26% lead over former Rep. Harold Ford--42% to 16%. In general election hypothetical match-ups, Gillibrand trails former GOP Gov. George Pataki, 47% to 41%, but she trounces Daily News publisher Mort Zuckerman, 49% to 29%.

OH US Senate 2010: No Clear Leader

Posted Feb 22, 2010 at 1:40 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

In hypothetical match ups in the Ohio US Senate race--against Democrats Lee Fischer and Jennifer Brunner--Republican Rob Portman leads by +4% on average. Still, PollTrack rates the race too-close-to-call.

PollTrack Early Read--Ohio US Senate: Toss-Up

Louisiana US Senate 2010: Republican Vitter Favored

Posted Feb 17, 2010 at 2:07 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in Louisiana, incumbent Republican David Vitter, though damaged by scandal, maintains the clear edge in reelection bid. PollTrack First Call: Likely Republican

IN US Senate 2010: With Bayh Out, A Toss Up

Posted Feb 16, 2010 at 2:28 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in Indiana, incumbent Democrat Evan Bayh's departure greatly improves Republican chances in the state. PollTrack First Call: Toss Up.

WI US Senate 2010: Democrat Feingold Now Clear Favorite

Posted Feb 15, 2010 at 2:04 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in Wisconsin, incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold is likely to win reelection. PollTrack First Call: Likely Democrat

PA US Senate 2010: A Dead Heat

Posted Feb 15, 2010 at 2:04 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of Democrat US Senator Arlen Specter's 2010 reelection bid in Pennsylvania, neither party has an edge. PollTrack First Call: Toss Up.

DE US Senate: Democrats May Be In Trouble

Posted Feb 12, 2010 at 3:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race for Delaware's open seat, popular US Congressman Mike Castle has the edge in this Democrat-leaning state. PollTrack First Call: Likely Republican

OH US Senate 2010: No Clear Leader

Posted Feb 12, 2010 at 3:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race for Ohio's open seat, neither party has an edge in this key swing state. PollTrack First Call: Toss Up.

Illinois US Senate: Toss Up

Posted Feb 11, 2010 at 3:44 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race for Illinois's open seat, neither party has an edge in this Democrat-leaning state. PollTrack First Call: Toss Up.

NY US Senate 2010: Democrat Gillibrand Has Edge

Posted Feb 11, 2010 at 3:44 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in New York, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand appears to have the edge in this Democrat-leaning state. PollTrack First Call: Leans Democrat.

CA US Senate: Democratic Incumbent Has Edge

Posted Feb 10, 2010 at 3:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in California, incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer appears to have the edge in this Democrat-leaning state. PollTrack First Call: Leans Democrat.

NC US Senate: Incumbent Republican Showing Surprising Strength

Posted Feb 10, 2010 at 3:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in North Carlina, incumbent Republican Richard Burr is showing surprising strength after a rocky year. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

NH US Senate: Leans Red

Posted Feb 09, 2010 at 2:28 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in New Hampshire, the open seats leans red. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

Kentucky Us Senate: Open Seat Leans Red

Posted Feb 09, 2010 at 2:27 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in Kentucky, the open seats seams a tough win for the Democrats. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

Nevada US Senate 2010: Harry Reid Endangered

Posted Feb 08, 2010 at 2:35 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in Nevada, incumbent Democrat Harry Reid has fallen behind in his race for reelection. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

MO US Senate: Slight Edge To The GOP

Posted Feb 05, 2010 at 5:46 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race for Missouri's open seat, neither party has a clear edge in this traditional bellwether state (though it has been trending slightly Republican in recent years, it's other US Senator is a moderate Democrat). Still, PollTrack sees the race as slightly more favorable to the GOP. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

CO US Senate 2010: Leans Republican

Posted Feb 04, 2010 at 2:09 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in the key swing state of Colorado, incumbent Democrat Michael Bennet has fallen behind in his race for reelection. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

Arkansas US Senate: Democtic Incumbent In Trouble

Posted Feb 03, 2010 at 1:41 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in Arkansas, incumbent Democrat Blanche Lincoln has fallen behind in his race for reelection. The latest Public Policy Polling survey has Rep. John Boozman (R) leading Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) by a a very wide margin, 56% to 33%. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

FL US Seante 2010: Republican Has The Edge

Posted Feb 02, 2010 at 1:15 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race for Florida's open seat, the GOP has a considerable advantage. PollTrack First Call: Likely Republican

CT + ND US Senate 2010: Dominant Parties Have Edge

Posted Feb 01, 2010 at 1:11 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race in two states with dominant political parties and strong candidates representing those parties--Connecticut (Democrat) and North Dakota (Republican)--the races are easy calls at this point. In ND, a very likely GOP win would represent a Republican pick up (it had previously been held by Democrat Byron Dorgan). CT's seat was held by retiring Democrat, Christopher Dodd, and should remain in Democratic hands.  

PollTrack First Call Connecticut: Safe Democrat

PollTrack First Call North Dakota: Safe Republican

US Senate 2010 Analysis: Now Through 15 February

Posted Feb 01, 2010 at 1:09 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

For the next two weeks, PollTrack will be offering daily analysis of each of the competitive upcoming US Senate races. PollTrack's cycle of analysis will continue periodically until our US Senate map goes live in the spring. Stay tuned. Today's races: Connecticut and North Dakota.