Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

New Jersey Republican Governor Unpopular

Posted Apr 30, 2010 at 12:42 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

After just three months in office, the Republican Governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie, has lost considerable support in the state, according to a new SurveyUSA poll. His approval rating is now only 33%; nearly twice the number, 63% disapprove.

CA US Senate: Tom Cambell Leads Republican Primary Pack

Posted Apr 29, 2010 at 12:53 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new SurveyUSA poll in California reports that Tom Campbell now leads the Republican U.S. Senate primary race with 34%. Carly Fiorina garners 27% and Chuck DeVore is at 14%. Another 23% are undecided about a candidate to challenge incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer this fall.

CA Governor 2010: Meg Whitman Out Front in GOP Primary

Posted Apr 28, 2010 at 1:30 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new SurveyUSA poll in California reports that Meg Whitman trounces her opposition in the Republican gubernatorial primary: she leads Steve Poizner, 49% to 27%. Six other hypothetical primary challengers receive a combined total of 9% of primary voters; 15% of likely voters remain undecided.

 


 

MD Governor 2010: Incumbent Democrat In Trouble?

Posted Apr 27, 2010 at 1:25 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

After months of leading in the polls, is the incumbent Democratic Governor of Maryland in trouble? A new Rasmussen survey reports that Gov. Martin O'Malley edges former Republican Gov. Bob Ehrlich by a scant +3% in their repeat race for governor--47% to 44%.

FL U.S. Senate 2010: Can Crist Win As An Independent?

Posted Apr 26, 2010 at 12:57 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Can incumbent GOP Governor Charlie Crist win reelection running as an independent candidate if he drops out of the Republican primary? A new Rasmussen survey in Florida reports that he would not be the front runner at this point: presumptive Republican nominee Marco Rubio leads with 37% of likely voters, followed by Crist at 30% and Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek at 22%. 

CA Governor 2010: Democrat Takes Lead

Posted Apr 22, 2010 at 12:29 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released Rasmussen survey in California reports that presumptive nominee Democratic Jerry Brown holds a +6% advantage over his hypothetical challenger, Republican Meg Whitman (R), 44% to 38%. A month ago, Brown and Whitman were tied at 40%.

Arkansas US Senate: Incumbent Holds Lead Over Her Democratic Primary Challenger

Posted Apr 21, 2010 at 1:19 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released DailyKos/Research 2000 poll in Arkansas reports that incumbent Democratic Sen. Blanche Lincoln leads her primary rival Bill Halter by 12 points, 45% to 33%.

Nevada 2010 US Senate: Even With Tea Party Candidate, Democrat Falls Behind

Posted Apr 20, 2010 at 12:41 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Mason-Dixon poll reports that even when third-party and nonpartisan candidates are included on the ballot, Democrat Sen. Harry Reid loses his reelection race to Republican challenger Sue Lowden. Lowden now leads Reid, 47% to 37%, with the other candidates getting very little support.

PollTrack Rating in Nevada: Leans Republican

FL Us Seante 2010: Crist Could Win As Independent

Posted Apr 19, 2010 at 12:59 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Quinnipiac survey in Florida reports that in the Republican primnary for US Senate, Marco Rubio holds a commanding lead over Gov. Charlie Crist, 56% to 33%. In general election match ups, Rubio holds a very modest lead over Democrat Rep. Kendrick Meek (D), 42% to 38% (Crist's lead over Meek is wider, 48% to 34%.). But what if Crist, now poised to loose his Republican primary bid, runs as an independent in the general? According to Quinnipiac, he would win by a slight margin, with Crist at 32%, followed by Rubio at 30% and Meek at 24%. 

Illinois US Senate: Still A Toss Up

Posted Apr 16, 2010 at 1:12 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Rasmussen survey in Illinois shows Republican Rep. Mark Kirk besting Democrat Alexi Giannoulias (D) in their U.S. Senate race, 41% to 37%. With the lead statistically insignificant--and the number of undecided voters high--PollTrack continues to rate the race too close to call.

Nevada 2010 Governor: Republican In The Lead

Posted Apr 15, 2010 at 1:49 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Mason-Dixon poll in Nevada reports that presumptive Republican nominee, Brian Sandoval, leads Democrat  Rory Reid by a wide margin in the race for governor, 50% to 35%. PollTrack rates the race leaning Republican.

NY Gov. 2010: Democrat Cuomo Ahead Of All Republican Challengers

Posted Apr 14, 2010 at 12:55 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Quinnipiac poll in New York reports that Democratic Attorney General Andrew Cuomo holds commanding leads against all of his hypothetical Republican challengers in the race for Governor: Cuomo bests Rick Lazio, 55% to 26%, Carl Paladino, 60% to 24%, and Democrat turned Republican Steve Levy, 57% to 24%. PollTrack rates the race safe Democrat.

Ohio US Senate 2010: Poll Shows Democrats Ahead, Barely

Posted Apr 13, 2010 at 1:35 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

In the Democratic primary for US Senate in Ohio, A new DailyKos/Research 2000 poll reports that Lee Fisher leads Jennifer Brunner, 35% to 26%, with a whopping 39% still undecided. In the general election the poll shows Democrat Fisher leading Republican Rob Portman, 43% to 39%; Brunner leads by an even smaller margin, 41% to 40%. With the leads statistically insignificant--and the undecided number high--PollTrack continues to rate the race too close to call.

Ohio Governor 2010: New Poll Shows Democrat Ahead

Posted Apr 12, 2010 at 2:12 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new DailyKos/Research 2000 survey in Ohio reports that incumbent Gov. Ted Strickland is ahead of his presumptive challenger Republican John Kasich in the race for governor, 45% to 40%, with 15% still undecided. With the race statistically close--and the undecided number high--PollTrack continues to rate the race too close to call.

Nevada US Senate 2010: Leans Republican

Posted Apr 09, 2010 at 1:34 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Another poll shows Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid behind in his 2010 reelection race: Rasmussen reports that Reid is considerably lagging behind his potential Republican opponents: he trails Sue Lowden, 54% to 39% and is bested by Sharron Angle, 51% to 40%.

PollTrack Read in Nevada: Leans Republican

PA US Senate 2010: Toss Up

Posted Apr 08, 2010 at 12:52 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Pennsylvania finds Pat Toomey (R) currently holds a small lead over Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA), 46% to 43%.

PollTrack continues to rate the race a Toss Up.

 

CA Governor 2010: Another Poll Shows Meg Whitman Out Front

Posted Apr 07, 2010 at 12:23 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Los Angeles Times/USC poll in California reports that Republican gubernatorial candidate Meg Whitman--who continues to lead her GOP primary challenger Steve Poizner by a whopping 40 points--also bests the presumptive Democratic nominee Jerry Brownby a slight margin in a general election match up, 44% to 41%.

CA US Senate: Democratic Incumbent Appears To Lead In Another Poll

Posted Apr 06, 2010 at 1:15 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

While PollTrack continues to rate the US Senate race in California too-close-to-call, a new poll now incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer in the lead: the Los Angeles Times/USC poll reports that in the general election, Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) holds a considerabele advantage over a generic Republican, 48% to 34%, as she seeks her fourth term.

AZ US Senate 2010: John McCain Ahead

Posted Apr 05, 2010 at 2:23 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Incumbent Republican US Senator John McCain appears to be leading in his primary race: A new DailyKos/Research 2000 poll in Arizona finds Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) leading primary challenger J.D. Hayworth (R) by a significant margin, 52% to 37%.

CA US Senate: Democratic Incumbent May Be In Trouble

Posted Apr 02, 2010 at 1:12 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A round of new polling suggests that incumbent Democratic senator Barbara Boxer may be in serious trouble in California. Her lead against hypothetical challenger Carly Fiorina has now dropped to +4.2%, 46% to 41.8%. The two newest polls, including the highly respected Field poll, sow an even smaller lead, at +1%.

PollTrack Early Read: Toss Up

Are Democrats Gaining In Ohio?

Posted Apr 01, 2010 at 1:56 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Are Democrats gaining in Ohio? A new Quinnipiac poll suggests that the answer may be yes. The survey finds that Democrats now lead in both the U.S. Senate and Governor's races. In hypothetical match ups in the Senate race, Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher leads Republican Rob Portman, 41% to 37%; Democratic Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner also edges Portman, albeit by a single point, 38% to 37%, a +6% gain over Quinnipiac's February poll. In the gubernatorial race, incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland leads Republican challenger John Kasich by +5%--43% to 38%.