Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Ohio Governor 2010: Too Close To Call

Posted Jun 30, 2010 at 1:00 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Quinnipiac survey in Ohio reports a small lead for incumbent Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland over Republican challenger John Kasich, 43% to 38%. Another, contradictory, poll by Public Policy Polling survey shows Kasich with a small lead, 43% to 41%.

 

PollTrack Rates The Race Too Close To Call.

NC US Senate: Too Close To Call?

Posted Jun 29, 2010 at 12:47 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

After demonstrating considerable strength in his reelection race, incumbent North Carolina U.S. Senator Richard Burr now finds himself in a virtual tied with his Democratic challenger, Elaine Marshall, according to a new  Rasmussen poll Burr leads Marshall by just one point, 44% to 43%. A SurveyUSA poll, on the other hand, shows Burr with a comfortable +10% lead over Marshall, 50% to 40%. PollTrack continues to give the edge to Burr.

 

PollTrack Rates The Race Leans Republican

AZ US Senate 2010: John McCain Way Ahead In Primary

Posted Jun 28, 2010 at 12:04 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A recently released Magellan Strategies poll in Arizona reports that in the GOP primary for U.S. Senate, incumbent John McCain holds a wide lead of +23% over challenger J.D. Hayworth, 52% to 29%.Significantly, McCain is over the 50% mark, another sign of his strength despite a challenge from his right flank.

PA Governor: Republican In The Lead

Posted Jun 25, 2010 at 12:50 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Pennsylvania shows Republican Tom Corbett leading Democrat Dan Onorato in the race for governor, 45% to 35%.

 

PollTrack Continues To Rate The Race Too-Close-To-Call.

Oklahoma Governor: Likely Republican

Posted Jun 24, 2010 at 1:53 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Sooner Poll in Oklahoma reports that Republican Rep. Mary Fallin holds a solid lead in the race for governor over both possible Democratic rivals: She bests Democratics Drew Edmondson, 50% to 35%, and Jari Askins, 49% to 36%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Republican

NY US Senate 2010: Likely Democrat

Posted Jun 23, 2010 at 1:13 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

It looks like the New York state Democratic strategy of avoiding a primary for incumbent U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand may be working. A new Quinnipiac poll reports that Gillibrand now leads her two possible Republican challengers by significant margins: She has a +20% lead over Bruce Blakeman (46% to 26%) and a +22% lead over David Malpass (47% to 25%).

PollTrack Rates The Race Leaning Democrat

Colorado US Senate 2010: Primary Leaders

Posted Jun 22, 2010 at 1:29 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Denver Post poll in Colorado reports that incumbent  Sen. Michael Bennet leads his Democratic primary challenger Andrew Romanoff among likely voters by a hefty +17%--53% to 36%. In the Republican race, Ken Buck holds an equally impressive lead over Jane Norton, 53% to 37%.

FL U.S. Senate 2010: Crist Far Ahead?

Posted Jun 21, 2010 at 1:49 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

While most polls show the Florida U.S. Senate race close, a new Florida Chamber of Commerce poll tells a different story. It shows independent candidate, Gov. Charlie Crist widening his lead over Republican Marco Rubio and Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek. The poll reports that Crist leads the pack with 42%, followed by Rubio at 31% and Meek at 14%.

Arkansas US Senate: GOP Way Ahead

Posted Jun 18, 2010 at 1:02 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Rasmussen survey in Arkansas reports that Republican Rep. John Boozman is far ahead of incu,bent Democratic Sen. Blanche Lincoln in the U.S. Senate race, 61% to 32%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Leaning Republican

SC U.S. Senate: Safe Republican

Posted Jun 17, 2010 at 1:32 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released Rasmussen poll in South Carolina reports that incumbent Republican Sen. James DeMint is safely ahead of his Democratic challenger Alvin Greene by a whopping +37% margin--58% to 21%.

PollTrack Rates The Race In SC SAFE Republican

LA U.S. Senate: Safe Republican Or Closer?

Posted Jun 16, 2010 at 1:09 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Out this week: slightly conflicting polls on the U.S. Senate race in Louisiana. One poll, from Magellan Strategies shows incu,bent GOP Sen. David Vitter with a substantial +20% lead over his Democratic challenger, Rep. Charles Melancon, 51% to 31%. Another, from Public Policy Polling reports a smaller, +9% lead for Vitter. In that survey, he trails Melancon, 46% to 37%.

PollTrack Rates The Race In LA Likely Republican

CT US Senate 2010: Democrat Blumenthal With Solid Lead Despite Recent Problems

Posted Jun 15, 2010 at 1:10 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Despite recent problems over his misstating of his military record, Democrat Richard Blumenthal holds a solid lead over his Republican challenger Linda McMahon in Connecticut's U.S. Senate race, according to the latest Rasmussen poll. And a just released Quinnipiac poll confirms this finding: in it, Blumenthal leads by a whopping +20%--55% to 35%.

PollTrack rates the race leaning Democrat.

Nevada 2010 US Senate: Reid Remains In Trouble In U.S. Senate Race

Posted Jun 14, 2010 at 2:06 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Rasmussen survey in Nevada suggests that Senate Majority leader Harry Reid continues to have an uphill battle in his race for reelection. The poll reports that Republican Sharron Angle holds a hefty 11-point lead over Democrat Reid, 50% to 39%.Significantly, Angle hovers at the all-important 50% mark in the poll. 

Ohio US Senate 2010: Deadlocked

Posted Jun 11, 2010 at 2:00 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released Rasmussen survey in Ohio reports that the Republican and Democratic candidates for U.S. Senate--Rob Portman and Lee Fisher, respectively--are deadlocked at 43% each.

Missouri U.S. Senate: A Photo Finish?

Posted Jun 10, 2010 at 2:29 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Once again the bellwether state of Missouri reflects the greater reality of a nation politically divided. A new Rasmussen survey of voter preferences in Missouri's U.S. Senate race reports that Republican Roy Blunt and Democrat Robin Carnahan are virtually tied, with Blunt edging out Carnahan, 45% to 44%.

PollTrack rates the race Too-Close-To-Call.

PA U.S. Senate: Another Poll Shows Democrat Sestak With Lead

Posted Jun 09, 2010 at 1:36 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Democratic Party affiliated by Garin Hart Yang Research in Pennsylvania shows Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak with a seven point lead over GOP Rep. Pat Toomey, 47% to 40%.

PollTrack Predictions: Today's Primary Races

Posted Jun 08, 2010 at 1:07 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

AR-U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Runoff: Sen. Blanche Lincoln vs Bill Halter. PollTrack Rates The Race Close With A Slight Edge to Halter.

CA-U.S. Senate Republican Primary: Carly Fiorina, Tom Campbell, Chuck Devore. PollTrack Rates the Race Likely Fiorina.

CA-Republican Gubernatorial Primary: PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Meg Whitman.

IA-Republican Gubernatorial Primary: Former Gov. Terry Branstad vs Bob Vander Plaats. PollTrack Rates The Race Close, With A Slight Lead For Branstad.

ME-Democratic and Republican Gubernatorial Primaries: PollTrack Rates BOTH Races Too-Close-To-Call.

NV-Republican Gubernatorial Primary: Incumbent Gov. Jim Gibbons vs. Brian Sandoval. PollTrack Rates The Race Leaning Sandoval.

NV-U.S. Senate Republican Primary: Sharron Angle, Sue Lowden and Danny Tarkanian. PollTrack Rates the Race Likely Lowden

SC-Republican Gubernatorial Primary: PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Nikki Haley.



Arkansas US Senate: Halter Holds Lead Over Lincoln in Democratic Primary

Posted Jun 07, 2010 at 7:41 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

In yet another case of the weakening position of incumbents, A new DailyKos/Research 2000 survey in Arkansas finds challenger Bill Halter ahead of incumbent Sen. Blanche Lincoln in the Democratic primary runoff election, 49% to 45%, with another 6% still undecided. These results also show that liberal party activists are fired up in the state, given Halter's run to the left of Lincoln.

CA US Senate: Field Poll Confirms Fiorina Ahead in Republican Primary

Posted Jun 07, 2010 at 7:40 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

In line with every other recent survey, the prestigious Field Poll in California now reports that Carly Fiorina leads Tom Campbell in the GOP primary for Senate, 37% to 22%, with Chuck DeVore in third place at 19%.It increasingly looks like incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer's challenger will be Fiorina.

CA Governor 2010: Field Poll Reports Meg Whitman With Big Lead

Posted Jun 07, 2010 at 1:27 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

The Field Poll in California reports that Meg Whitman now holds a 2 to 1 lead over Steve Poizer in the Republican gubernatorial primary--51% to 25%--with another 18% undecided. Another survey by Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research tracking poll shows Whitman with a similar lead over Poizner, 48% to 20%.

PollTrack rates the race likely Whitman.

 

CA Governor 2010: Whitman Leads Republican Primary; Brown Leads Whitman In The General

Posted Jun 04, 2010 at 12:15 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new USC/Los Angeles Timesl in California reports that Meg Whitman holds a whopping 24 point lead over Steve Poizner in the Republican primary for governor, 53% to 29%. In a general election match up, Democrat Jerry Brown leads Whitman by si points, 44% to 38%.With a large number of undecided voters up for grabs, the race now appears to be too-close-to-call.

Kentucky Us Senate: Seat Leans Slightly Red

Posted Jun 04, 2010 at 12:14 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Bluegrass Poll in Kentucky reports that Republican Rand Paul holds a six point lead over Democrat Jack Conway in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 45%.

CA US Senate: Democrat Boxer Leads Republican Fiorina

Posted Jun 03, 2010 at 1:08 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new USC/Los Angeles Times poll reports that in a general election match up, incumbent Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer leads Republican Carly Fiorina, 44% to 38%. Last week, a DailyKos/Research 2000 poll reported a similar result, with Boxer leading Republican Tom Campbell, 47% to 40%, Carly Fiorina, 48% to 39%, and iChuck DeVore, 47% to 38%.The relatively high number of undecided voters suggests that the race is close, with Boxer maintaining a slight edge.

CA US Senate: Fiorina Ahead in Republican Primary

Posted Jun 02, 2010 at 1:04 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new USC/Los Angeles Times poll in California suggests that Carly Fiorina has retaken the momentum against Tom Campbell in the Republican Senate primary race, 38% to 23%; Chuck DeVore trails at16%.

 

PA U.S. Senate: Democrat Sestak Holds Tiny Lead

Posted Jun 01, 2010 at 1:30 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A DailyKos/Research 2000 poll in Pennsylvania reports that Democrat Rep. Joe Sestak leads Republican nominee Pat Toomey in the U.S. Senate race, 43% to 40%.

PollTrack rates the race too-close-to-call.