Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

Nevada US Senate 2010: Still Too-Close-To-Call

Posted Aug 31, 2010 at 2:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon poll in Nevada reports that incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Harry Reid holds a tiny lead over Republican challenger and Tea Party favorite Sharron Angle among likely voters in the U.S. Senate race, 45% to 44%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Too-Close-To-Call

Michigan Governor 2010: Looks Like A GOP Take Over

Posted Aug 30, 2010 at 2:30 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

It looks like the governorship in Michigan is headed for a GOP take over. A new EPIC/MRA poll in the state reports that Republican Rick Snyderholds a commanding lead over Democrat Virg Bernero in the race for governor, 51% to 29%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Republican

WV Special Election US Senate: Safe Democrat

Posted Aug 27, 2010 at 1:57 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A RL Repass & Partners poll in West Virginia reports that incumbent Democratic Governor Gov. Joe Manchin (D) holds an enormous lead over Republican John Raese for U.S. Senate, 54% to 32%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Safe Democrat

Georgia Governor 2010: Close

Posted Aug 27, 2010 at 1:57 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new InsiderAdvantage/WSB-TV poll in Georgia reports that Republican Nathan Deal holds a +4% lead over former Democratic Gov. Roy Barnes in the race for governor, 45% to 41%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Leaning Republican

Arkansas US Senate: Democrat Lincoln Way Behind

Posted Aug 26, 2010 at 2:02 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll--which is in sync with other recently released polls in the state--incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Blanche Lincoln is way behind in her reelection bid. The latest poll reports that Republican Congressman John Boozman leads Lincoln by a whopping +38%, 65% to 27%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Republican

Washington US Senate Race 2010: Too-Close-To-Call

Posted Aug 25, 2010 at 1:02 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Recent polls have been showing a tight reelection race for Democratic U.S. Senator Patty Murray in Washington state. A new SurveyUSA poll in Washington reports that Republican Dino Rossi leads Murray by a larger +7% margin, 52% to 45%.


PollTrack Moves The Race From Leaning Democrat to Too-Close-To-Call

LA U.S. Senate: Leaning Republican

Posted Aug 24, 2010 at 2:19 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Clarus Research poll in Louisiana reports that incumbent Republican Sen. David Vitter leads Democratic Rep. Charlie Melancon in the U.S. Senate race by +12%, 48% to 36%.

 

PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Republican

Kentucky US Senate 2010: Is The Race Tightening?

Posted Aug 23, 2010 at 1:15 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Braun Reseach poll in Kentucky reports that Democrat Jack Conway virtually tied with Republican Rand Paul in the U.S. Senate race. Conway leads Paul by a statistically insignificant margin, 41.7% to 41.2%.

 

PollTrack Continues To Rate The Race Leaning Republican

 

Nevada Governor 2010: Likely Republican

Posted Aug 20, 2010 at 12:53 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon poll in Nevada reports that Republican Brian Sandoval holds a big, +16% lead over Democrat Rory Reid in the race for governor, 52% to 36%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Likely Republican

Kentucky US Senate 2010: Republican Rand Paul In The Lead

Posted Aug 19, 2010 at 1:33 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll in Kentucky reports that Republican Rand Paul (and Tea Party favorite) holds a +5% lead in the U.S. Senate race Democrat over Jack Conway, 45% to 40%.

Will GOP Enthusiasm Help Rubio In Florida's US Senate Race?

Posted Aug 18, 2010 at 1:20 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

The big question hanging over Gov. Charlie Crist's independent bid for US Senate in Florida concerns the relative enthusiasm of voters: Will the strong enthusiasm polls are picking up among GOP voters ultimately help Republican Marc Rubio in November? A new Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Ipsos poll spots "a potentially major advantage for Rubio . . . that three-quarters of Republicans said they were certain to go the polls, while less than half of Democrats said they were a sure bet. The stronger motivation among Republican voters reflects polls nationwide and has boosted the party's hopes of taking back Congress in November."

FL US Senator 2010: Independent Crist With Slight Lead

Posted Aug 17, 2010 at 1:32 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Ipsos poll in Florida reports that independent candidate--and incumbent Republican Governor--Charlie Crist holds a tiny lead afainst Republican Marco Rubio in the U.S. Senate race, 32% to 30%, with Democrat Jeff Greene well behind at 19%. If Rep. Kendrick Meek secures the Democratic nomination, Crist's lead widens to +4%, beating Rubio 33% to 29%, while Meek gets 17%.

Interestingly, Crist's job approval ratings--as Florida Governor-- "have dropped to an all-time low for him -- 44% -- and represent the lowest posted by a Florida governor in 16 years," according to a recent Mason-Dixon poll.

Apologies For Outage

Posted Aug 16, 2010 at 5:51 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Apologies to those of you trying to access the site over the weekend. We experienced an outage due to factors beyond our control. We are now up and running . . . with new posts and updates throughout the week.

Colorado Governor 2010: Democrat In Lead

Posted Aug 13, 2010 at 2:11 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released Public Policy Polling survey in Colorado suggests that Democrat John Hickenlooper holds a strong lead over his Republican challenger, Dan Maes in the race for governor, 50% to 38%. The prospect of a likely third party rung by Tom Tancredo improves the Democrat's standing even more: Hickenlooper's lead grows to +25%, with Hickenlooper at 48%, followed by Tancredo at 23% and Maes at 22%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Leans Democrat

Rhode Island Governor: Tied Up

Posted Aug 12, 2010 at 1:37 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released Brown University poll reports that Democrat Frank Caprio and former U.S. Senator and independent candidate Lincoln Chafee are statistically tied in the race for governor. The Democrat holds a slight lead in this very Democratic state with 28%, followed by Chaffee at 27%, and Republican John Robitaille at 8%.

Indiana U.S. Senate: Safe Republican

Posted Aug 11, 2010 at 1:55 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Polling Company poll in Indiana finds former Republican Senator Dan Coats best Democrat Rep. Brad Ellsworth in the U.S. Senate race by a significant margin, 50% to 35%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Safe Republican

Kentucky Us Senate: Leans Slightly Red

Posted Aug 10, 2010 at 12:44 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Braun Research poll in Kentucky reports that Republican candidate and Tea Party favorite Rand Paul now holds a double-digit lead over Democrat Jack Conway (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 41% to 31%. A large number of respondents remain undecided.

PollTrack Rates The Race Leaning Republican

Missouri U.S. Senate: A Slight Republican Advantage

Posted Aug 09, 2010 at 1:55 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A We Ask America poll in Missouri reports that Republican Roy Blunt maintains a very modest lead over Democrat Robin Carnahan in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 43%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Leans Republican

Oregon US Senate 2010: Likely Democratic

Posted Aug 06, 2010 at 1:36 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new SurveyUSA poll in Oregon shows incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden significantly ahead of Republican challenger Jim Huffman, 53% to 35%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Safe Democratic

FL Governor 2010: Tight Race

Posted Aug 04, 2010 at 1:32 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A Quinnipiac poll in Florida reports a very close three-way race for governor between Democrat Alex Sink, and either potential Republican candidate, Rick Scott or Bill McCollum, and independent candidate Bud Chiles. Scott leads the pack at 29%, followed by Sink at 27% and Chiles 14%; McCollum would lead with 27%, followed by Sink at 26%, and Chiles at 14%.

FL U.S. Senate 2010: Another Poll Shows Crist Ahead In Independent Bid

Posted Aug 03, 2010 at 1:09 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Another poll suggests that independent Charlie Crist--currently incumbent Republican governor--may have the lead in the state's race for U.S. Senator. The just released Florida Poll reports that Crist holds a significant +11% lead in the three-way race: He now has the support of 41%, followed by Republican Marco Rubio at 30% and Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek at 12%. If Jeff Greene is the Democratic nominee, Crist wins, but by a smaller margin: in that scenario, he gets 37% to Rubio's 29% and Greene's 16%. Earlier in the week, a Quinnipiac poll reported that Crist was leading, but by a smaller margin. In that poll, he garnered 37%, followed by Rubio at 32% and Greene at 17%.

Nevada US Senate 2010: Has Republican Angle Stopped The Bleeding?

Posted Aug 02, 2010 at 2:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

One new poll in Nevada suggests that Republican Sharon Angle's downward spiral may have stopped in the race for U.S. Senate. The survey, by Mason-Dixon, shows incumbent Democratic Sen. Harry Reid and challenger Angle are nearly tied. Reid tops Angle among likely voters by a scant 1%, 43% to 42%. Two weeks ago, he held a more significant +7% lead.