Posted Oct 31, 2010 at 10:07 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Tune into PollTrack for live blogging on Election Night, 2
November at 6:00 EST. We'll have constant updates and polling analysis
throughout the evening on key races in the U.S. House and Senate plus
Governor's races.
Posted Oct 31, 2010 at 10:01 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-29 TCTC-4 DEM-16 IND-1
California: Leaning
Democrat DEM+6.4%
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat DEM+7.6%
*Connecticut: Too-Close-To-Call Leaning
Democrat DEM-0.3%
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call REP+1.7%
*Hawaii: Leaning
Democrat Too-Close-To-Call DEM+6.5
Illinois: Leaning
Republican REP+4.5%
Massachusetts: Leaning
Democrat DEM+4.6
Minnesota: Leaning
Democrat DEM+5.4%
Ohio: Leaning Republican REP+3.0%
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call DEM+0.4%
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican REP+7.0%
Rhode Island: Leaning Independent IND+8.0%
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call DEM+5.0%
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, MD, NH, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, GA, IA, ME, MI, NM, NV, OK,
SC, TX, WI
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 31, 2010 at 9:35 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010 Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-50 TCTC-2 REP-48
Alaska: Leaning Independent (Since both of the two leading candidates has promised to
caucus with the GOP, this race will continue to count in the GOP column.) IND +5.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+4.3%
*Colorado: Leaning Republican (From Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Connecticut: Likely Democratic DEM +10.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP REP +3.5%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +8.3%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
*Nevada: Leaning Republican (From Too-Close-To-Call) REP +4.0%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
*Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican (From Too-Close-To-Call) REP +3.8%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call TIE
*West Virginia: Leaning Democrat Too-Close-To-Call DEM
+4.5%
Wisconsin: Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 30, 2010 at 3:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-6 DEM-15 IND-1
California: Leaning
Democrat
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Leaning
Democrat
Minnesota: Too-Close-To-Call (From Leaning
Democrat)
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leaning
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leaning Independent IND-1 (From Too-Close-To-Call)
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 30, 2010 at 3:14 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010 Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-6 REP-45
Alaska: Leaning Independent (Since both of the two leading candidates has promised to
caucus with the GOP, this race will continue to count in the GOP column.) IND +5.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+4.0%
Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Connecticut: Likely Democratic DEM +14.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +8.3%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
*West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call (From Leaning Democrat) DEM
+4.5%
Wisconsin: Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 28, 2010 at 4:28 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-5 DEM-16 IND-1
California: Leaning
Democrat
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Leaning
Democrat
Minnesota: Leaning
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leaning
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leaning Independent IND-1 (From Too-Close-To-Call)
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 28, 2010 at 4:28 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010 Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-50 TCTC-5 REP-45
*Alaska: Leaning Independent (From Too-Close-To-Call) (Since both of the two leading candidates has promised to
caucus with the GOP, this race will continue to count in the GOP column.) IND +5.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+4.0%
Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Connecticut: Likely Democratic DEM +14.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +8.3%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
West Virginia: Leaning Democrat DEM
+4.8%
Wisconsin: Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: US Senate RACE CHART, 2010
Posted Oct 27, 2010 at 4:10 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010 Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-50 TCTC-5 REP-45
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5% (Since both of the two leading candidates has promised to
caucus with the GOP, this race will now count in the GOP column.)
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+4.0%
Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Connecticut: Likely Democratic DEM +14.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +8.3%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
*West Virginia: Leaning Democrat (from Too-Close-To-Call) DEM
+4.8%
Wisconsin: Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 27, 2010 at 4:09 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-6 DEM-16
California: Leaning
Democrat
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Leaning
Democrat
Minnesota: Leaning
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leaning
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning
Democrat)
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 27, 2010 at 1:54 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-6 DEM-16
California: Leaning
Democrat
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Leaning
Democrat
Minnesota: Leans
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
*Rhode Island: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leans
Democrat)
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 27, 2010 at 1:54 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010 Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-6 REP-45
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5% (Since both of the two leading candidates has promised to
caucus with the GOP, this race will now count in the GOP column.)
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+4.0%
Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
*Connecticut: Likely Democratic (from Leaning Democrat) DEM +14.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
*Kentucky: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call) REP +8.3%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 26, 2010 at 5:14 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010 Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-7 REP-44
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5% (Since both of the two leading candidates has promised to caucus with the GOP, this race will now count in the GOP column.)
*California: Leaning Democrat (From Too-Close-To-Call) DEM
+4.0%
Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Connecticut: Leaning Democrat DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Too-Close-To-Call REP +4.0%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 26, 2010 at 5:14 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls for competitive U.S. Senate Races:
CALIFORNIA: Los Angeles Times/USC Democratic U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer leads republican Carly Fiorina, 50% to
42%.
COLORADO: SurveyUSA Democratic U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet is tied with Republican Ken Buck at 47% each; Public Policy Polling Bennet tied with Buck at 47%.
FLORIDA: St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald Republican Marco Rubio leads Independent candidate, Gov. Charlie
Crist, 41% to 26%, with Democratic Rep.
Kendrick Meek at 20%.
ILLINOIS: Chicago Tribune/WGN GOP Rep. Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias, 44% to 41%
MISSOURI: Mason-Dixon Republican Roy Blunt leads Democrat Robin Carnahan, 49% to 40%.
PENNSYLVANIA: Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Republican Pat Toomey leads Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak, 47% to 42%.
WEST VIRGINIA: Public Policy Polling Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin leads Republican John Raese, 50% to 44%.
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 25, 2010 at 1:57 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-5 DEM-17
California: Leaning
Democrat
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat (from Likely Democrat)
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
*Massachusetts: Leaning
Democrat (From Too-Close-To-Call)
Minnesota: Leans
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 25, 2010 at 1:56 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls in the close races for governor:
CALIFORNIA: Los Angeles Times/USC Democrat Jerry Brown leads Republican Meg Whitman, 52% to 39%.
COLORADO: SurveyUSA Democrat John Hickenlooper leads
Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo,
49% to 39%, with Republican Dan Maes at 9%.
FLORIDA: St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald Republican Rick Scott leads Democrat Alex Sink, 44% to 41%.
ILLINOIS: Mason-Dixon Republican Bill Brady's leads Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, 44% to 40%.
MARYLAND: Baltimore Sun Democratic Gov. Martin O'Malley leads Republican Bob Ehrlich, 52% to 38%.
MASSACHUSETTS: Boston Globe Democratic Gov. Deval Patrick leads Republican Charles Baker, 43% to 39%, with independent Timothy Cahill at 8%
and Green-Rainbow candidate Jill Stein at 2%.
MINNESOTA: Star Tribune Minnesota Democrat Mark Dayton leads Republican Tom Emmer, 41% to 34%, with Independent Tom Horner at 13%.
NORTH CAROLINA: Insider Advantage Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen, 51% to 37%.
OHIO: Dayton Daily News/Ohio Newspaper Republican John Kasich leads Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland, 49% to 47%.
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 22, 2010 at 2:03 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls in competitive races for governor:
CALIFORNIA: SurveyUSA Democrat Jerry Brown leads Republican Meg Whitman, 47% to 40%; Public Policy Institute of California Brown leads Whitman, 44% to 36%.
COLORADO: Fox News Democrat John Hickenlooper leads Independent Tom Tancredo, 45% to 40%; Reuters/Ipsos Hickenlooper leads Tancredo, 46% to 35%, with GOP candidate Maes at 14%.
GEORGIA: InsiderAdvantage Republican Nathan Deal leads Democrat Roy Barnes, 45% to 40%.
ILLINOIS: Public Policy Polling Republican Bill Brady leads Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn, 42% to 41%.
MARYLAND: Gonzales Research Democratic Gov. Martin O'Malley leads former GOP Gov. Bob
Ehrlich, 47% to 42%.
NEW YORK: Siena Democrat Andrew Cuomo leads Republican Carl
Paladino, 63% to 26%.
NORTH CAROLINA: Rasmussen Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen, 47% to 38%.
OHIO: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland leads John Kasich, 48% to 47%; Quinnipiac Republican John Kasich leads Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland, 51% to 41%.
OREGON: DailyKos/Public Policy Polling Democrat John Kitzhaber leads Chris Dudley, 48% to 47%.
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 21, 2010 at 1:12 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls for competitive races for U.S. Senate:
ALASKA: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Independent write-in candidate, Republican U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski is tied with Republican Joe Miller at 37% each; Democrat Scott
McAdams is at 23%.
CALIFORNIA: SurveyUSA Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer leads Republican Carly Fiorina, 46% to 44%.
COLORADO: Fox News poll Republican Ken Buck leads Democratic U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet, 46% to 45%.
ILLINOIS: Public Policy Polling Republican Rep. Mark Kirkleads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias, 42% to 40%.
KENTUCKY: Rasmussen survey Republican Rand Paul leads Democrat Jack Conway, 47% to 42%; Mason-Dixon Paul leads Conway, 48% to 43%.
NORTH CAROLINA: Public Policy Polling Republican Sen. Richard Burr leads Democrat Elaine Marshall, 48% to 40%.
PENNSYLVANIA: Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak leads Republican Pat Toomey, 44% to 41%, with 15% still undecided; Public Policy Polling Sestak leads Toomey, 46% to 45%.
WASHINGTON: McClatchy-Marist Democrat Sen. Patty Murray leads Republican
Dino Rossi, 48% to 47%; Public Policy Polling Democratic Sen. Patty Murray leads Republican Dino Rossi, 49% to 47%.
WEST VIRGINIA: Rasmussen Republican John Raese leads Democrat Gov. Joe Manchin, 50% to 43%; Public Policy Polling Sestak leads Toomey, 46% to 45%.
WISCONSIN: Wisconsin Public Radio Republican Ron Johnson leads Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold, 49% to 47%.
Posted Oct 21, 2010 at 1:12 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-48 TCTC-9 REP-43
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
California: Too-Close-To-Call DEM
+3.7%
Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call REP +2.0%
Connecticut: Leaning Democrat DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Too-Close-To-Call REP +4.0%
Missouri: Likely Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
*Pennsylvania: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Republican) REP +2.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +4%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 20, 2010 at 1:51 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-6 DEM-16
California: Leaning
Democrat
Colorado: Leaning
Democrat (from Likely Democrat)
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
Minnesota: Leans
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
*Ohio: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 20, 2010 at 1:51 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-48 TCTC-8 REP-44
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
California: Too-Close-To-Call DEM
+3.7%
*Colorado: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Republican) REP +2.0%
Connecticut: Leaning Democrat DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
*Kentucky: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Republican) REP +4.0%
Missouri: Likely Republican (from Leaning Republican) REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
*Washington: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Democrat) DEM + 4.0%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT strong>
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 19, 2010 at 1:26 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-27 TCTC-7 DEM-16
California: Leaning
Democrat
*Colorado: Leaning
Democrat (from Likely Democrat)
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Too-Close-To-Call
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
Minnesota: Leans
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Too-Close-To-Call
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: US Governor RACE CHART, 2010
Posted Oct 19, 2010 at 1:26 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls in competitive U.S. Senate races:
CALIFORNIA: Reuters/Ipsos Democratic U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer just edges out Republican
Carly Fiorina, 46% to 45%.
COLORADO: Rasmussen Republican Ken Buck leads Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet, 47% to 45%.
WASHINGTON: Washington Poll Democratic U.S. Sen. Patty Murray leads Republican Dino Rossi, 50% to 42%.
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 18, 2010 at 12:56 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls in competitive gubernatorial races:
CALIFORNIA: Reuters/Ipsos Democrat Jerry Brown leads Republican Meg Whitman, 48% to 44%.
Rasmussen reports Democrat Jerry Brown leading Meg Whitman, 50% to 44%.
COLORADO: Rasmussen Democrat John Hickenlooper leads IndependentTom Tancredo, 42% to 38%, with Republican Dan Maes at 12%.
FLORIDA: Sunshine State News Democrat Alex Sink leads Republican Rick Scott, 48% to 45%.
NEW MEXICO: SurveyUSA Republican Susana Martinez leads Democrat Diane Denish, 54% to 42%.
OHIO: Ohio Poll Republican John Kasich leads Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland, 51% to 43% with 6% undecided.
OREGON: SurveyUSA Democrat John Kitzhaber edges Republican Chris Dudley, 46% to 45%.
VERMONT: Vermont Public Radio Republican Brian Dubie leads Democrat Peter Shumlin, 44% to 43%.
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 15, 2010 at 1:20 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here are the latest polls in competitive governor's races:
ARIZONA: Rocky Mountain GOP Gov. Jan Brewer leads Democrat Terry Goddard, 46% to 35%.
FLORIDA: Public Policy Polling Democrat Alex Sink leads Republican Rick Scott, 46% to 41%.
HAWAII: Honolulu Civil Beat Democrat Neil Abercrombie leads Republican Duke Aiona, 47% to 44%.
MAINE: Critical Insights Republican Paul LePage leads Democrat Libby Mitchell, 32% to 26%, with Independent Eliot Cutler at 11%; Rasmussen reports a closer race, with LePage just edging Mitchell, 35% to 32%, and Cutler at 21%.
MASSACHUSETTS: Suffolk University/7News Democrat Deval Patrick leads Republican Charlie Baker, 46% to 39%, with Independent Tim Cahill at 10%.
MICHIGAN: Baydoun Consulting/Foster McCollum Republican Rick Snyder leads Democrat Virg Bernero, 50% to 37%.
NEVADA: Public Policy Polling survey Republican Brian Sandoval's leads Democrat Rory Reid, 52% to 43%.
PENNSYLVANIA: Magellan Strategies survey Republican Tom Corbett leads Democrat Dan Onorato, 48% to 38% with 11%
undecided.
RHODE ISLAND: Quest Research Democrat Frank Caprio leads Independent Lincoln Chafee, 37% to 33%, with Republican John Robitaille at 22%.
SOUTH CAROLINA: Winthrop University poll Republican Nikki Haley leads Democrat Vincent Sheheen, 46% to 37%.
Tagged: Arizona, Florida, Hawaii, Maine, South Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Massachusetts
Posted Oct 15, 2010 at 1:19 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-27 TCTC-7 DEM-16
California: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
*Hawaii: Too-Close-To-Call (From Likely Democrat)
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
*Maine: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Republican)
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
Minnesota: Leans
Democrat
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Too-Close-To-Call
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, CO, NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: US Governor RACE CHART, 2010
Posted Oct 14, 2010 at 1:01 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
More polling in competitive US Senate Races:
FLORIDA: Quinnipiac Republican Marco Rubio swamps Independent Gov. Charlie Crist, 44% to 30%, with Democratic Rep. Kendrick
Meek at 22%.
NEVADA: Suffolk University Democratic US Sen. Harry Reid edges Republican Sharron Angle, 46% to 43%. Rasmussen Angle leads Reid, 49% to 48%.
WASHINGTON: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Democratic Sen. Patty Murray leads Republican Dino Rossi, 51% to 43%.
WEST VIRGINIA: Rasmussen Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin trails Republican John Raese, 49% to 46%,\.
WISCONSIN: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Republican Ron Johnson leads Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold, 52% to 44%.
Tagged: 2010, Nevada, West Virginia, Florida, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 14, 2010 at 1:01 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-5 REP-46
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
* California: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Democrat) DEM
+3.7%
Colorado: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Connecticut: Leaning Democrat DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Missouri: Likely Republican (from Leaning Republican) REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
*Washington: Leaning Democrat (from Too-Close-To-Call DEM + 7.3%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT strong>
Posted Oct 13, 2010 at 1:23 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-5 DEM-17
California: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Leaning Republican
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
Minnesota: Leaning
Democrat (from too-Close-To-Call)
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
North Carolina: Leaning Republican (from Likely Republican)
Ohio: Too-Close-To-Call
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leaning
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leaning
Democrat
*Texas: Likely Republican (from Leaning Republican)
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, CO, HI,
NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 13, 2010 at 1:22 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
Here's a recap of the latest polls in some of the most competitive US Senate races:
ALASKA: DailyKos/Public Policy Polling Republican Joe Miller just edges write-in hopeful and incumbent GOP US Senator Lisa Murkowski, 35% to 33%. Democrat Scott McAdams is at 26%.
CONNECTICUT: Fox News Democrat Richard Blumenthal leads Republican Linda McMahon, 49% to 43%.
DELAWARE: Monmouth University Democrat Chris Coons holds a huge lead over Republican Christine
O'Donnell, 57% to 38%.
ILLINOIS: Rasmussen Democrat Alexi Giannoulias leads GOP Rep. Mark Kirk, 44% to 43%, with Green Party candidate LeAlan
Jones polling at 4%.
NEVADA: Fox News Republican Sharon Angle leads Sen. Harry Reid, 49% to 47%. Public Policy Polling Democrat Reid edges Republican Angle, 49% to 48%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Rasmussen Republican Kelly Ayotte is ahead of Democratic US Rep. Paul Hodes, 51% to 44%.
NORTH CAROLINA: High Point University Republican Sen. Richard Burr leads Democrat Elaine Marshall, 45% to 31%.
WASHINGTON: Elway Democratic Sen. Patty Murray leads Republican Dino Rossi, 51% to 38%. Fox News Republican Rossi just edges Democrat Murray, 47% to 46%.
WISCONSIN Rasmussen Republican Ron Johnson leads Russ Feingold, 52% to 45%. Reuters/Ipsos Johnson leads Feingold, 51% to 44%.
WEST VIRGINIA: Public Policy Polling Democrat Joe Manchin has now reclaimed the lead from Republican John Raese, 48% to 45%.
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART, Connecticut, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Nevada, Washington, West Virginia, Alaska, Delaware
Posted Oct 11, 2010 at 1:51 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-48 TCTC-6 REP-46
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
* California: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Democrat) DEM
+3.7%
Colorado: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Connecticut: Leaning Democrat DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Missouri: Likely Republican (from Leaning Republican) REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +5.3%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 08, 2010 at 1:42 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-5 REP-46
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+6.4%
Colorado: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Connecticut: Leaning Democrat DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
*Missouri: Likely Republican (from Leaning Republican) REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +5.3%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT strong>
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 08, 2010 at 1:42 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-5 DEM-17
California: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Leaning Republican
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
Minnesota: Leans
Democrat (from too-Close-To-Call)
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
*North Carolina: Leaning Republican (from Likely Republican)
Ohio: Too-Close-To-Call
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, CO, HI,
NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 07, 2010 at 1:41 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-5 REP-46
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+6.4%
Colorado: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
*Connecticut: Leaning Democrat(from Too-Close-To-Call) DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Missouri: Leaning Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +5.3%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT strong>
Tagged: US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 06, 2010 at 12:59 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-5 DEM-17
California: Leaning
Democrat
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Leaning Republican
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
*Minnesota: Leans
Democrat (from too-Close-To-Call)
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Too-Close-To-Call
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, CO, HI,
NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 05, 2010 at 1:30 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-49 TCTC-5 REP-46
Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call IND-+4.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+6.4%
Colorado: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
*Connecticut: Leaning Democrat(from Too-Close-To-Call) DEM +6.7%
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Missouri: Leaning Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +5.3%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT strong>
Tagged: US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 05, 2010 at 1:29 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
GOVERNOR RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of Power: REP-28 TCTC-6 DEM-16
*California: Leaning
Democrat (from Too-Close-To-Call)
Connecticut: Leaning
Democrat
Florida: Too-Close-To-Call
Georgia: Leaning Republican
Illinois: Leaning
Republican
Maine: Leaning Republican
Maryland: Leaning
Democrat
Massachusetts: Too-Close-To-Call
Minnesota: Too-Close-To-Call
New Mexico: Leaning Republican
Ohio: Too-Close-To-Call
Oregon: Too-Close-To-Call
New Hampshire: Leans
Democrat
Pennsylvania: Leaning
Republican
Rhode Island: Leans
Democrat
Texas: Leaning Republican
Vermont: Too-Close-To-Call
Wisconsin: Leaning
Republican
Likely/Safe Democrat: AR, CO, HI,
NY
Likely/Safe Republican: AK, AZ, IA, MI, NV, OK,
SC
Tagged: 2010, US Governor RACE CHART
Posted Oct 04, 2010 at 1:44 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
U. S. SENATE RACE CHART 2010
Predicted Balance of
Power: DEM-48 TCTC-6 REP-46
*Alaska: Too-Close-To-Call (from Leaning Republican) IND-+4.5%
California: Leaning Democrat DEM
+6.4%
*Colorado: Leaning Republican (from Too-Close-To-Call) REP +7.0%
Connecticut: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +4.0% (from Likely DEM)
Florida : Likely Republican REP +11.5%
Illinois: Too-Close-To-Call REP +3.0%
Kentucky: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Missouri: Leaning Republican REP +8.0%
Nevada: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +1.3%
New Hampshire: Leaning Republican REP +7.0%
Pennsylvania: Leaning Republican REP +6.0%
Washington: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +5.3%
West Virginia: Too-Close-To-Call DEM +2.0%
Wisconsin : Leaning Republican REP
+8.0%
Likely/Safe DEM: DE, HI, MD, NY-1, NY-2, OR,
VT
Likely/Safe GOP: AR, IN, LA, AL, AZ, GA, IA, ID, KS, ND, OH, OK, SC, SD,
UT
strong>
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART
Posted Oct 01, 2010 at 1:38 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack
A survey by CNN/Time/Opinion Research in Colorado reports that Republican Ken Buck leads incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Michael Bennetfor U.S. Senate by +5% among likely voters, 49% to 44%.
PollTrack Continues To Rate The Race Too-Close-To-Call
Tagged: 2010, US Senate RACE CHART, Colorado