Presidential Race Maps Writing on the Wall

FINAL 2012 US SENATE RACE CHART 54 DEM 0-TCTC 46 REP

Posted Nov 05, 2012 at 5:34 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

2012 US SENATE RACE CHART

55 DEM       0
-TCTC        45 REP



SAFE DEMOCRATIC

CA, DE, ME, MD, MN, NJ, NY, PA, RI, WA, VT, WV

LEANING DEMOCRATIC

CT: Murphy (D) vs McMahon (R)

FL: Nelson (D) vs McGillicuddy (R)

HI: Hirono (D) vs Lingle (R)

IN: Donnelly (D) vs Murdock (R)


MI: Stebenow (D) vs Hoekstra (R)

MA: Warren (D) vs Brown (R

MO: McGaskill (D) vs Akin (R)
MT : Tester (D) vs Rehberg (R)

NM: Heinrich (D) vs Wilson (R)
OH
: Brown (D) vs Mandel (R)

VA: Kaine (D) vs Allen (R)

WI: Baldwin (D) vs Thompson (R)

LEANING REPUBLICAN

AZ: Carmona (D) vs Flake (R)

ND : Heitkamp (D) vs Berg (R)

NE: Kerry (D) vs Deb Fischer (R)

NV: Berkley (D) vs Heller (R)


SAFE REPUBLICAN

MS,  TN, TX, UT, WY

2012 US SENATE RACE CHART 54 DEM 1-TCTC 45 REP

Posted Nov 05, 2012 at 11:16 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

2012 US SENATE RACE CHART

54 DEM       1
-TCTC        45 REP



SAFE DEMOCRATIC

CA, DE, ME, MD, MN, NJ, NY, PA, RI, WA, VT, WV

LEANING DEMOCRATIC

CT: Murphy (D) vs McMahon (R)

FL: Nelson (D) vs McGillicuddy (R)

HI: Hirono (D) vs Lingle (R)

IN: Donnelly (D) vs Murdock (R)


MI: Stebenow (D) vs Hoekstra (R)

MA: Warren (D) vs Brown (R

MO: McGaskill (D) vs Akin (R)

NM: Heinrich (D) vs Wilson (R)
OH
: Brown (D) vs Mandel (R)

VA: Kaine (D) vs Allen (R)

WI: Baldwin (D) vs Thompson (R)

 

TOO-CLOSE-TO-CALL


MT : Tester (D) vs Rehberg (R)

 

LEANING REPUBLICAN

AZ: Carmona (D) vs Flake (R)

ND : Heitkamp (D) vs Berg (R)

NE: Kerry (D) vs Deb Fischer (R)

NV: Berkley (D) vs Heller (R)


SAFE REPUBLICAN

MS,  TN, TX, UT, WY

2012 US SENATE RACE CHART 53 DEM 2-TCTC 45 REP

Posted Nov 04, 2012 at 1:04 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

2012 US SENATE RACE CHART

53 DEM       2
-TCTC        45 REP



SAFE DEMOCRATIC

CA, DE, ME, MD, MN, NJ, NY, PA, RI, WA, VT, WV

LEANING DEMOCRATIC

CT: Murphy (D) vs McMahon (R)

FL: Nelson (D) vs McGillicuddy (R)

HI: Hirono (D) vs Lingle (R)

IN: Donnelly (D) vs Murdock (R)

MI: Stebenow (D) vs Hoekstra (R)

MA: Warren (D) vs Brown (R

MO: McGaskill (D) vs Akin (R)

NM: Heinrich (D) vs Wilson (R)
OH
: Brown (D) vs Mandel (R)

WI: Baldwin (D) vs Thompson (R)

 

TOO-CLOSE-TO-CALL

 



MT : Tester (D) vs Rehberg (R)

VA: Kaine (D) vs Allen (R)

 

LEANING REPUBLICAN

AZ: Carmona (D) vs Flake (R)

ND : Heitkamp (D) vs Berg (R)

NE: Kerry (D) vs Deb Fischer (R)

NV: Berkley (D) vs Heller (R)




SAFE REPUBLICAN

MS,  TN, TX, UT, WY

Two More Projections . . .

Posted Nov 02, 2010 at 1:47 PM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Republican Vitter wins reelection to US Senate in Louisiana, Republican Roy Blunt wins open US Senate race in Missouri.Both on target for GOP, both predicted by PollTrack.

Missouri U.S. Senate: Leans Republican, But Slightly

Posted Sep 01, 2010 at 2:07 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to a new Missouri State University Poll, the U.S. Senate race between Republican Roy Blunt and Democrat Robin Carnahan has drawn to a virtual tie, with the Blunt at 49% and the Democrat at 48%.PollTrack's aggregate still suggests a Republican advantage.

 

PollTrack Continues To Rate The Race Leans Republican

Missouri U.S. Senate: A Slight Republican Advantage

Posted Aug 09, 2010 at 1:55 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A We Ask America poll in Missouri reports that Republican Roy Blunt maintains a very modest lead over Democrat Robin Carnahan in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 43%.

PollTrack Rates The Race Leans Republican

Missouri U.S. Senate: Too Close To Call?

Posted Jul 26, 2010 at 12:53 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A just released St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon poll in in the Missouri U.S. Senate race reports that Republican Roy Blunt holds a +6% lead over Democrat Robin Carnahan, in the race for U.S. Senate, 48% to 42%.The Democrat predictably leads in the state's large urban centers, St. Louis and Kansas City areas; Blunt leads every other region of the state by a wide margin. While PollTrack continues to rate the race too-close-to-close, it appears to be trending slightly Republican (like the state itself in recent years).

Missouri U.S. Senate: A Photo Finish?

Posted Jun 10, 2010 at 2:29 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

Once again the bellwether state of Missouri reflects the greater reality of a nation politically divided. A new Rasmussen survey of voter preferences in Missouri's U.S. Senate race reports that Republican Roy Blunt and Democrat Robin Carnahan are virtually tied, with Blunt edging out Carnahan, 45% to 44%.

PollTrack rates the race Too-Close-To-Call.

US Senate 2010: Examining The Toss Up Races--Missouri

Posted Mar 25, 2010 at 1:50 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

This week, Polltrack looks at races it rates as a Toss Up for 2010 US Senate.

Here is the poll average for Missouri:

Blunt (R) 47.0% to Carnahan (D) 41.0%.

Slight edge and momentum to the Republican, but Missouri remains a bellwether state of sorts and could go either way in this race, with many voters undecided.

MO US Senate: Slight Edge To The GOP

Posted Feb 05, 2010 at 5:46 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to PollTrack's first read of the 2010 US Senate Race for Missouri's open seat, neither party has a clear edge in this traditional bellwether state (though it has been trending slightly Republican in recent years, it's other US Senator is a moderate Democrat). Still, PollTrack sees the race as slightly more favorable to the GOP. PollTrack First Call: Leans Republican

MO US Senate: Presumptive Candiates Very Close

Posted Dec 22, 2009 at 1:12 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

A new Rasmussen Reports survey suggests that the 2010 US Senate race in MO is very close between the two likely nominees for the open Senate seat: The poll of 500 likely voters gave Democratic Missouri Secretary of State Robin Carbahan a two point lead over Repubican Rep. Roy Blunt--46% to 44%.

2010 MO US Senate: Democrats Have The Edge

Posted May 21, 2009 at 2:00 AM
Maurice Berger, Political Director, PollTrack

According to a statewide poll in Missouri (Democracy Corps), Democrats may have the edge in the 2010 US Senate Race: "The closest state during the 2008 presidential election, Missouri shows early signs of opportunity for Democrats to pick up the senate seat currently held by Republican Kit Bond. [The survey] shows Secretary of State Robin Carnahan leading Republican Congressman Roy Blunt 53 to 44 percent and leading former Treasurer Sarah Steelman 54 to 42 percent. At this early and uncertain stage, Carnahan starts off the contest with a strong personal and professional standing that puts her in a position to defeat either potential opponent. At the same time, it appears as if Steelman may be the tougher foe with a stronger profile than Blunt and the potential to run a fresh outsider candidacy that Blunt cannot offer."